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Welcome vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 74-86
8-24 22-21 20-25 24-16
Position#12
Record4-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game95.2
vs
Bigua 🏆
Uruguay
Position#5
Record11-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game88.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Bigua
07 Mar 2026
WELC74
BIGU86
04 Dec 2025
WELC86
BIGU98
21 Jan 2025
WELC82
BIGU87
24 Jan 2019
WELC76
BIGU82
23 Jan 2018
WELC80
BIGU88
11 Dec 2015
WELC83
BIGU71
22 Sep 2012
WELC69
BIGU75
16 Nov 2011
WELC79
BIGU83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 74
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 74
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
88avg 74
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
62avg 74
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 74
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
53avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 74
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
76avg 74
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-26
24-23
29-22
23-29
13-26
17-23
22-13
14-28
29-34
28-25
20-33
20-20
20-38
20-16
13-12
15-27
18-25
24-24
17-31
15-14
25-21
26-17
29-25
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
23-28
20-23
13-23
21-17
19-15
19-12
18-22
15-22
170.7Avg total
81.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.795.2175.9-14.518%
Season at home (11)82.491.2173.5-8.827%
Season away (11)79.199.2178.3-20.19%
Last 10 (10)81.689.1170.7-7.540%
Last 5 (5)80.879.6160.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.795.0177.7-12.230%
vs Similar (3)86.788.3175.0-1.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 79
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 79
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
87-95
87
95
-8
69avg 79
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
73-97
73
97
-24
66avg 79
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 79
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 79
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
126avg 79
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
63avg 79
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
65avg 79
H18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-28
12-23
22-24
32-26
23-25
21-24
32-24
23-29
25-26
23-23
16-17
26-14
17-18
17-25
27-17
18-31
15-35
18-24
22-7
25-32
21-27
32-14
24-23
28-19
15-26
21-25
15-16
30-12
25-21
30-21
33-16
19-31
22-18
15-19
20-30
15-19
12-19
22-18
22-15
178.6Avg total
88.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.488.8177.2-0.550%
Season at home (11)91.587.3178.7+4.264%
Season away (11)85.390.4175.6-5.136%
Last 10 (10)88.789.9178.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)91.287.2178.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.096.3176.3-16.30%
vs Similar (12)87.888.2175.9-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.282.5178.7+13.673%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
WelcomeBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
84.5Avg total
38.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.749.290.9-7.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.747.688.3-6.921%-
Last 30 away (16)42.650.693.1-8.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.884.5-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.249.390.5-8.022%-
vs Similar (3)46.048.394.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H18/02
Liga Uruguaya
91.2Avg total
43.3Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.544.989.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.043.289.2+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)43.146.589.6-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.991.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.051.993.9-9.90%-
vs Similar (12)44.645.790.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.139.585.6+6.573%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.5
55.6%
53.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
70.9%11.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.0
50.3%
53.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.7
38.6%
33.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
70.9%14.5
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
WLLWWLLLLW
Bigua
LLWLWLWLWL
#12
League position
#5
-9.5
Net rating
-2.1
91.1
Offensive rating
104.2
100.5
Defensive rating
106.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.3%
3-point %
38.6%
65.8%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 104.2Defence100.5 · 106.3Shooting53.2% · 53.6%3-point %33.3% · 38.6%Ball care16.5% · 13.7%Off. rebounds20.3% · 32.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Welcome   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Welcome wins
8
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26Bigua v Welcome81-86 OT
05/12/25Welcome v Bigua86-98
23/03/25Bigua v Welcome124-90
21/01/25Welcome v Bigua82-87
28/10/24Bigua v Welcome99-69
24/01/19Welcome v Bigua76-82
12/11/18Bigua v Welcome69-65
23/01/18Welcome v Bigua80-88
07/11/17Bigua v Welcome68-70
19/12/16Bigua v Welcome85-55
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ABigua86-81 OT
09/02/26HDefensor77-91
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
26/01/26HHebraica y Macabi95-77
20/01/26APenarol74-107
17/01/26HCordon73-86
13/01/26ANacional91-120
09/01/26AUnion Atletica75-91
19/12/25HMalvin99-89
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HWelcome81-86 OT
09/02/26APenarol76-98
03/02/26HCordon118-70
29/01/26AUnion Atletica79-86
26/01/26HMalvin102-96
23/01/26ANacional73-97
15/01/26HUrunday87-74
11/01/26AAguada87-95
07/01/26AHebraica y Macabi108-99
19/12/25ADefensor76-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW18%
HomeWLWWL27%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game80.782.479.1
Allowed / game95.291.299.2
Point differential-14.5-8.8-20.1
Avg total175.9173.5178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game88.491.585.3
Allowed / game88.887.390.4
Point differential-0.5+4.2-5.1
Avg total177.2178.7175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2219386%87.973.2+14.6
2 Aguada2215768%91.986.5+5.4
3 Nacional2214864%92.383.1+9.2
4 Hebraica y Macabi2214864%84.581.7+2.8
5 Malvin2214864%81.880.9+0.9
6 Defensor22121055%86.585.0+1.4
7 Bigua22111150%88.488.8-0.5
8 Union Atletica23111248%82.382.5-0.2
9 Urunday2291341%88.986.3+2.6
10 Goes2261627%81.789.1-7.4
11 Welcome2241818%80.795.2-14.5
12 Cordon2341917%80.694.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome822202474
Bigua2421251686
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