PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Venezia vs Tortona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game91.1
ItalyLega ARound 10· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Venezia v Tortona
05 Dec 2026
VEN v TOR
upcoming
26 May 2026
VEN89
TOR83
19 May 2026
VEN87
TOR75
17 May 2026
VEN89
TOR82
10 May 2026
VEN75
TOR78
30 Mar 2025
VEN94
TOR82
01 Oct 2023
VEN76
TOR60
08 Apr 2023
VEN89
TOR80
21 May 2022
VEN60
TOR72
19 May 2022
VEN63
TOR73
27 Mar 2022
VEN69
TOR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 81
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 81
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
77avg 81
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 81
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 81
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
24-29
22-26
24-13
34-30
18-23
27-22
12-19
22-26
21-31
22-13
17-21
20-15
25-24
16-24
25-17
14-17
16-19
22-25
20-30
23-25
25-21
27-18
22-20
24-18
18-26
21-20
20-18
24-14
19-19
16-19
20-21
21-21
26-26
36-20
6-16
20-19
170.0Avg total
85.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.987.6175.5+0.262%
Season at home (4)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Season away (4)88.889.2178.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)85.384.7170.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.283.0168.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)85.290.0175.2-4.842%
vs Similar (12)83.484.4167.8-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)94.278.8173.0+15.383%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Aris
#4
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 77
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 77
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 77
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 77
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 77
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 77
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
106-92 OT
106
92
+14
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
20-16
16-11
14-17
15-21
22-20
22-19
27-21
16-16
25-25
25-23
18-21
9-22
29-23
21-18
19-21
18-25
167.5Avg total
82.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.591.1177.6-4.638%
Season at home (4)88.287.5175.8+0.850%
Season away (4)84.894.8179.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.684.9167.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)83.683.6167.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.187.6165.8-9.525%
vs Similar (14)83.483.2166.6+0.243%
vs Weaker (8)91.084.4175.4+6.675%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
VeneziaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A28/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Lega A
Siauliai
#19
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/11
Lega A
London Lions
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/11
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H15/11
Lega A
87.4Avg total
44.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.387.5-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.986.2+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.8-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.487.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.648.890.3-7.28%-
vs Similar (12)42.443.285.6-0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.037.785.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A15/11
Lega A
83.4Avg total
41.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.084.5+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.383.4+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.785.7-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.783.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.244.086.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (14)41.441.182.6+0.357%-
vs Weaker (8)44.841.586.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.6%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
74.6%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLWWLLLLWW
Tortona
WLWLLWLWLL
#7
League position
#12
+0.1
Net rating
-8.6
100.0
Offensive rating
95.7
99.9
Defensive rating
104.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
31.2%
54.5%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 95.7Defence99.9 · 104.3Shooting53.6% · 49.6%3-point %35.4% · 31.2%Ball care14.0% · 14.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Venezia wins
5
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
26/05/26Venezia v Tortona89-83
24/05/26Tortona v Venezia89-71
22/05/26Tortona v Venezia82-71
19/05/26Venezia v Tortona87-75
17/05/26Venezia v Tortona89-82
10/05/26Venezia v Tortona75-78
23/11/25Tortona v Venezia90-98
30/03/25Venezia v Tortona94-82
14/12/24Tortona v Venezia89-82
21/01/24Tortona v Venezia75-69
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HMaxima Roma88-81
10/11/26ALondon Lions76-80
07/11/26AReggiana83-78
04/11/26HSiauliai98-77
01/11/26ABasket Napoli81-99
28/10/26ATenerife80-82
25/10/26HTreviso89-97 OT
21/10/26AMaxima Roma79-90
17/10/26ABC Roma104-98
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACantu106-92 OT
11/11/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-91
08/11/26HTreviso87-76
04/11/26ACedevita Olimpija71-73 OT
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.987.088.8
Allowed / game87.686.089.2
Point differential+0.2+1.0-0.5
Avg total175.5173.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game86.588.284.8
Allowed / game91.187.594.8
Point differential-4.6+0.8-10.0
Avg total177.6175.8179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.