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Wake Forest vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 59-68
31-33 28-35
Position#87
Record21-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game68.0
Wake Forest
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#111
Record21-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wake Forest v North Carolina
13 Mar 2025
WAKE59
NORT68
21 Jan 2025
WAKE67
NORT66
07 Feb 2023
WAKE92
NORT85
22 Jan 2022
WAKE98
NORT76
11 Feb 2020
WAKE74
NORT57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H27/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
69-43
69
43
+26
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
42-38
40-37
39-36
31-29
45-37
35-21
35-51
32-34
45-32
34-40
39-45
33-44
42-39
25-30
49-41
27-40
33-53
34-15
35-28
145.5Avg total
72.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.568.0138.6+2.568%
Season at home (18)72.164.6136.7+7.683%
Season away (13)68.472.8141.2-4.546%
Last 10 (10)72.972.6145.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)70.275.0145.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.073.4136.4-10.425%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.564.8135.3+5.877%
vs Weaker (9)78.070.1148.1+7.989%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A05/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H08/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
32-34
33-49
32-36
42-34
46-48
54-26
43-47
46-34
35-32
49-43
47-42
46-31
46-42
46-29
45-30
42-43
27-39
43-29
33-27
154.9Avg total
82.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.575.5157.0+6.064%
Season at home (19)84.574.3158.7+10.274%
Season away (14)77.477.1154.6+0.350%
Last 10 (10)82.272.7154.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)84.871.0155.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.287.2162.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.576.7153.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (14)84.869.9154.6+14.9100%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.9+0.9
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.9+0.9
Wake ForestNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H08/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
32.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.265.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.731.865.5+1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)30.834.965.7-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.665.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.864.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.437.264.6-9.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.130.562.5+1.638%-
vs Weaker (9)37.433.470.9+4.089%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A05/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/03
NCAA
78.6Avg total
43.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.773.9+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.534.674.2+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)36.437.173.5-0.762%-
Last 10 (10)43.635.078.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.080.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.344.778.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.536.271.7-0.760%-
vs Weaker (14)42.131.573.6+10.6100%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wake Forest wins
4
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Wake Forest v North Carolina67-66
23/01/24North Carolina v Wake Forest85-64
08/02/23Wake Forest v North Carolina92-85
05/01/23North Carolina v Wake Forest88-79
23/01/22Wake Forest v North Carolina98-76
21/01/21North Carolina v Wake Forest80-73
04/03/20North Carolina v Wake Forest93-83
12/02/20Wake Forest v North Carolina74-57
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HGeorgia Tech69-43
04/03/25ADuke60-93
01/03/25HNotre Dame74-71
27/02/25HVirginia75-83
22/02/25ANC State73-85
15/02/25ASMU Mustangs77-66
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72
08/02/25ACalifornia76-66
06/02/25AStanford79-73
01/02/25HPittsburgh76-74
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HNotre Dame76-56
08/03/25HDuke69-82
05/03/25AVirginia Tech91-59
01/03/25HMiami (FL)92-73
25/02/25AFlorida State96-85
22/02/25HVirginia81-66
20/02/25HNC State97-73
15/02/25ASyracuse88-82
11/02/25AClemson65-85
08/02/25HPittsburgh67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW68%
HomeWLLWW83%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %68%83%46%
Points / game70.572.168.4
Allowed / game68.064.672.8
Point differential+2.5+7.6-4.5
Avg total138.6136.7141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)83% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWLW74%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %64%74%50%
Points / game81.584.577.4
Allowed / game75.574.377.1
Point differential+6.0+10.2+0.3
Avg total157.0158.7154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3229391%83.361.6+21.7
2 Clemson3126584%77.165.7+11.4
3 Louisville3125681%79.368.5+10.8
4 SMU Mustangs3223972%80.871.6+9.3
5 Wake Forest31211068%70.568.0+2.5
6 North Carolina33211264%81.575.5+6.0
7 Stanford32201262%73.070.4+2.6
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest312859
North Carolina333568
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