Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 81-72

15-19 22-15 16-15 28-23

Position#14

Record10-14

FormLWWWW

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game73.0

Virtus Roma 🏆

Avellino

Position#13

Record9-15

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game78.8

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#15

67-63

H08/02

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

87-66

+21

H11/02

Eurocup

Sassari

61-72

-11

A15/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

76-80

-4

H28/02

Lega A

Banvit

#10

55-71

-16

A04/03

Eurocup

Varese

#12

73-78 OT

-5

A08/03

Lega A

Banvit

#10

66-56

+10

H11/03

Eurocup

Reggiana

66-56

+10

H16/03

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

70-63

H22/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

74-71

A29/03

Lega A

19-12

13-12

13-23

22-16

23-21

18-15

27-14

19-16

18-22

14-13

16-18

13-19

20-22

21-22

12-18

23-18

18-22

18-18

15-12

4-19

11-24

12-15

20-15

22-11

18-18

13-11

20-11

15-16

20-15

15-14

9-14

22-13

19-7

14-13

18-20

19-23

16-18

17-21

21-13

20-19

137.1Avg total

69.5Scored

67.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	71.1	73.0	144.1	-2.0	42%
Season at home (12)	72.2	70.5	142.8	+1.8	58%
Season away (12)	69.9	75.6	145.5	-5.7	25%
Last 10 (10)	69.5	67.6	137.1	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	64.8	134.6	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	68.0	73.2	141.2	-5.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	68.4	69.8	138.1	-1.4	50%
vs Weaker (11)	77.2	76.0	153.2	+1.2	55%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

71-79

-8

A25/01

Lega A

Cantu

76-79

-3

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

77-62

+15

A08/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-95

-17

A16/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-60

-2

A20/02

Italian Cup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

65-75

-10

H01/03

Lega A

Reggiana

72-96

-24

A08/03

Lega A

Sassari

70-83

-13

H15/03

Lega A

Trento

85-92

-7

A22/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

96-79

+17

H29/03

Lega A

20-19

20-21

15-17

16-22

30-21

9-19

19-19

18-20

14-20

14-16

31-7

18-19

23-21

17-27

18-21

20-26

18-13

11-19

16-10

13-18

15-21

9-14

26-14

15-26

17-25

15-23

22-27

18-21

26-24

11-17

19-20

14-22

24-25

21-20

15-23

25-24

22-19

25-13

30-22

19-25

154.8Avg total

74.8Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	76.8	78.8	155.6	-2.0	38%
Season at home (12)	75.8	77.3	153.2	-1.5	42%
Season away (12)	77.8	80.2	158.1	-2.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	80.0	154.8	-5.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	85.0	162.6	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.8	83.3	160.1	-6.5	18%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.1	78.4	156.5	-0.3	40%
vs Weaker (3)	80.7	73.7	154.3	+7.0	67%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	14.3	33.8	+5.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.4	20.8	36.1	-5.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.4	33.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.5	17.2	33.7	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.1	41.3	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	16.8	33.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	16.7	33.9	+0.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	16.9	33.3	-0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	15.4	30.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	14.8	29.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	17.0	31.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.8	17.1	33.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.7	16.3	34.0	+1.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.3	37.2	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	18.9	34.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	20.5	38.9	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	15.3	32.0	+1.3	33%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#15

32-24

H08/02

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

41-36

H11/02

Eurocup

Sassari

32-35

-3

A15/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

41-44

-3

H28/02

Lega A

Banvit

#10

36-40

-4

A04/03

Eurocup

Varese

#12

23-39

-16

A08/03

Lega A

Banvit

#10

31-29

H11/03

Eurocup

Reggiana

35-29

H16/03

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

33-20

+13

H22/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

33-39

-6

A29/03

Lega A

67.2Avg total

33.7Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.1	34.5	68.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.7	31.0	67.7	+5.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.8	37.6	69.4	-5.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	33.5	67.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	31.2	62.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	33.6	67.8	+0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	33.3	34.4	67.6	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	35.1	35.2	70.3	-0.1	45%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

40-40

A25/01

Lega A

Cantu

39-40

-1

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

28-36

-8

A08/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-48

-8

A16/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

29-32

-3

A20/02

Italian Cup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

24-35

-11

H01/03

Lega A

Reggiana

32-48

-16

A08/03

Lega A

Sassari

37-41

-4

H15/03

Lega A

Trento

45-45

A22/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-32

+15

H29/03

Lega A

75.8Avg total

36.1Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.7	78.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.1	79.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.7	75.8	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.2	77.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.1	38.7	78.7	+1.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.0	33.3	69.3	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.8	34.7	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.4	18.1	33.5	-2.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.6	35.8	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	15.8	32.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.6	32.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.6	16.1	32.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	19.5	37.2	-1.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	14.7	37.7	+8.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.6	39.1	+1.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.9	18.4	36.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	21.3	38.4	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.6	41.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	21.5	39.1	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	21.7	39.7	-3.6	13%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	37.0	73.4	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	36.7	72.6	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	37.2	74.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	32.8	67.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	31.0	68.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.8	39.6	73.4	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	34.5	34.5	69.0	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.2	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	39.3	76.3	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	37.7	75.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.3	79.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.8	85.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.3	41.0	76.3	-5.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.1	39.7	77.8	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	35.0	75.3	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/14	Avellino v Virtus Roma	74-70
02/02/14	Virtus Roma v Avellino	72-80
27/10/13	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-82
07/04/13	Virtus Roma v Avellino	75-81 OT
09/12/12	Avellino v Virtus Roma	79-94
07/04/12	Avellino v Virtus Roma	82-88
18/12/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	96-99 OT
20/02/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	80-70
07/11/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	72-65
14/02/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	74-56

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/15	A	Cremona	74-71
22/03/15	H	Pistoia	70-63
16/03/15	H	Reggiana	66-56
11/03/15	H	Banvit	66-56
08/03/15	A	Varese	73-78 OT
04/03/15	A	Banvit	55-71
28/02/15	H	Pesaro	76-80
15/02/15	A	Sassari	61-72
11/02/15	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	87-66
08/02/15	H	Capo d'Orlando	67-63

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/15	H	Virtus Bologna	96-79
22/03/15	A	Trento	85-92
15/03/15	H	Sassari	70-83
08/03/15	A	Reggiana	72-96
01/03/15	H	Capo d'Orlando	65-75
20/02/15	A	Olimpia Milano	58-60
16/02/15	A	Olimpia Milano	78-95
08/02/15	A	Pesaro	77-62
01/02/15	H	Cantu	76-79
25/01/15	A	Venezia	71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	42%
Home	LWLWW	58%
Away	WLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	42%	58%	25%
Points / game	71.1	72.2	69.9
Allowed / game	73.0	70.5	75.6
Point differential	-2.0	+1.8	-5.7
Avg total	144.1	142.8	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	50% (2)	29% (7)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Avellino

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	38%
Home	LLLLW	42%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	38%	42%	33%
Points / game	76.8	75.8	77.8
Allowed / game	78.8	77.3	80.2
Point differential	-2.0	-1.5	-2.4
Avg total	155.6	153.2	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	17%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	40% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Named Sport Team	1	1	0	100%	146.0	143.0	+3.0
2	Olimpia Milano	23	21	2	91%	88.0	72.7	+15.3
3	Venezia	25	18	7	72%	78.4	73.4	+5.0
4	Reggiana	25	18	7	72%	77.9	74.0	+3.9
5	Sassari	24	17	7	71%	85.6	80.4	+5.2
6	Brindisi	24	14	10	58%	77.1	74.5	+2.6
7	Trento	25	14	11	56%	83.5	83.7	-0.2
8	Virtus Bologna	24	12	12	50%	75.7	78.4	-2.7
9	Pistoia	24	11	13	46%	75.8	76.2	-0.4
10	Cantu	23	10	13	43%	79.6	79.6	+0.0
11	Cremona	24	10	14	42%	75.5	76.9	-1.4
12	Virtus Roma	24	10	14	42%	71.1	73.0	-2.0
13	Avellino	24	9	15	38%	76.8	78.8	-2.0
14	Varese	24	8	16	33%	80.3	83.5	-3.2
15	Capo d'Orlando	24	8	16	33%	70.1	73.7	-3.6
16	Pesaro	24	7	17	29%	71.5	82.0	-10.5
17	Caserta	24	5	19	21%	74.2	80.2	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	15	22	16	28	81
Avellino	19	15	15	23	72

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature