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Verona vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-69
16-16 20-17 22-21 16-15
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#19
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· PalaOlimpia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Verona v Pistoia
21 Sep 2025
VER74
PIS69
01 Jun 2022
VER79
PIS53
24 May 2022
VER84
PIS76
22 May 2022
VER65
PIS63
24 Apr 2022
VER74
PIS46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
58-74
58
74
-16
48avg 71
A01/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 71
H08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 71
A19/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
92avg 71
H23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
75avg 71
H06/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 71
A12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 71
A19/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 71
H27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 71
H04/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
7-9
18-20
19-20
19-20
17-17
9-26
28-15
21-16
16-13
17-19
29-26
19-22
33-17
20-19
16-15
22-18
11-20
16-18
27-25
20-23
16-18
22-11
24-29
19-17
24-22
31-14
17-25
29-18
15-28
21-19
25-29
18-8
26-25
18-20
19-32
24-25
21-14
18-26
22-25
161.5Avg total
80.7Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.780.8161.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)85.885.6171.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
vs Similar (16)75.473.7149.1+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.474.3154.8+6.167%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 69
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 69
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 69
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
47avg 69
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
51avg 69
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
51avg 69
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 69
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
65-89
65
89
-24
47avg 69
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 69
A11/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
17-32
17-22
16-18
18-22
17-28
10-19
17-24
25-18
15-18
17-17
11-22
20-29
24-23
21-24
17-26
18-22
13-28
15-21
18-25
16-12
20-16
25-16
27-25
21-33
15-21
19-27
14-22
17-19
20-22
16-18
22-22
14-24
161.9Avg total
72.0Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.089.9161.9-17.910%
Last 5 (5)74.489.2163.6-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.687.4163.0-11.819%
vs Similar (4)99.299.0198.2+0.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
VeronaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A01/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A19/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A30/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/05
Serie A2
76.6Avg total
39.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.274.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.975.1+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)36.336.672.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.576.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.045.572.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (16)36.534.671.1+1.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.336.878.2+4.558%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/05
Lega A
79.6Avg total
35.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.483.7-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.746.185.7-6.420%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.881.7-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.344.379.6-9.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.280.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.844.081.8-6.223%-
vs Similar (4)48.547.295.8+1.275%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.0
54.6%
50.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.8
29.3%
34.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.516.1
78.5%
74.4%16.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.4
46.2%
50.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.3
29.6%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.312.3
63.7%
74.4%12.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LLLWWLWWLL
Pistoia
LLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#19
+0.9
Net rating
-24.0
109.0
Offensive rating
95.2
108.1
Defensive rating
119.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
45.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.3%
3-point %
29.6%
59.7%
Assist %
47.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 95.2Defence108.1 · 119.2Shooting50.7% · 45.5%3-point %29.3% · 29.6%Ball care16.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 26.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Verona   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Verona wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
01/06/22Verona v Pistoia79-53
29/05/22Pistoia v Verona69-61
27/05/22Pistoia v Verona86-77
24/05/22Verona v Pistoia84-76
22/05/22Verona v Pistoia65-63
24/04/22Verona v Pistoia74-46
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HBrindisi85-90
27/04/25HPesaro81-85
19/04/25AVigevano90-94
12/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza91-78
06/04/25HAvellino Basket82-81
30/03/25ACantu76-81
23/03/25HOrzinuovi88-73
19/03/25ACividale83-74
08/03/25HBasket Torino73-78
01/03/25AUrania Milano58-74
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25AReggiana72-86
04/05/25HCremona65-89
27/04/25AVenezia93-90
19/04/25HVirtus Bologna62-86
13/04/25AOlimpia Milano80-95
06/04/25HSassari63-86
30/03/25HTrieste69-89
23/03/25ATortona68-94
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini110100%82.073.0+9.0
2 JuVi Cremona110100%78.070.0+8.0
3 Forli1010%70.078.0-8.0
4 Urania Milano1010%73.082.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona1620221674
Pistoia1617211569
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