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Pistoia vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-83
27-13 18-20 25-24 23-26
Position#13
Record7-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.1
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record17-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Venezia
20 Oct 2024
PIS64
VEN77
05 Nov 2023
PIS85
VEN77
01 Dec 2019
PIS89
VEN87
14 Oct 2018
PIS69
VEN97
25 Mar 2018
PIS93
VEN83
19 May 2017
PIS79
VEN92
17 May 2017
PIS89
VEN75
12 Mar 2017
PIS71
VEN78
23 Dec 2015
PIS70
VEN68
14 Mar 2015
PIS82
VEN90
22 Dec 2013
PIS81
VEN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
92avg 111
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
89avg 111
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
98avg 111
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-69
91
69
+22
127avg 111
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
164avg 111
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
176avg 111
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
171avg 111
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
108avg 111
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
116avg 111
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
96avg 111
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
18-23
17-9
12-18
19-26
13-9
14-21
17-23
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
27-17
19-17
29-19
16-16
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
24-13
11-21
22-17
19-14
17-24
18-27
21-29
15-21
17-16
16-14
22-18
19-17
20-26
22-33
22-19
21-28
18-21
21-20
27-17
8-20
154.9Avg total
74.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.281.1156.3-5.932%
Season at home (11)78.176.9155.0+1.255%
Season away (11)72.385.3157.5-13.09%
Last 10 (10)74.780.2154.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)76.083.0159.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.984.1157.0-11.112%
vs Similar (10)78.477.5155.9+0.950%
vs Weaker (4)80.570.5151.0+10.075%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
172avg 114
H04/02
Lega A
Estudiantes
#14
W
92-91
92
91
+1
no box
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
181avg 114
A11/02
Lega A
Torino
#1
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
95avg 114
H04/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
W
83-51
83
51
+32
no box
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
122avg 114
A11/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#9
W
107-83
107
83
+24
145avg 114
H18/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-17
23-21
17-17
32-19
25-27
24-32
11-13
17-20
31-23
13-19
24-21
4-21
25-23
17-16
14-12
18-20
18-11
16-19
19-20
16-19
23-9
21-13
23-10
26-19
18-8
26-28
20-27
29-22
23-23
12-20
22-23
28-16
21-22
30-18
28-27
20-19
22-16
25-23
19-18
160.3Avg total
83.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.978.5160.5+3.477%
Season at home (11)80.377.5157.8+2.773%
Season away (11)83.579.5163.1+4.082%
Last 10 (10)83.676.7160.3+6.980%
Last 5 (5)90.476.0166.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)75.580.6156.1-5.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.475.3160.6+10.186%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
PistoiaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/03
Lega A
79.7Avg total
38.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.179.1-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.439.078.4+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)36.643.279.8-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.779.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.079.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.143.679.6-7.512%-
vs Similar (10)40.339.980.2+0.450%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.274.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/02
Lega A
Estudiantes
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A11/02
Lega A
Torino
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#12
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A11/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
80.2Avg total
43.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.678.2+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.376.0+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.438.980.3+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.080.2+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.234.679.8+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)39.837.577.3+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.137.479.5+4.879%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.2
45.0%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.2
32.2%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.89.7
65.5%
73.0%9.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.7
54.9%
51.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.611.9
76.3%
73.0%11.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLWLWLWLLL
Venezia
WWLWWWLWWW
#13
League position
#2
-7.8
Net rating
+8.9
99.4
Offensive rating
108.3
107.3
Defensive rating
99.4
46.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.2%
3-point %
33.9%
57.3%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 108.3Defence107.3 · 99.4Shooting46.4% · 53.2%3-point %32.2% · 33.9%Ball care16.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.5% · 24.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Pistoia   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
18/11/17Venezia v Pistoia84-80
19/05/17Pistoia v Venezia79-92
17/05/17Pistoia v Venezia89-75
15/05/17Venezia v Pistoia72-68
13/05/17Venezia v Pistoia84-71
12/03/17Pistoia v Venezia71-78
13/11/16Venezia v Pistoia74-62
18/04/16Venezia v Pistoia74-68
23/12/15Pistoia v Venezia70-68
14/03/15Pistoia v Venezia82-90
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/18HReggiana74-78
11/03/18ACantu85-106
04/03/18HVarese74-65
11/02/18AAvellino71-101
04/02/18HCremona76-65
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88
21/01/18HCapo d'Orlando91-69
14/01/18ABrescia72-76
08/01/18HOlimpia Milano63-79
02/01/18AVirtus Bologna67-75
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18HNizhny Novgorod86-76
18/03/18HCantu107-83
14/03/18AKormend86-88
11/03/18ATorino90-82
07/03/18HKormend83-51
04/03/18HVirtus Bologna71-70
15/02/18HTorino60-72
11/02/18ACremona85-83
06/02/18HEstudiantes92-91
04/02/18HBrindisi76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL32%
HomeLWWWL55%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%55%9%
Points / game75.278.172.3
Allowed / game81.176.985.3
Point differential-5.9+1.2-13.0
Avg total156.3155.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%73%82%
Points / game81.980.383.5
Allowed / game78.577.579.5
Point differential+3.4+2.7+4.0
Avg total160.5157.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)75% (8)100% (6)
Overtime %14%9%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.072.6+7.5
2 Venezia2217577%81.978.5+3.4
3 Brescia2215768%79.074.5+4.5
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Virtus Bologna23131057%79.175.7+3.3
6 Sassari22121055%85.882.5+3.3
7 Torino22121055%80.281.7-1.5
8 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
9 Trento22111150%78.277.7+0.5
10 Cantu22111150%87.588.2-0.7
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese2291341%77.775.7+2.0
13 Pistoia2271532%75.281.1-5.9
14 Brindisi2371630%77.181.1-4.0
15 Pesaro2251723%77.584.5-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2351822%70.583.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2718252393
Venezia1320242683
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