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Verona vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.1
ItalyLega ARound 28· PalaOlimpia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Verona v Trento
25 Apr 2027
VER v TRE
upcoming
06 Nov 2022
VER86
TRE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 73
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 73
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 73
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 73
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 73
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 73
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
86avg 73
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
174.4Avg total
86.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.590.8179.2-2.250%
Season at home (3)85.784.0169.7+1.767%
Season away (5)90.294.8185.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)86.188.3174.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.294.2184.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.893.5179.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.175.9157.0+5.278%
vs Weaker (8)85.273.5158.8+11.888%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 75
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 75
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 75
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
10-13
16-15
17-22
19-38
21-24
18-13
15-28
25-25
28-26
20-30
22-19
16-13
24-21
20-23
22-23
20-29
13-24
19-15
16-31
27-18
170.1Avg total
80.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.884.1163.9-4.438%
Season at home (4)78.588.5167.0-10.025%
Season away (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)80.989.2170.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.690.0167.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.489.1172.6-5.731%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.884.1165.9-2.246%
vs Weaker (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
VeronaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A14/11
Lega A
93.4Avg total
47.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.582.6+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.883.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.193.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.839.581.3+2.361%-
vs Weaker (8)47.137.684.8+9.588%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
Lega A
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.784.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.743.281.8-4.523%-
Last 30 away (17)42.344.186.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.944.285.2-3.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.243.583.6-3.338%-
vs Weaker (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.4
69.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.0
48.2%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.4
33.2%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
74.6%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WLLLWWWLWL
Trento
LLLLLWLLWL
#10
League position
#11
+2.5
Net rating
-5.3
101.0
Offensive rating
87.9
98.6
Defensive rating
93.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
33.2%
57.4%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 87.9Defence98.6 · 93.1Shooting53.0% · 48.9%3-point %32.1% · 33.2%Ball care12.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Verona   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Verona wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
18/04/23Trento v Verona69-70
06/11/22Verona v Trento86-92 OT
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Roma89-88
09/11/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
31/10/26HVarese88-99
25/10/26ATrieste99-108
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVirtus Bologna75-88
10/11/26HTofas86-96
08/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
03/11/26ABasket Napoli79-90
01/11/26HMaxima Roma62-88
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game88.585.790.2
Allowed / game90.884.094.8
Point differential-2.2+1.7-4.6
Avg total179.2169.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game79.878.581.0
Allowed / game84.188.579.8
Point differential-4.4-10.0+1.2
Avg total163.9167.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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