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Virginia vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 60-57
0-0 27-19 0-0 33-38
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#17
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANIT
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
36-32
34-29
35-39
32-19
31-34
29-25
24-37
30-38
44-33
25-30
36-35
34-29
29-35
36-17
35-44
20-24
31-26
13-33
30-30
123.4Avg total
61.9Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)61.961.5123.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)57.860.6118.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.165.4122.6-8.322%
vs Similar (10)64.661.0125.6+3.660%
vs Weaker (11)64.655.4120.0+9.391%
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#93
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
68-81 OT
68
81
-13
H03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A10/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-37
43-32
30-34
45-46
34-23
34-26
31-23
27-33
23-35
33-31
30-32
44-37
28-40
33-21
22-33
42-34
36-34
37-17
37-39
22-33
132.0Avg total
66.0Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.066.0132.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)67.668.0135.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.074.0138.0-10.014%
vs Similar (15)72.065.3137.3+6.760%
vs Weaker (8)71.666.5138.1+5.162%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
VirginiaMississippi St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-17
36
17
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
13-33
13
33
-20
A11/03
NCAA
55.8Avg total
28.8Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.928.257.1+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.726.155.8+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)28.130.358.4-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)28.827.055.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)25.626.652.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)25.930.956.8-5.044%-
vs Similar (10)29.629.659.2+0.040%-
vs Weaker (11)30.824.655.5+6.273%-
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#93
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#141
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/03
NCAA
62.3Avg total
29.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.865.5-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.431.767.1+3.759%-
Last 30 away (13)29.134.363.4-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)29.333.062.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.666.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.735.664.3-6.914%-
vs Similar (15)33.730.564.2+3.360%-
vs Weaker (8)34.134.969.0-0.850%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22ANorth Carolina43-63
10/03/22HLouisville51-50
05/03/22ALouisville71-61
26/02/22HFlorida State63-64
24/02/22HDuke61-65
19/02/22AMiami (FL)74-71
15/02/22AVirginia Tech53-62
12/02/22HGeorgia Tech63-53
08/02/22ADuke69-68
05/02/22HMiami (FL)71-58
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22ATennessee59-72
10/03/22ASouth Carolina73-51
06/03/22ATexas A&M64-67
03/03/22HAuburn68-81 OT
26/02/22HVanderbilt74-69
23/02/22ASouth Carolina56-66
21/02/22AMissouri58-56
19/02/22HMissouri68-49
17/02/22AAlabama75-80
13/02/22ALSU65-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NIT 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mississippi St.
NIT 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma110100%89.072.0+17.0
2 Washington State110100%63.050.0+13.0
3 Texas A&M110100%74.062.0+12.0
4 Oregon110100%83.072.0+11.0
5 VCU Rams110100%90.079.0+11.0
6 Vanderbilt110100%82.071.0+11.0
7 St. Bonaventure110100%76.068.0+8.0
8 North Texas110100%67.063.0+4.0
9 Xavier110100%72.068.0+4.0
10 Cleveland State1010%68.072.0-4.0
11 Texas State1010%63.067.0-4.0
12 Colorado1010%68.076.0-8.0
13 Belmont1010%71.082.0-11.0
14 Princeton1010%79.090.0-11.0
15 Utah State1010%72.083.0-11.0
16 Alcorn State1010%62.074.0-12.0
17 Santa Clara1010%50.063.0-13.0
18 Missouri State1010%72.089.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virginia02703360
Mississippi St.01903857
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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