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Trento vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-81
15-26 21-13 15-19 19-23
Position#8
Record6-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game79.9
Trento
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record9-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.3
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trento v Pesaro
10 Mar 2024
TRE109
PES82
04 Dec 2022
TRE79
PES75
23 Apr 2022
TRE82
PES83
07 Feb 2021
TRE70
PES81
11 Mar 2020
TRE v PES
upcoming
14 Apr 2019
TRE81
PES76
19 Nov 2017
TRE91
PES74
26 Mar 2017
TRE97
PES91
08 Nov 2015
TRE81
PES74
11 Apr 2015
TRE77
PES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
65avg 64
A20/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
59avg 64
A03/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
71avg 64
H09/01
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
43-71
43
71
-28
27avg 64
A13/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H17/01
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
95avg 64
H20/01
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
74-83
74
83
-9
43avg 64
A23/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
no box
A26/01
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
64-78
64
78
-14
55avg 64
H31/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
W
67-57
67
57
+10
55avg 64
H02/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
26-24
21-26
18-19
16-19
28-16
13-15
16-24
15-21
24-27
18-22
28-22
16-24
4-11
10-19
13-17
21-15
15-26
18-16
22-25
27-12
34-27
13-32
22-13
16-17
17-20
18-28
23-18
21-9
14-25
22-19
23-27
20-17
16-21
10-12
18-28
12-15
21-13
14-17
20-12
155.1Avg total
74.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.479.9157.3-2.635%
Season at home (8)78.981.2160.1-2.438%
Season away (9)76.078.8154.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)74.680.5155.1-5.920%
Last 5 (5)77.478.8156.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.277.4155.6+0.950%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.278.1151.2-4.933%
vs Weaker (4)87.274.2161.5+13.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 75
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 75
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 75
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 75
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 75
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 75
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 75
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
63avg 75
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
107-83
107
83
+24
103avg 75
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
H31/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
22-19
26-28
15-16
15-21
19-13
20-23
16-21
27-21
23-15
26-24
16-21
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
19-23
22-21
20-28
13-27
26-20
27-18
29-14
25-31
20-19
14-13
15-15
16-31
171.3Avg total
84.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.182.3165.4+0.850%
Season at home (10)83.079.1162.1+3.960%
Season away (8)83.286.2169.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)84.486.9171.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)87.489.0176.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.791.9174.6-9.223%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.379.2160.5+2.157%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -5.2-5.2
TrentoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A20/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A03/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H09/01
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A13/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/01
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H20/01
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A26/01
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H31/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/02
Eurocup
76.2Avg total
38.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.975.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.937.676.5+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.174.5-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.276.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.274.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.936.679.5+6.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.338.272.5-3.833%-
vs Weaker (4)41.839.080.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
Lega A
84.3Avg total
43.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.481.9+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.039.879.8+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)43.141.284.3+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.284.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.683.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.443.687.0-0.246%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.940.179.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.5
44.2%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.611.2
76.7%
75.8%11.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.3%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.011.4
76.0%
75.8%11.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLLWLLLLL
Pesaro
LWLWLLWWLL
#8
League position
#10
-8.3
Net rating
-3.4
98.2
Offensive rating
114.9
106.5
Defensive rating
118.3
45.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.4%
3-point %
38.3%
55.3%
Assist %
57.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 114.9Defence106.5 · 118.3Shooting45.9% · 54.4%3-point %32.4% · 38.3%Ball care15.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.3% · 31.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Trento wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
17/10/20Pesaro v Trento57-71
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21HLevallois67-57
31/01/21HFortitudo Bologna64-78
26/01/21ALevallois86-92 OT
23/01/21AReggiana74-83
20/01/21HLokomotiv Kuban96-84
17/01/21HTreviso76-82
13/01/21APartizan43-71
09/01/21HVirtus Bologna85-92
03/01/21ABrindisi73-74
20/12/20ATrieste82-92
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21HVenezia65-78
24/01/21HCantu107-83
17/01/21ASassari74-99
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74
19/12/20ABrindisi92-81
12/12/20HFortitudo Bologna70-78
06/12/20ATreviso81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game77.478.976.0
Allowed / game79.981.278.8
Point differential-2.6-2.4-2.8
Avg total157.3160.1154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game83.183.083.2
Allowed / game82.379.186.2
Point differential+0.8+3.9-3.0
Avg total165.4162.1169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%88.675.1+13.5
2 Sassari1813572%91.385.0+6.3
3 Brindisi1712571%84.879.2+5.6
4 Venezia1812667%80.676.6+4.0
5 Virtus Bologna1711665%85.478.1+7.4
6 Trieste189950%80.779.6+1.1
7 Pesaro189950%83.182.3+0.8
8 Treviso178947%84.488.8-4.5
9 Reggiana1771041%76.280.1-3.9
10 Brescia1871139%80.783.9-3.2
11 Trento1761135%77.479.9-2.6
12 Fortitudo Bologna1761135%78.881.9-3.1
13 Varese1761135%81.889.0-7.2
14 Cremona1861233%84.287.6-3.4
15 Cantu1861233%79.484.4-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1521151970
Pesaro2613192381
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