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VMI vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-70
41-31 41-39
Position#250
Record11-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game71.6
VMI 🏆
USA
vs
Position#361
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · VMI v Citadel
16 Jan 2027
VMI v CITA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
VMI68
CITA82
07 Mar 2025
VMI73
CITA62
08 Feb 2025
VMI82
CITA70
20 Jan 2024
VMI70
CITA63
21 Jan 2023
VMI52
CITA60
12 Feb 2022
VMI79
CITA83
16 Jan 2021
VMI110
CITA103
18 Jan 2020
VMI88
CITA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
66-91
66
91
-25
A12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H22/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-34
41-36
40-47
28-34
22-51
44-40
29-28
37-22
41-36
34-34
43-36
48-46
28-27
29-33
41-25
33-42
37-34
34-37
26-39
29-23
140.8Avg total
69.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.371.6146.9+3.746%
Season at home (10)83.262.7145.9+20.560%
Season away (14)69.678.0147.6-8.436%
Last 10 (10)69.970.9140.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)71.469.4140.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.380.7144.0-17.513%
vs Similar (5)69.877.2147.0-7.40%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.964.4149.3+20.489%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
46-80
46
80
-34
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
38-39
19-30
39-28
22-36
30-34
29-34
28-36
36-41
34-34
26-52
42-27
27-36
45-36
18-34
28-46
29-47
29-36
32-34
29-42
138.2Avg total
62.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.574.6142.2-7.123%
Season at home (14)73.172.1145.2+0.936%
Season away (8)57.979.0136.9-21.10%
Last 10 (10)62.176.1138.2-14.00%
Last 5 (5)62.279.6141.8-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.479.0140.4-17.66%
vs Similar (9)70.876.1146.9-5.311%
vs Weaker (4)89.062.2151.2+26.8100%
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -11.8-11.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -1.6-1.6
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -11.8-11.82nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -1.6-1.6
VMICitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H05/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
33.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.872.3-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.032.470.4+5.667%-
Last 30 away (18)33.839.773.5-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.335.769.0-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.267.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.540.071.5-8.527%-
vs Similar (5)32.439.271.6-6.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.131.473.6+10.789%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H09/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A11/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
26.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.237.369.5-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.335.669.9-1.339%-
Last 30 away (12)29.039.868.8-10.88%-
Last 10 (10)26.838.665.4-11.80%-
Last 5 (5)26.440.667.0-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.439.867.2-12.40%-
vs Similar (9)33.036.169.1-3.133%-
vs Weaker (4)48.233.581.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
VMI wins
4
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Citadel v VMI70-75
17/02/24Citadel v VMI76-51
20/01/24VMI v Citadel70-63
03/02/23Citadel v VMI69-75
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
20/02/21Citadel v VMI75-74
16/01/21VMI v Citadel110-103
08/02/20Citadel v VMI64-75
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HEast Tennessee St55-62
01/02/25AWestern Carolina80-76 OT
30/01/25AWofford74-67
25/01/25HNC Greensboro57-60
22/01/25HFurman91-82
18/01/25ACitadel75-70
15/01/25HWestern Carolina66-50
12/01/25AChattanooga Mocs66-91
10/01/25ASamford68-81
04/01/25HMercer67-70
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HNC Greensboro61-76
01/02/25HSamford58-83
30/01/25AMercer46-80
25/01/25HWestern Carolina78-80 OT
23/01/25AWofford68-79
18/01/25HVMI70-75
16/01/25ANC Greensboro57-70
11/01/25AEast Tennessee St52-70
09/01/25HFurman63-67 OT
04/01/25HChattanooga Mocs68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %46%60%36%
Points / game75.383.269.6
Allowed / game71.662.778.0
Point differential+3.7+20.5-8.4
Avg total146.9145.9147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %23%36%0%
Points / game67.573.157.9
Allowed / game74.672.179.0
Point differential-7.1+0.9-21.1
Avg total142.2145.2136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2419579%84.473.0+11.4
2 Furman2418675%76.868.6+8.2
3 Chattanooga Mocs2416867%78.072.0+5.9
4 NC Greensboro2415962%73.564.7+8.8
5 East Tennessee St24141058%73.366.8+6.5
6 Wofford24121250%74.170.4+3.7
7 VMI24111346%75.371.6+3.7
8 Mercer24111346%79.776.3+3.3
9 Western Carolina2261627%68.578.9-10.3
10 Citadel2251723%67.574.6-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI414182
Citadel313970
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