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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 88-75
21-14 22-20 24-21 21-20
Position#1
Record34-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#7
Record14-22
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game88.5
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
71avg 80
A19/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-63
109
63
+46
111avg 80
H24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 80
A26/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 80
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
92avg 80
A03/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
84-49
84
49
+35
82avg 80
H07/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 80
A11/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
83avg 80
H14/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-79
97
79
+18
96avg 80
H18/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
71-66
71
66
+5
68avg 80
A21/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-22
22-20
22-9
31-20
26-7
32-12
20-24
18-16
21-17
31-18
26-24
24-18
27-30
29-23
25-17
21-16
22-20
26-22
19-18
20-7
27-8
22-18
15-16
20-24
25-22
25-12
21-23
21-20
29-16
23-16
16-23
25-11
22-18
22-26
28-24
23-17
12-23
21-11
15-15
163.2Avg total
91.1Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)91.373.4164.7+17.894%
Season at home (18)92.370.4162.8+21.9100%
Season away (18)90.276.4166.7+13.889%
Last 10 (10)91.172.1163.2+19.0100%
Last 5 (5)86.470.0156.4+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.788.3166.0-10.70%
vs Similar (6)78.378.3156.7+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.472.8163.1+17.6100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 81
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 81
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 81
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 81
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
97avg 81
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
49-84
49
84
-35
38avg 81
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 81
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 81
H14/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
100-88
100
88
+12
102avg 81
H17/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 81
A20/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
27-20
20-18
21-26
28-26
7-20
8-27
18-22
16-15
21-25
21-27
21-26
21-18
23-20
21-14
26-28
15-17
25-15
21-28
28-28
26-17
18-18
13-20
18-31
32-12
177.2Avg total
86.0Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.788.5173.2-3.839%
Season at home (18)83.486.2169.6-2.839%
Season away (18)86.190.8176.8-4.739%
Last 10 (10)86.091.2177.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)83.288.0171.2-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.889.1167.9-10.320%
vs Similar (9)89.691.6181.1-2.033%
vs Weaker (6)88.776.0164.7+12.783%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A26/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-15
47
15
+32
H07/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/05
LKL
80.1Avg total
45.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.779.6+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.335.679.9+8.771%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.679.4+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.135.080.1+10.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.833.278.0+11.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.081.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (6)36.043.079.0-7.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.035.479.5+8.671%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
15-47
15
47
-32
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H14/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H17/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/05
LKL
84.8Avg total
40.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.783.7-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.842.884.6-1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.844.882.5-7.015%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.784.8-4.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.878.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.543.982.5-5.440%-
vs Similar (9)40.346.486.8-6.122%-
vs Weaker (6)43.338.882.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.022.3
63.7%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.4
39.1%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
75.0%14.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.7
59.0%
55.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.1
32.4%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.6%
75.0%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWW
Neptunas
WWWLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#7
+26.9
Net rating
-7.1
128.9
Offensive rating
109.5
102.0
Defensive rating
116.6
61.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
32.4%
65.1%
Assist %
68.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence128.9 · 109.5Defence102.0 · 116.6Shooting61.5% · 54.5%3-point %39.1% · 32.4%Ball care14.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 32.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25ASiauliai71-66
18/05/25HRytas97-79
14/05/25HBC Wolves89-75
11/05/25AJonava91-81
07/05/25HNeptunas84-49
03/05/25ALietkabelis88-76
29/04/25HNevezis105-88
26/04/25AJuventus96-75
24/04/25HMazeikiai109-63
19/04/25ABC Wolves81-69
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/25AJonava98-93 OT
17/05/25HJuventus100-88
14/05/25HMazeikiai85-79
11/05/25ABC Wolves84-96
07/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas49-84
04/05/25HNevezis96-90
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game91.392.390.2
Allowed / game73.470.476.4
Point differential+17.8+21.9+13.8
Avg total164.7162.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%78%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW39%
HomeLLWWW39%
AwayLLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %39%39%39%
Points / game84.783.486.1
Allowed / game88.586.290.8
Point differential-3.8-2.8-4.7
Avg total173.2169.6176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3634294%91.373.4+17.8
2 Rytas3629781%93.184.2+8.8
3 Lietkabelis36201656%83.581.1+2.4
4 BC Wolves36201656%90.489.1+1.2
5 Jonava36191753%89.590.0-0.5
6 Juventus36162044%85.487.7-2.3
7 Neptunas36142239%84.788.5-3.8
8 Siauliai36142239%90.894.9-4.2
9 Nevezis36112531%90.890.8+0.0
10 Mazeikiai363338%79.098.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2122242188
Neptunas1420212075
← all games of the day
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