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Western Kentucky vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 69-76
32-35 37-41
Position#151
Record11-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#26
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Liberty
21 Jan 2026
WEST69
LIBE76
08 Mar 2025
WEST61
LIBE90
06 Jan 2024
WEST70
LIBE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H04/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A09/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
33-48
54-28
48-31
37-30
44-52
22-38
45-40
42-49
60-42
37-25
29-36
28-46
36-34
31-35
37-21
41-34
46-38
34-43
31-38
150.0Avg total
76.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.475.8156.2+4.761%
Season at home (12)84.274.8158.9+9.475%
Season away (6)73.077.8150.8-4.833%
Last 10 (10)76.373.7150.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)70.070.0140.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.183.1162.2-4.033%
vs Similar (15)71.973.1145.1-1.247%
vs Weaker (5)82.870.2153.0+12.6100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A11/12
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A09/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H15/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-45
26-40
50-27
45-30
29-33
35-28
41-33
41-49
46-33
35-40
27-27
51-42
34-27
38-29
34-33
48-41
46-29
27-42
41-38
39-31
147.6Avg total
76.7Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.368.0148.3+12.383%
Season at home (11)85.664.3149.9+21.491%
Season away (7)71.973.9145.7-2.071%
Last 10 (10)76.770.9147.6+5.890%
Last 5 (5)77.067.8144.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)72.670.3142.9+2.278%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.166.1145.3+13.086%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
Western KentuckyLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A09/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.670.0+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.934.471.2+2.570%-
Last 30 away (10)32.535.067.5-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.771.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.237.673.8-1.356%-
vs Similar (15)32.934.367.2-1.553%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.469.2+6.480%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#128
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H15/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/01
NCAA
69.2Avg total
36.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.068.4+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.328.768.9+11.689%-
Last 30 away (12)33.134.467.5-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.569.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.867.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)34.433.768.1+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.729.868.5+8.981%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Kentucky wins
2
Liberty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HKennesaw State65-81
15/01/26HMissouri State87-72
10/01/26AUTEP68-56
09/01/26ANew Mexico State64-80
04/01/26HLouisiana Tech66-61
02/01/26HSam Houston St.102-91
30/12/25AJacksonville State67-78
20/12/25HTulsa81-82
16/12/25HCampbellsville102-59
11/12/25AMarshall61-77
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HUTEP80-69
15/01/26HNew Mexico State73-71
10/01/26ASam Houston St.82-74
09/01/26ALouisiana Tech72-56
04/01/26HJacksonville State78-69
03/01/26HKennesaw State81-73
28/12/25AFlorida International97-94 OT
20/12/25ADayton64-61
16/12/25HMidway95-57
11/12/25ANC State45-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %61%75%33%
Points / game80.484.273.0
Allowed / game75.874.877.8
Point differential+4.7+9.4-4.8
Avg total156.2158.9150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %6%0%17%
Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %83%91%71%
Points / game80.385.671.9
Allowed / game68.064.373.9
Point differential+12.3+21.4-2.0
Avg total148.3149.9145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%64%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1815383%80.368.0+12.3
2 Kennesaw State1812667%88.576.3+12.2
3 New Mexico State1711665%77.368.3+9.0
4 Sam Houston St.1811761%84.174.1+10.0
5 Middle Tenn. St.1811761%75.669.8+5.8
6 Western Kentucky1811761%80.475.8+4.7
7 Louisiana Tech1810856%67.760.5+7.2
8 Missouri State1810856%75.972.8+3.1
9 Jacksonville State189950%73.066.3+6.7
10 Florida International189950%83.778.3+5.4
11 UTEP1861233%69.872.8-3.0
12 Delaware1851328%66.272.2-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky323769
Liberty354176
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