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VMI vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-82
34-47 34-35
Position#364
Record6-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Citadel 🏆
USA
Position#302
Record5-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · VMI v Citadel
16 Jan 2027
VMI v CITA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
VMI68
CITA82
07 Mar 2025
VMI73
CITA62
08 Feb 2025
VMI82
CITA70
20 Jan 2024
VMI70
CITA63
21 Jan 2023
VMI52
CITA60
12 Feb 2022
VMI79
CITA83
16 Jan 2021
VMI110
CITA103
18 Jan 2020
VMI88
CITA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-81
48
81
-33
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
89-36
89
36
+53
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H03/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A10/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-45
28-36
32-45
25-37
49-18
40-18
51-32
35-38
43-44
47-53
36-34
22-44
39-23
40-48
30-41
37-40
27-34
21-35
33-36
34-41
143.1Avg total
68.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.175.9150.1-1.833%
Season at home (8)84.264.1148.4+20.162%
Season away (10)66.085.4151.4-19.410%
Last 10 (10)68.974.2143.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)63.875.2139.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)66.878.5145.3-11.718%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.381.3160.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (4)89.266.5155.8+22.8100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
34-43
54-40
44-33
28-35
27-36
36-35
42-47
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
149.4Avg total
69.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.476.3147.7-4.928%
Season at home (9)77.375.0152.3+2.344%
Season away (9)65.477.7143.1-12.211%
Last 10 (10)69.380.1149.4-10.820%
Last 5 (5)68.683.2151.8-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)64.979.6144.5-14.711%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.072.8139.8-5.811%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: -5.8-5.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: -5.8-5.8
VMICitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H03/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A08/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.436.570.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.133.071.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)31.239.670.8-8.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.271.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.138.971.0-6.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (4)43.026.869.8+16.2100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
33.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.536.267.7-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.735.869.5-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)29.336.665.9-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.371.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.070.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.638.668.2-9.016%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.332.463.8-1.133%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
VMI wins
4
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25VMI v Citadel73-62
08/02/25VMI v Citadel82-70
18/01/25Citadel v VMI70-75
17/02/24Citadel v VMI76-51
20/01/24VMI v Citadel70-63
03/02/23Citadel v VMI69-75
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
20/02/21Citadel v VMI75-74
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HMercer67-77
10/01/26AFurman48-69
08/01/26AEast Tennessee St67-81
03/01/26HChattanooga Mocs79-71
01/01/26HSamford58-78
21/12/25ARadford90-97
09/12/25HLoyola Maryland86-70
06/12/25HChristendom89-36
29/11/25AUCF Knights57-82
26/11/25ABowling Green48-81
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
18/12/25ACharleston78-82
14/12/25ASouth Carolina55-71
10/12/25HSouthern W.98-73
05/12/25ADavidson63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%62%10%
Points / game74.184.266.0
Allowed / game75.964.185.4
Point differential-1.8+20.1-19.4
Avg total150.1148.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game71.477.365.4
Allowed / game76.375.077.7
Point differential-4.9+2.3-12.2
Avg total147.7152.3143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St1913668%78.166.9+11.1
2 Furman1913668%77.269.9+7.3
3 Mercer1912763%85.375.0+10.3
4 Wofford1912763%78.476.5+1.8
5 Chattanooga Mocs1991047%77.673.1+4.5
6 Samford1991047%77.576.4+1.2
7 NC Greensboro1971237%78.580.7-2.2
8 Western Carolina1761135%77.280.6-3.4
9 VMI1861233%74.175.9-1.8
10 Citadel1851328%71.476.3-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI343468
Citadel473582
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