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Virtus Roma vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:15
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#8
Record11-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game79.1
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Trento
18 Apr 2021
VRO v TRE
upcoming
11 Apr 2020
VRO v TRE
upcoming
29 Dec 2014
VRO68
TRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H07/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A28/02
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H03/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/03
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A10/03
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H20/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A28/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
21-13
15-19
19-23
22-27
21-19
16-28
28-21
15-19
14-9
25-8
15-18
14-14
16-14
19-18
12-14
20-27
18-27
28-22
20-24
24-24
22-16
23-13
22-14
13-21
23-20
14-21
20-26
20-25
22-27
19-17
19-11
17-18
14-17
25-21
20-19
24-5
22-22
16-24
19-18
155.4Avg total
78.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.679.1156.8-1.544%
Season at home (13)78.877.8156.5+1.054%
Season away (12)76.480.6157.0-4.233%
Last 10 (10)78.177.3155.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)81.676.6158.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.881.1161.9-0.356%
vs Similar (20)74.277.5151.6-3.335%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Virtus RomaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A28/02
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/03
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/03
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H14/04
Lega A
76.7Avg total
37.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.376.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.037.376.3+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)36.339.475.6-3.121%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.076.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.140.482.6+1.756%-
vs Similar (20)35.637.172.8-1.535%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
51.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.1
35.5%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
75.8%11.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
Trento
WWWLWLWWLL
#16
League position
#8
-16.4
Net rating
+2.2
100.3
Offensive rating
102.9
116.7
Defensive rating
100.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.5%
3-point %
35.5%
56.9%
Assist %
55.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 102.9Defence116.7 · 100.7Shooting50.7% · 50.4%3-point %31.5% · 35.5%Ball care16.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds21.5% · 21.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Roma wins
2
Trento wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Trento v Virtus Roma82-88
26/04/15Trento v Virtus Roma82-68
29/12/14Virtus Roma v Trento68-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21HTrieste81-69
11/04/21ACantu76-75
03/04/21HVenezia90-84 OT
28/03/21AVarese70-88
20/03/21HBrescia91-67
10/03/21ALokomotiv Kuban86-100
07/03/21HOlimpia Milano61-60
03/03/21HPartizan69-54
28/02/21ACremona87-95
07/02/21HPesaro70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game77.678.876.4
Allowed / game79.177.880.6
Point differential-1.5+1.0-4.2
Avg total156.8156.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi2520580%86.077.5+8.5
2 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.874.9+10.9
3 Virtus Bologna2618869%85.377.3+8.0
4 Venezia2718967%81.277.3+4.0
5 Sassari2516964%89.586.2+3.3
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste26121446%80.280.5-0.3
8 Trento25111444%77.679.1-1.5
9 Pesaro27111641%81.183.7-2.6
10 Cremona25101540%85.586.4-0.9
11 Varese26101638%81.186.2-5.0
12 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
13 Cantu2691735%78.382.7-4.4
14 Brescia2791833%80.984.7-3.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna2791833%77.782.1-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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