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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2009
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 68-78
14-22 21-16 13-20 20-20
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game74.8
ItalyLega A
Domestic2009-10
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H11/10
Lega A
Teramo
#13
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A17/10
Lega A
Biella
#14
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H25/10
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A01/11
Lega A
Avellino
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
12-11
23-21
13-11
15-17
20-22
12-22
11-23
15-18
22-23
21-23
20-23
29-16
22-13
15-24
19-20
23-21
10-27
19-23
22-20
153.8Avg total
73.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.680.2153.8-6.640%
Season at home (3)75.081.3156.3-6.333%
Season away (2)71.578.5150.0-7.050%
Last 10 (5)73.680.2153.8-6.640%
Last 5 (5)73.680.2153.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)73.578.5152.0-5.050%
vs Similar (3)73.781.3155.0-7.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#4
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H21/05
Lega A
Treviso
#4
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A23/05
Lega A
Treviso
#4
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H25/05
Lega A
Treviso
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A27/05
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A04/10
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H11/10
Lega A
Biella
#14
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A18/10
Lega A
NSB Napoli
#16
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H25/10
Lega A
Teramo
#13
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A01/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
19-25
23-18
23-22
15-29
15-18
31-22
12-22
31-24
24-15
21-26
23-13
17-21
19-23
24-15
12-19
17-13
16-28
19-26
13-20
23-19
19-17
12-18
22-14
26-21
10-18
20-22
20-18
20-12
22-21
12-10
22-19
17-15
18-10
18-20
16-21
14-18
18-23
23-13
18-19
156.0Avg total
78.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.274.8149.0-0.750%
Season at home (3)78.372.3150.7+6.067%
Season away (3)70.077.3147.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)78.377.7156.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)76.072.4148.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.083.3163.3-3.333%
vs Similar (18)78.276.9155.2+1.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.677.2157.8+3.367%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
VareseVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H11/10
Lega A
Teramo
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A17/10
Lega A
Biella
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/10
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A01/11
Lega A
Avellino
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H08/11
Lega A
76.8Avg total
38.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.741.076.7-5.333%-
Last 30 away (2)43.034.077.0+9.050%-
Last 10 (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.041.076.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (3)41.036.377.3+4.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/05
Lega A
Treviso
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/05
Lega A
Treviso
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H25/05
Lega A
Treviso
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/05
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A04/10
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H11/10
Lega A
Biella
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
Lega A
NSB Napoli
#16
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/10
Lega A
Teramo
#13
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A01/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H08/11
Lega A
77.5Avg total
38.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.376.8+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.236.981.1+7.379%-
Last 30 away (16)35.337.773.0-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.677.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.036.377.3+4.767%-
vs Similar (18)38.237.275.4+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.637.979.4+3.756%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/09HAvellino74-91
01/11/09ASutor Montegranaro85-73
25/10/09HBiella78-87
17/10/09ATeramo58-84
11/10/09HOlimpia Milano73-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/09HOlimpia Milano83-87 OT
01/11/09ATeramo69-66
25/10/09HNSB Napoli76-62
18/10/09ABiella76-79
11/10/09HSutor Montegranaro76-68
04/10/09ASiena65-87
27/05/09ATreviso72-78
25/05/09HTreviso99-78
23/05/09ATreviso73-91
21/05/09HTreviso94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2009-10
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game73.675.071.5
Allowed / game80.281.378.5
Point differential-6.6-6.3-7.0
Avg total153.8156.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game74.278.370.0
Allowed / game74.872.377.3
Point differential-0.7+6.0-7.3
Avg total149.0150.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena660100%88.063.0+25.0
2 Avellino660100%84.873.5+11.3
3 Caserta54180%89.876.8+13.0
4 Treviso54180%85.079.2+5.8
5 Cantu54180%80.075.8+4.2
6 Biella54180%79.276.4+2.8
7 Virtus Bologna63350%74.274.8-0.7
8 Virtus Roma52340%82.078.6+3.4
9 Olimpia Milano52340%80.683.4-2.8
10 Varese52340%73.680.2-6.6
11 Cremona41325%88.892.2-3.5
12 Teramo51420%74.477.0-2.6
13 Sutor Montegranaro51420%75.883.8-8.0
14 Ferrara61517%72.785.0-12.3
15 Pesaro5050%73.884.8-11.0
16 NSB Napoli4040%54.283.5-29.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1421132068
Virtus Bologna2216202078
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