Varese vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jan 2011

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 83-85

15-17 20-13 15-25 33-30

Position#11

Record7-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game83.4

Varese

Avellino 🏆

Position#6

Record8-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game76.1

Lega ARound 17

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Varese v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

91-81

+10

H28/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

92-89

A05/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

80-92

-12

A12/12

Lega A

Teramo

#16

91-98

-7

H19/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

80-84 OT

-4

A29/12

Lega A

Biella

#15

73-75

-2

H02/01

Lega A

Sassari

84-91

-7

H06/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

77-107

107

-30

A09/01

Lega A

Cantu

82-65

+17

H16/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

72-74

-2

A23/01

Lega A

25-20

23-18

16-23

27-20

21-18

28-14

14-17

29-40

23-31

19-24

21-16

17-21

26-25

15-27

26-19

24-27

20-19

15-17

21-22

13-11

18-15

22-20

18-17

15-23

26-24

17-22

20-19

21-26

24-34

27-25

15-33

11-15

15-19

23-14

21-23

23-9

18-26

14-19

25-13

15-16

167.8Avg total

82.2Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.6	83.4	164.0	-2.9	44%
Season at home (8)	83.5	79.2	162.8	+4.2	62%
Season away (8)	77.6	87.6	165.2	-10.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	85.6	167.8	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	82.4	160.0	-4.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	78.4	81.4	159.7	-3.0	45%
vs Similar (16)	80.0	84.4	164.4	-4.4	38%
vs Weaker (3)	94.7	71.7	166.3	+23.0	67%

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#15

85-86 OT

-1

A28/11

Lega A

Teramo

#16

88-89

-1

H05/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-90

-12

A12/12

Lega A

Cremona

#12

83-69

+14

H19/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

79-68

+11

H28/12

Lega A

Sassari

80-71

A02/01

Lega A

Siena

75-79

-4

H06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

80-69

+11

A09/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

79-80

-1

H16/01

Lega A

Treviso

77-53

+24

H22/01

Lega A

16-17

18-20

20-10

16-23

23-26

21-17

17-22

27-24

21-20

24-16

18-25

15-29

23-18

14-17

25-14

21-20

22-17

17-13

14-27

26-11

18-20

13-21

24-13

25-17

14-21

13-19

17-22

31-17

25-20

24-21

13-10

18-18

22-14

12-26

26-18

19-22

18-13

18-20

26-1

15-19

155.8Avg total

80.4Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.1	76.1	155.2	+3.1	50%
Season at home (9)	78.8	71.9	150.7	+6.9	56%
Season away (7)	79.6	81.4	161.0	-1.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	75.4	155.8	+5.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	70.4	148.6	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.2	81.0	153.2	-8.8	0%
vs Similar (16)	76.2	76.6	152.8	-0.4	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	81.9	77.4	159.3	+4.4	56%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	23.7	42.2	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	55%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	21.3	47.0	+4.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	17.0	31.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.8	37.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.3	37.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.5	45%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	16.0	37.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.4	37.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	24.2	42.0	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

48-38

+10

H28/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

49-32

+17

A05/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

42-55

-13

A12/12

Lega A

Teramo

#16

41-52

-11

H19/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-36

-1

A29/12

Lega A

Biella

#15

40-35

H02/01

Lega A

Sassari

43-46

-3

H06/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

51-59

-8

A09/01

Lega A

Cantu

38-33

H16/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

32-45

-13

A23/01

Lega A

85.0Avg total

41.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	36.7	78.9	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	42.1	79.4	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	43.1	85.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.6	84.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.1	37.6	76.7	+1.5	64%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	37.3	84.3	+9.7	67%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#15

34-37

-3

A28/11

Lega A

Teramo

#16

44-43

H05/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

45-36

A12/12

Lega A

Cremona

#12

37-35

H19/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

39-30

H28/12

Lega A

Sassari

31-41

-10

A02/01

Lega A

Siena

27-40

-13

H06/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

49-41

A09/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

34-40

-6

H16/01

Lega A

Treviso

36-33

H22/01

Lega A

75.2Avg total

37.6Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	39.0	76.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	39.6	76.9	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	39.0	74.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.2	41.2	73.5	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.9	38.6	76.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.1	41.1	81.2	-1.0	44%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.7	39.1	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.8	21.8	38.6	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.7	14.7	41.3	+12.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.7	36.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	16.5	33.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	12.8	34.0	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.7	17.2	35.9	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.9	13.7	32.6	+5.2	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.1	39.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	73%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.6	81.9	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	42.4	85.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	40.7	78.5	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	38.8	75.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.2	43.4	84.6	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.7	34.3	82.0	+13.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.7	75.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	35.1	75.4	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.3	74.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	36.2	77.5	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	31.4	74.2	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.7	37.6	75.2	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.1	34.6	74.7	+5.6	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/10	Avellino v Varese	85-69
07/03/10	Avellino v Varese	76-67
08/11/09	Varese v Avellino	74-91

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/11	A	Pesaro	72-74
16/01/11	H	Cantu	82-65
09/01/11	A	Sutor Montegranaro	77-107
06/01/11	H	Sassari	84-91
02/01/11	H	Biella	73-75
29/12/10	A	Olimpia Milano	80-84 OT
19/12/10	H	Teramo	91-98
12/12/10	A	Caserta	80-92
05/12/10	A	Virtus Roma	92-89
28/11/10	H	Virtus Bologna	91-81

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/11	H	Treviso	77-53
16/01/11	H	Brindisi	79-80
09/01/11	A	Pesaro	80-69
06/01/11	H	Siena	75-79
02/01/11	A	Sassari	80-71
28/12/10	H	Caserta	79-68
19/12/10	H	Cremona	83-69
12/12/10	A	Olimpia Milano	78-90
05/12/10	H	Teramo	88-89
28/11/10	A	Biella	85-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	44%
Home	WLLLW	62%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	62%	25%
Points / game	80.6	83.5	77.6
Allowed / game	83.4	79.2	87.6
Point differential	-2.9	+4.2	-10.0
Avg total	164.0	162.8	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Avellino

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	WWLLW	56%
Away	WLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	50%	56%	43%
Points / game	79.1	78.8	79.6
Allowed / game	76.1	71.9	81.4
Point differential	+3.1	+6.9	-1.9
Avg total	155.2	150.7	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	44%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	17	16	1	94%	84.7	72.2	+12.5
2	Olimpia Milano	17	13	4	76%	81.6	76.6	+4.9
3	Cantu	16	11	5	69%	76.9	71.4	+5.5
4	Sutor Montegranaro	17	9	8	53%	83.1	81.9	+1.2
5	Avellino	16	8	8	50%	79.1	76.1	+3.1
6	Caserta	16	8	8	50%	80.5	79.4	+1.1
7	Virtus Bologna	16	8	8	50%	77.2	77.9	-0.6
8	Pesaro	16	8	8	50%	74.6	78.5	-3.9
9	Virtus Roma	16	7	9	44%	77.8	76.6	+1.2
10	Varese	16	7	9	44%	80.6	83.4	-2.9
11	Biella	16	7	9	44%	80.5	83.6	-3.1
12	Treviso	17	7	10	41%	75.1	74.6	+0.5
13	Cremona	16	6	10	38%	79.4	80.1	-0.7
14	Sassari	16	6	10	38%	79.9	84.0	-4.1
15	Brindisi	16	5	11	31%	71.6	79.7	-8.1
16	Teramo	16	4	12	25%	73.7	81.4	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	15	20	15	33	83
Avellino	17	13	25	30	85

← all games of the day

Varese vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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