Virtus Roma vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 79-71

10-21 20-17 23-14 26-19

Position#6

Record13-7

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game75.1

Virtus Roma 🏆

Cremona

Position#10

Record8-12

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game80.0

Lega ARound 21

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Cremona

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cremona winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

86-82

A30/12

Lega A

Biella

#17

67-59

H06/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

86-84 OT

A13/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

65-64

H20/01

Lega A

Cantu

65-60

A27/01

Lega A

Reggiana

93-96

-3

A03/02

Lega A

Cantu

89-85

A07/02

Italian Cup

Varese

71-81

-10

H09/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

66-79

-13

H17/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

66-64

A24/02

Lega A

11-20

26-23

20-18

29-21

19-5

7-18

10-19

31-17

17-20

12-22

31-19

13-12

14-16

19-19

22-14

10-15

16-12

12-18

23-16

14-14

15-25

17-20

24-22

37-29

25-18

25-26

19-10

20-31

10-18

22-17

21-17

18-29

10-23

20-20

18-16

18-20

14-20

22-21

13-16

17-7

150.8Avg total

75.4Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	77.5	75.1	152.6	+2.4	65%
Season at home (9)	74.8	73.3	148.1	+1.4	56%
Season away (11)	79.6	76.5	156.2	+3.1	73%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	75.4	150.8	+0.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	81.0	158.0	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.7	85.0	161.7	-8.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	79.4	80.7	160.1	-1.3	50%
vs Weaker (8)	77.2	70.4	147.6	+6.9	88%

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

68-81

-13

A10/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

91-73

+18

H23/12

Lega A

Varese

84-94

-10

A30/12

Lega A

Reggiana

71-87

-16

H06/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

92-59

+33

A13/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

93-92

A20/01

Lega A

Caserta

#12

73-74

-1

H27/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

97-81

+16

H03/02

Lega A

Avellino

#11

81-93

-12

A17/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

89-87

H24/02

Lega A

11-17

17-24

19-18

21-22

20-17

26-23

22-17

23-16

16-25

22-25

23-22

17-20

12-22

26-18

16-27

18-20

18-14

20-7

36-18

33-26

20-25

21-18

19-23

19-17

16-18

18-17

20-22

23-16

24-23

27-16

23-26

26-23

16-27

23-16

16-27

21-27

24-22

21-15

23-23

166.0Avg total

83.9Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.0	80.0	158.1	-2.0	40%
Season at home (10)	79.6	80.0	159.6	-0.4	50%
Season away (10)	76.5	80.1	156.6	-3.6	30%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	82.1	166.0	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	85.4	172.0	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	71.2	80.8	152.0	-9.7	17%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	75.9	76.4	152.2	-0.5	62%
vs Weaker (8)	80.9	76.4	157.2	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaCremona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.8	36.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	17.4	34.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.9	37.9	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	17.7	32.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.8	35.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	19.0	33.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.1	18.6	35.6	-1.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.8	46.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.8	19.8	42.5	+3.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.9	19.3	39.3	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.1	17.0	34.1	+0.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	50%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

37-43

-6

A30/12

Lega A

Biella

#17

26-23

H06/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

29-42

-13

A13/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

33-35

-2

H20/01

Lega A

Cantu

28-30

-2

A27/01

Lega A

Reggiana

32-45

-13

A03/02

Lega A

Cantu

50-44

A07/02

Italian Cup

Varese

32-35

-3

H09/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

30-43

-13

H17/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

36-41

-5

A24/02

Lega A

71.4Avg total

33.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.9	75.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.8	36.8	73.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	38.9	76.8	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	38.1	71.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.6	77.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	40.7	78.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.0	37.9	74.9	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	36.5	36.2	72.8	+0.2	50%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

28-41

-13

A10/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

46-40

H23/12

Lega A

Varese

38-50

-12

A30/12

Lega A

Reggiana

29-42

-13

H06/01

Lega A

Biella

#17

36-34

A13/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

53-51

A20/01

Lega A

Caserta

#12

35-35

H27/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

47-39

H03/02

Lega A

Avellino

#11

42-50

-8

A17/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

45-49

-4

H24/02

Lega A

83.0Avg total

39.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	39.5	77.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	37.9	77.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	40.9	77.6	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.1	83.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.8	89.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.0	39.2	77.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.8	39.6	81.4	+2.1	75%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.7	36.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.1	40.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	18.5	38.9	+1.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	16.9	36.6	+2.9	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	22.4	41.9	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	17.6	39.4	+4.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	25.3	46.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	13.8	35.6	+8.1	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.2	44.4	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.9	20.3	38.1	-2.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.7	80.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.6	79.6	-1.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.2	77.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	44.3	83.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.3	41.9	83.2	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.1	32.8	71.9	+6.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	38.7	76.9	-0.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	39.9	80.3	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	37.5	73.7	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.6	82.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.1	36.8	75.9	+2.4	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Cremona wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/12	Cremona v Virtus Roma	67-75
04/03/12	Cremona v Virtus Roma	87-71
13/11/11	Virtus Roma v Cremona	85-78
20/03/11	Cremona v Virtus Roma	83-70
28/11/10	Virtus Roma v Cremona	70-84
31/01/10	Cremona v Virtus Roma	75-79
11/10/09	Virtus Roma v Cremona	94-79

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/13	A	Caserta	66-64
17/02/13	H	Olimpia Milano	66-79
09/02/13	H	Varese	71-81
07/02/13	A	Cantu	89-85
03/02/13	A	Reggiana	93-96
27/01/13	A	Cantu	65-60
20/01/13	H	Pesaro	65-64
13/01/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	86-84 OT
06/01/13	H	Biella	67-59
30/12/12	A	Brindisi	86-82

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/13	H	Sutor Montegranaro	89-87
17/02/13	A	Avellino	81-93
03/02/13	H	Brindisi	97-81
27/01/13	H	Caserta	73-74
20/01/13	A	Virtus Bologna	93-92
13/01/13	A	Biella	92-59
06/01/13	H	Reggiana	71-87
30/12/12	A	Varese	84-94
23/12/12	H	Pesaro	91-73
10/12/12	A	Siena	68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	65%
Home	WLWWL	56%
Away	WWWLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	65%	56%	73%
Points / game	77.5	74.8	79.6
Allowed / game	75.1	73.3	76.5
Point differential	+2.4	+1.4	+3.1
Avg total	152.6	148.1	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	22%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	67% (3)	71% (7)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Cremona

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	40%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	LLWWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	40%	50%	30%
Points / game	78.0	79.6	76.5
Allowed / game	80.0	80.0	80.1
Point differential	-2.0	-0.4	-3.6
Avg total	158.1	159.6	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	30%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	21	17	4	81%	83.8	76.8	+7.0
3	Sassari	20	16	4	80%	89.0	80.4	+8.6
4	Siena	20	14	6	70%	77.8	69.1	+8.7
5	Cantu	20	13	7	65%	77.8	69.5	+8.2
6	Virtus Roma	20	13	7	65%	77.5	75.1	+2.4
7	Olimpia Milano	20	12	8	60%	80.3	75.9	+4.5
8	Reggiana	20	11	9	55%	76.0	72.6	+3.4
9	Venezia	20	11	9	55%	77.7	78.6	-0.9
10	Brindisi	20	10	10	50%	80.5	79.7	+0.8
11	Cremona	20	8	12	40%	78.0	80.0	-2.0
12	Caserta	21	8	13	38%	71.2	77.8	-6.6
13	Virtus Bologna	19	7	12	37%	72.3	76.7	-4.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	20	6	14	30%	82.6	85.8	-3.2
15	Avellino	19	5	14	26%	77.5	86.6	-9.1
16	Pesaro	20	5	15	25%	71.8	77.3	-5.5
17	Biella	20	4	16	20%	70.2	82.5	-12.3
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	10	20	23	26	79
Cremona	21	17	14	19	71

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Cremona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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