PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-70
21-13 20-23 21-14 26-20
Position#12
Record8-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.1
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record8-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.1
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 71
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
72avg 71
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 71
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 71
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 71
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 71
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 71
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 71
H14/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
16-14
8-28
26-22
20-28
27-26
17-17
19-37
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
169.4Avg total
82.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.287.1168.3-6.036%
Season at home (12)82.884.8167.5-2.050%
Season away (10)79.390.0169.3-10.720%
Last 10 (10)82.686.8169.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)79.280.8160.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.890.7172.5-8.831%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.786.7167.3-6.033%
vs Weaker (5)84.282.0166.2+2.260%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
L
74-83
74
83
-9
43avg 64
A23/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
no box
A26/01
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
64-78
64
78
-14
55avg 64
H31/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
W
67-57
67
57
+10
55avg 64
H02/02
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
70-81
70
81
-11
59avg 64
H07/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
A28/02
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
69-54
69
54
+15
66avg 64
H03/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
55avg 64
H07/03
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
86-100
86
100
-14
81avg 64
A10/03
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
W
91-67
91
67
+24
no box
H20/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
17-20
18-28
23-18
21-9
14-25
22-19
23-27
20-17
16-21
10-12
18-28
12-15
21-13
14-17
20-12
15-26
21-13
15-19
19-23
22-27
21-19
16-28
28-21
15-19
14-9
25-8
15-18
14-14
16-14
19-18
12-14
20-27
18-27
28-22
20-24
24-24
22-16
23-13
22-14
152.2Avg total
75.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.379.1156.5-1.838%
Season at home (11)77.578.0155.5-0.545%
Season away (10)77.180.4157.5-3.330%
Last 10 (10)75.576.7152.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)78.875.2154.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.377.9155.2-0.650%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.577.8152.3-3.333%
vs Weaker (2)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
81.8Avg total
40.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.884.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.642.382.9-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)39.945.685.4-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.781.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.675.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.049.289.2-9.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.740.279.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker (5)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A26/01
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H31/01
Lega A
Levallois
#8
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H02/02
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A28/02
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/03
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/03
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/03
Lega A
73.1Avg total
35.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.175.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.136.874.9+1.359%-
Last 30 away (13)37.339.777.0-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.273.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.276.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.137.578.6+3.670%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.138.373.3-3.233%-
vs Weaker (2)45.539.084.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.0
48.8%
51.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.8
35.1%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
75.8%13.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.9
49.2%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.3
34.6%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.2
76.7%
75.8%13.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLLWWLLL
Trento
WLWWLLWLLL
#12
League position
#8
-8.0
Net rating
+1.6
108.0
Offensive rating
104.3
116.0
Defensive rating
102.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
34.6%
56.3%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 104.3Defence116.0 · 102.7Shooting50.6% · 50.2%3-point %35.1% · 34.6%Ball care15.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 22.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Trento wins
DateGameScore
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
31/01/21ACantu82-97
27/01/21ATrieste83-108
27/12/20HTreviso79-80
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21HBrescia91-67
10/03/21ALokomotiv Kuban86-100
07/03/21HOlimpia Milano61-60
03/03/21HPartizan69-54
28/02/21ACremona87-95
07/02/21HPesaro70-81
02/02/21HLevallois67-57
31/01/21HFortitudo Bologna64-78
26/01/21ALevallois86-92 OT
23/01/21AReggiana74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game81.282.879.3
Allowed / game87.184.890.0
Point differential-6.0-2.0-10.7
Avg total168.3167.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Trento
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game77.377.577.1
Allowed / game79.178.080.4
Point differential-1.8-0.5-3.3
Avg total156.5155.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2319483%86.374.0+12.3
2 Brindisi2217577%85.978.8+7.1
3 Sassari2115671%90.985.3+5.6
4 Virtus Bologna2215768%84.777.2+7.5
5 Venezia2315865%80.376.4+3.8
6 Trieste22111150%80.679.5+1.1
7 Treviso22111150%84.088.0-4.0
8 Pesaro22101245%81.582.1-0.6
9 Brescia2391439%81.284.2-3.0
10 Trento2181338%77.379.1-1.8
11 Fortitudo Bologna2281436%77.782.0-4.3
12 Varese2281436%81.287.1-6.0
13 Cremona2381535%85.487.6-2.2
14 Cantu2381535%78.983.1-4.2
15 Reggiana2271532%74.881.1-6.3
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2120212688
Trento1323142070
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.