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Venezia vs Virtus Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:15
Postponed
Position#4
Record13-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.4
Venezia
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma
Italy
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Venezia v Virtus Roma
14 Mar 2021
VEN v VRO
upcoming
26 Dec 2019
VEN79
VRO77
19 Oct 2014
VEN74
VRO57
04 May 2014
VEN75
VRO83
18 Nov 2012
VEN67
VRO75
22 Apr 2012
VEN83
VRO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
88-86
88
86
+2
85avg 72
A03/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 72
H10/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
89-77
89
77
+12
81avg 72
A17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
86avg 72
H24/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
A31/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 72
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A11/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 72
A27/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
59avg 72
A06/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
20-27
16-22
24-15
26-19
28-20
17-15
24-21
25-21
9-15
33-18
22-23
16-18
20-26
26-23
26-17
19-20
13-14
15-15
31-16
26-21
21-23
15-19
18-12
23-16
18-22
24-23
24-21
25-20
13-22
11-30
16-24
20-24
32-23
16-27
20-22
13-16
27-17
17-23
15-21
164.5Avg total
83.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.577.4157.9+3.062%
Season at home (10)81.578.8160.3+2.770%
Season away (11)79.576.2155.7+3.455%
Last 10 (10)83.281.3164.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)78.885.2164.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.987.6161.6-13.714%
vs Similar (4)89.084.5173.5+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.575.6155.2+3.964%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 66
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 66
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
65avg 66
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
65avg 66
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
63avg 66
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
60avg 66
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
68avg 66
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
74avg 66
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
VeneziaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H10/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A31/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/03
Lega A
82.8Avg total
42.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.082.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.241.082.2+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.040.981.9+0.141%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.682.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.884.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.440.980.3-1.443%-
vs Similar (4)45.843.589.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.540.581.9+1.036%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.1
53.5%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.510.0
60.6%
75.8%10.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LLLWWWWWWW
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#16
+1.7
Net rating
-16.4
106.3
Offensive rating
100.3
104.6
Defensive rating
116.7
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
31.5%
61.5%
Assist %
56.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 100.3Defence104.6 · 116.7Shooting53.5% · 50.7%3-point %35.7% · 31.5%Ball care17.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Venezia   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Venezia wins
4
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
08/11/20Virtus Roma v Venezia71-89
26/12/19Venezia v Virtus Roma79-77
01/02/15Virtus Roma v Venezia62-72
19/10/14Venezia v Virtus Roma74-57
04/05/14Venezia v Virtus Roma75-83
05/01/14Virtus Roma v Venezia87-92
16/03/13Virtus Roma v Venezia74-69
18/11/12Venezia v Virtus Roma67-75
22/04/12Venezia v Virtus Roma83-69
30/12/11Virtus Roma v Venezia89-80
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AVirtus Bologna72-77
27/02/21ASassari88-96
13/02/21AOlimpia Milano65-96
11/02/21AVirtus Bologna89-82
07/02/21HCantu80-75
31/01/21APesaro78-65
24/01/21HCremona88-84
17/01/21ABrindisi89-77
10/01/21HReggiana95-75
03/01/21ATreviso88-86
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game80.581.579.5
Allowed / game77.478.876.2
Point differential+3.0+2.7+3.4
Avg total157.9160.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%88.275.1+13.1
2 Brindisi2116576%86.579.3+7.2
3 Sassari2014670%90.785.3+5.3
4 Virtus Bologna2114767%85.177.5+7.6
5 Venezia2113862%80.577.4+3.0
6 Trieste21111052%81.179.1+2.0
7 Pesaro21101148%82.082.5-0.4
8 Treviso2091145%83.988.7-4.8
9 Brescia2191243%82.584.3-1.9
10 Cremona2081240%85.587.1-1.6
11 Varese2281436%81.287.1-6.0
12 Trento2071335%76.779.8-3.1
13 Fortitudo Bologna2071335%78.082.6-4.5
14 Cantu2171433%79.383.7-4.3
15 Reggiana2171433%75.181.6-6.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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