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Waverley vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 96-88
22-18 25-18 28-32 21-20
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game90.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Waverley v Geelong
11 Apr 2025
WAVE96
GEEL88
16 Jul 2023
WAVE72
GEEL93
09 May 2021
WAVE99
GEEL95
05 May 2019
WAVE62
GEEL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
91-98
91
98
-7
H16/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A01/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A04/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
66-98
66
98
-32
H06/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A11/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A12/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
104-88
104
88
+16
H05/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A08/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
29-28
15-28
22-17
29-19
15-24
17-30
26-22
27-19
22-26
15-12
36-17
28-19
25-26
18-29
18-20
24-26
9-25
11-21
22-26
25-20
12-26
18-27
16-15
14-31
23-36
19-16
18-19
31-18
31-20
20-24
16-21
28-15
28-20
26-19
22-34
18-26
15-30
30-29
16-25
178.9Avg total
85.9Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.793.7187.3+0.067%
Season at home (2)101.085.5186.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)79.0110.0189.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)85.993.0178.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)85.294.2179.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.193.8171.9-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (9)90.090.7180.7-0.756%
vs Weaker (13)95.286.8181.9+8.462%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H22/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A23/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H28/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H06/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A07/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
58-108
58
108
-50
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
24-21
17-26
23-13
18-21
18-23
19-20
20-10
20-18
21-23
30-22
17-14
14-20
26-17
25-13
13-15
14-28
19-17
21-19
21-24
31-14
36-23
16-19
19-18
23-21
14-15
25-13
21-23
19-11
12-23
19-32
31-20
12-32
19-26
11-23
16-27
24-21
21-23
25-17
28-11
162.6Avg total
82.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.090.0168.0-12.050%
Season at home (2)78.090.0168.0-12.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.580.1162.6+2.470%
Last 5 (5)84.482.4166.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.288.0167.2-8.842%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.981.0167.9+5.970%
vs Weaker (8)83.881.2165.0+2.550%
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
WaverleyGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H16/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H22/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A01/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A04/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H06/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A11/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A12/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H29/03
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H05/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/04
NBL1 South
93.7Avg total
45.8Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.146.291.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.589.7+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)44.148.993.1-4.847%-
Last 10 (10)45.847.993.7-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.048.493.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.848.287.0-9.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)48.246.394.6+1.967%-
vs Weaker (13)46.944.991.8+2.062%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H28/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/04
NBL1 South
83.0Avg total
40.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.844.287.0-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.879.1-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.283.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.044.081.0-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.842.385.1+0.550%-
vs Weaker (8)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Waverley wins
5
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
12/07/24Geelong v Waverley102-74
16/07/23Waverley v Geelong72-93
09/07/22Geelong v Waverley99-91
09/05/21Waverley v Geelong99-95 OT
01/05/21Geelong v Waverley81-79
05/05/19Waverley v Geelong62-92
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/25AKnox79-110
05/04/25HNW Tasmania104-88
29/03/25HNunawading98-83
12/07/24AGeelong74-102
11/07/24AMelbourne Tigers71-88
06/07/24HFrankston66-98
04/07/24AEltham89-94
01/07/24ARingwood100-74
22/06/24HCasey Cavaliers87-95
16/06/24HBallarat91-98
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBallarat98-72
29/03/25HMt Gambier58-108
20/07/24AEltham81-86
13/07/24ADiamond Valley83-72
12/07/24HWaverley102-74
07/07/24AKnox75-88
06/07/24HDandenong78-65
28/06/24HCasey Cavaliers88-77
23/06/24ANunawading75-74
22/06/24HHobart Chargers87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game93.7101.079.0
Allowed / game93.785.5110.0
Point differential+0.0+15.5-31.0
Avg total187.3186.5189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-12.0-12.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Hobart Chargers330100%84.778.3+6.3
3 Mt Gambier32167%96.071.7+24.3
4 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
5 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
6 Casey Cavaliers32167%81.079.3+1.7
7 Waverley32167%93.793.7+0.0
8 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
9 Ballarat21150%90.586.5+4.0
10 Frankston21150%88.587.5+1.0
11 Kilsyth42250%81.282.0-0.8
12 NW Tasmania21150%89.092.5-3.5
13 Geelong21150%78.090.0-12.0
14 Nunawading31233%82.789.0-6.3
15 Keilor Thunder31233%81.389.7-8.3
16 Bendigo Braves31233%81.090.0-9.0
17 Diamond Valley41325%80.594.8-14.2
18 Dandenong3030%84.095.3-11.3
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%75.094.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley2225282196
Geelong1818322088
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