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Capo d'Orlando vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-75
21-23 20-22 16-10 16-20
Position#16
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game84.4
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record11-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game75.8
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Varese
08 Apr 2018
KDO73
VAR75
27 Nov 2016
KDO76
VAR71
01 Nov 2015
KDO62
VAR66
29 Dec 2014
KDO84
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
69-86
69
86
-17
166avg 104
H28/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H30/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
141avg 104
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
no box
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
159avg 104
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
122avg 104
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
no box
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
118avg 104
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
110avg 104
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
59-107
59
107
-48
81avg 104
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
24-21
14-17
18-22
16-17
16-16
22-21
14-25
8-22
13-24
12-26
21-19
12-17
18-29
12-20
19-20
24-23
19-14
16-19
11-25
18-35
32-16
21-18
18-23
16-18
29-13
17-24
8-15
24-32
18-24
20-21
27-26
26-17
21-28
14-17
17-26
9-27
15-20
15-34
20-26
161.5Avg total
71.8Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.084.4154.4-14.321%
Season at home (12)71.880.0151.8-8.225%
Season away (12)68.388.8157.1-20.417%
Last 10 (10)71.889.7161.5-17.90%
Last 5 (5)79.294.8174.0-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)68.285.8154.0-17.517%
vs Similar (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
120avg 110
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
103avg 110
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
104avg 110
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
124avg 110
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
137avg 110
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
96avg 110
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
98avg 110
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
123avg 110
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 110
H31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
29-22
18-25
20-27
21-17
15-15
19-20
20-11
17-19
25-17
14-17
20-19
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
159.9Avg total
82.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.775.8154.5+2.846%
Season at home (12)82.874.3157.2+8.567%
Season away (12)74.577.3151.8-2.825%
Last 10 (10)82.977.0159.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)80.077.2157.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.278.2156.5+0.050%
vs Similar (19)77.976.3154.2+1.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.976.3157.1+4.643%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
Capo d'OrlandoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/01
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H30/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A04/02
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A31/03
Lega A
81.0Avg total
37.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.842.377.1-7.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.139.977.0-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)32.544.777.3-12.220%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.981.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.087.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.443.177.4-8.728%-
vs Similar (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
82.5Avg total
45.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.778.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.336.781.0+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)36.240.576.8-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)45.337.282.5+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.875.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.843.082.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (19)40.438.879.2+1.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.136.075.1+3.157%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.4
48.8%
51.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.810.8
68.4%
73.0%10.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.2
50.3%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.010.4
43.3%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
73.0%12.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
LLLLLLLLLL
Varese
WWWLLWWWWL
#16
League position
#8
-27.3
Net rating
+8.6
99.9
Offensive rating
116.0
127.2
Defensive rating
107.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
55.9%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.1%
3-point %
43.3%
61.2%
Assist %
64.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 116.0Defence127.2 · 107.4Shooting49.8% · 55.9%3-point %34.1% · 43.3%Ball care18.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 35.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
10/12/17Varese v Capo d'Orlando82-58
26/03/17Varese v Capo d'Orlando74-72
27/11/16Capo d'Orlando v Varese76-71
14/02/16Varese v Capo d'Orlando81-82
01/11/15Capo d'Orlando v Varese62-66
26/04/15Varese v Capo d'Orlando80-73
29/12/14Capo d'Orlando v Varese84-71
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18ATrento59-107
24/03/18HBrescia78-88
18/03/18HSassari89-103
11/03/18APesaro81-84 OT
04/03/18ATorino89-92
11/02/18HReggiana70-81
06/02/18ALudwigsburg61-86
04/02/18AOlimpia Milano54-91
30/01/18HVentspils68-79
28/01/18HVirtus Bologna69-86
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
25/03/18ASassari91-87
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82
04/03/18APistoia65-74
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
05/02/18ACantu89-85
29/01/18HOlimpia Milano76-72
21/01/18AVenezia75-63
14/01/18HTorino89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game70.071.868.3
Allowed / game84.480.088.8
Point differential-14.3-8.2-20.4
Avg total154.4151.8157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW46%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%67%25%
Points / game78.782.874.5
Allowed / game75.874.377.3
Point differential+2.8+8.5-2.8
Avg total154.5157.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%80.572.8+7.8
2 Venezia2418675%82.279.0+3.2
3 Brescia2518772%79.274.2+4.9
4 Avellino2415962%83.477.9+5.5
5 Trento24131154%79.376.2+3.1
6 Cremona23121152%83.781.3+2.3
7 Virtus Bologna25131252%79.276.8+2.4
8 Cantu25131252%87.188.0-0.9
9 Torino24121250%80.582.3-1.8
10 Sassari25121348%86.083.7+2.3
11 Varese24111346%78.775.8+2.8
12 Reggiana23101343%75.677.0-1.4
13 Pistoia2491538%76.381.0-4.7
14 Brindisi2481633%78.281.8-3.5
15 Pesaro2451921%76.484.4-8.0
16 Capo d'Orlando2451921%70.084.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando2120161673
Varese2322102075
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