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Malvin vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 95-94
28-23 26-34 21-16 20-21
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.5
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game115.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Malvin v Welcome
20 Oct 2025
MALV95
WELC94
27 Jan 2025
MALV97
WELC70
19 Oct 2018
MALV89
WELC73
02 Mar 2018
MALV94
WELC85
19 Jan 2018
MALV84
WELC75
05 Feb 2016
MALV80
WELC84
19 Nov 2012
MALV94
WELC80
26 Mar 2012
MALV80
WELC58
19 Mar 2012
MALV78
WELC64
18 Nov 2011
MALV82
WELC78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 75
H14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 75
A16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
105-76
105
76
+29
112avg 75
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
92avg 75
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 75
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 75
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 75
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
79avg 75
A12/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
50avg 75
H11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 75
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
25-17
21-21
24-25
25-14
14-25
20-28
16-12
24-24
34-26
19-17
28-9
26-26
12-17
22-29
30-18
18-23
23-22
19-23
27-15
21-21
22-23
17-23
20-26
18-15
24-24
20-20
14-24
24-19
22-23
18-22
24-24
25-14
24-26
17-21
19-17
25-22
20-21
22-26
12-20
173.8Avg total
87.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.083.5165.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)79.089.0168.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)87.586.3173.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)83.890.8174.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.288.1171.3-4.940%
vs Similar (5)73.877.0150.8-3.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.576.4161.9+9.173%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 70
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 70
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 70
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 70
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
70avg 70
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
106-81
106
81
+25
107avg 70
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
90-124
90
124
-34
78avg 70
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
88-87
88
87
+1
84avg 70
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 70
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
106-117
106
117
-11
92avg 70
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
20-32
26-18
32-17
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
23-24
27-20
19-20
28-26
27-21
14-22
20-19
24-15
30-15
32-19
23-28
21-19
17-34
25-35
27-23
21-32
20-24
23-17
22-24
23-22
22-27
27-29
13-31
11-26
23-32
24-23
27-34
32-28
186.2Avg total
89.7Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.5115.0204.5-25.50%
Season at home (1)106.0117.0223.0-11.00%
Season away (1)73.0113.0186.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)89.796.5186.2-6.850%
Last 5 (5)92.6104.4197.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.496.9177.3-16.526%
vs Similar (3)84.776.7161.3+8.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Malvin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
MalvinWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A12/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
86.0Avg total
44.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.983.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.984.4+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)41.940.081.9+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.686.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.743.586.2-0.840%-
vs Similar (5)37.034.071.0+3.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.539.585.0+5.967%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
42-69
42
69
-27
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
95.8Avg total
45.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.148.687.8-9.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.846.486.1-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.650.689.2-12.119%-
Last 10 (10)45.949.995.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)48.651.099.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.350.288.5-11.919%-
vs Similar (3)46.734.381.0+12.3100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Malvin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.0
51.7%
53.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.7
35.8%
33.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
70.9%15.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.2
55.5%
53.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.4
75.6%
70.9%16.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWLLLWWWLW
Welcome
LLWLWWWLLW
#4
League position
#12
+1.8
Net rating
-9.9
112.1
Offensive rating
110.9
110.3
Defensive rating
120.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.8%
3-point %
33.6%
57.3%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 110.9Defence110.3 · 120.8Shooting52.6% · 53.6%3-point %35.8% · 33.6%Ball care16.8% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 22.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Malvin   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Malvin wins
2
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
27/01/25Malvin v Welcome97-70
10/11/24Welcome v Malvin60-86
08/01/19Welcome v Malvin72-90
19/10/18Malvin v Welcome89-73
02/03/18Malvin v Welcome94-85
19/01/18Malvin v Welcome84-75
31/10/17Welcome v Malvin87-78
04/11/16Welcome v Malvin63-87
06/02/16Malvin v Welcome80-84
29/12/15Welcome v Malvin87-94
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25APenarol79-89
11/10/25HCordon85-78
12/05/25AAguada99-111 OT
09/05/25HAguada76-83
06/05/25AAguada80-93
30/04/25HAguada87-83
25/04/25AAguada99-96 OT
22/04/25HCordon105-76
16/04/25ACordon75-79
14/04/25HCordon90-75
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/25HNacional106-117
09/10/25AUrunday73-113
06/04/25AUrupan88-87
23/03/25ABigua90-124
18/03/25ATrouville106-81
15/03/25HUrupan85-77
12/03/25HUrunday97-90
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
27/02/25HUrupan99-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.085.079.0
Allowed / game83.578.089.0
Point differential-1.5+7.0-10.0
Avg total165.5163.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game89.5106.073.0
Allowed / game115.0117.0113.0
Point differential-25.5-11.0-40.0
Avg total204.5223.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol220100%88.070.5+17.5
2 Aguada220100%104.096.0+8.0
3 Defensor43175%96.889.5+7.2
4 Bigua32167%89.087.3+1.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi32167%82.785.0-2.3
6 Urunday42250%101.890.5+11.2
7 Union Atletica21150%92.584.0+8.5
8 Malvin21150%82.083.5-1.5
9 Nacional21150%89.596.5-7.0
10 Cordon3030%79.389.7-10.3
11 Goes3030%82.396.0-13.7
12 Welcome2020%89.5115.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin2826212095
Welcome2334162194
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