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Virtus Roma vs Cremona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:15
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#9
Record9-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Cremona
11 Apr 2021
VRO v CRE
upcoming
06 Oct 2019
VRO97
CRE94
07 Dec 2014
VRO63
CRE50
09 Mar 2014
VRO85
CRE80
03 Mar 2013
VRO79
CRE71
13 Nov 2011
VRO85
CRE78
28 Nov 2010
VRO70
CRE84
11 Oct 2009
VRO94
CRE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H19/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A24/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H30/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H28/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A14/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H21/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A27/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H03/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-20
22-18
24-21
18-16
26-20
23-26
17-26
23-25
12-17
16-19
24-27
18-21
31-27
15-19
23-20
27-22
19-21
28-16
21-28
24-16
22-15
27-22
27-25
20-32
21-20
20-27
24-13
13-22
25-26
22-22
25-16
29-26
13-30
23-21
19-18
29-17
15-23
17-12
29-19
176.2Avg total
88.4Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.686.9172.5-1.338%
Season at home (12)85.383.3168.7+2.050%
Season away (12)85.990.5176.4-4.625%
Last 10 (10)88.487.8176.2+0.630%
Last 5 (5)88.884.4173.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.285.8161.9-9.625%
vs Similar (14)84.988.2173.1-3.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.076.0166.0+14.075%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Virtus RomaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H30/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H07/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A14/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H21/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/04
Lega A
86.0Avg total
42.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.782.2-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.239.680.8+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.783.7-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.086.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.441.279.6-2.833%-
vs Similar (14)41.143.384.4-2.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
51.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.5
34.8%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
75.8%15.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
Cremona
WLLLWWLLLL
#16
League position
#9
-16.4
Net rating
-0.8
100.3
Offensive rating
110.9
116.7
Defensive rating
111.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
34.8%
56.9%
Assist %
67.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 110.9Defence116.7 · 111.6Shooting50.7% · 53.5%3-point %31.5% · 34.8%Ball care16.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds21.5% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Roma wins
2
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Cremona v Virtus Roma103-92
06/10/19Virtus Roma v Cremona97-94
29/03/15Cremona v Virtus Roma71-74
07/12/14Virtus Roma v Cremona63-50
09/03/14Virtus Roma v Cremona85-80
24/11/13Cremona v Virtus Roma68-78
03/03/13Virtus Roma v Cremona79-71
04/11/12Cremona v Virtus Roma67-75
04/03/12Cremona v Virtus Roma87-71
13/11/11Virtus Roma v Cremona85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/21HReggiana90-71
27/03/21ASassari84-95
21/03/21HTreviso85-86
14/03/21ACantu85-92
07/03/21HPesaro100-78
28/02/21HTrento95-87
07/02/21AVarese105-110 OT
30/01/21HVirtus Bologna75-88
24/01/21AVenezia84-88
19/01/21HOlimpia Milano81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game85.685.385.9
Allowed / game86.983.390.5
Point differential-1.3+2.0-4.6
Avg total172.5168.7176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%86.174.4+11.7
2 Brindisi2318578%86.278.4+7.8
3 Virtus Bologna2417771%85.577.0+8.5
4 Sassari2315865%90.086.4+3.6
5 Venezia2516964%81.077.4+3.6
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste23111248%80.480.2+0.2
8 Pesaro25111444%81.682.9-1.3
9 Varese25101540%81.486.5-5.2
10 Trento2391439%77.679.7-2.2
11 Cremona2491538%85.686.9-1.3
12 Brescia2591636%81.384.7-3.4
13 Fortitudo Bologna2591636%77.981.7-3.8
14 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
15 Cantu2481633%78.683.5-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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