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Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-76
42-26 31-50
Position#305
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#248
Record5-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Michigan v Valparaiso
20 Dec 2024
WEST73
VALP76
05 Dec 2021
WEST60
VALP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#542
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H08/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
30-24
42-17
44-29
37-39
28-46
29-43
31-36
41-24
51-45
34-33
42-47
36-30
37-32
35-32
34-45
34-36
37-41
28-49
34-49
144.3Avg total
71.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.073.3144.3-2.330%
Season at home (4)78.568.5147.0+10.050%
Season away (6)66.076.5142.5-10.517%
Last 10 (10)71.073.3144.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)70.278.8149.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.977.1148.0-6.233%
vs Similar (8)63.472.2135.6-8.925%
vs Weaker (3)88.372.7161.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#19
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
31-41
63-18
48-28
31-28
36-47
39-32
38-32
35-29
46-24
41-39
46-43
29-42
41-47
26-35
34-31
36-31
57-46
30-41
43-54
151.2Avg total
78.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.273.0151.2+5.250%
Season at home (7)82.366.1148.4+16.171%
Season away (3)68.789.0157.7-20.30%
Last 10 (10)78.273.0151.2+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.681.8158.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.778.9146.6-11.212%
vs Similar (4)80.270.8151.0+9.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
Western MichiganValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Davenport Univ.
#542
W
42-17
42
17
+25
H08/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H17/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.934.766.6-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.133.166.2+0.054%-
Last 30 away (17)30.936.066.9-5.135%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.968.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.069.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.336.167.4-4.844%-
vs Similar (8)28.635.964.5-7.212%-
vs Weaker (3)40.729.370.0+11.3100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/11
NCAA
Concordia
#678
W
63-18
63
18
+45
H09/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/12
NCAA
69.9Avg total
36.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.737.571.2-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.136.171.1-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)32.139.271.4-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.769.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.670.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.039.071.0-7.029%-
vs Similar (4)34.833.568.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Valparaiso v Western Michigan81-65
05/12/21Western Michigan v Valparaiso60-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ANorth Dakota St62-98
14/12/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)71-77
04/12/24ADayton69-77
27/11/24AYoungstown State73-62
21/11/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes76-80
17/11/24HCanisius92-69
15/11/24HSiu Edwardsville60-79
12/11/24AButler65-85
08/11/24HDavenport Univ.86-46
05/11/24ACoastal Carolina56-60
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AOhio State73-95
14/12/24HCentral Michigan93-77
06/12/24HDrake60-66
29/11/24ADePaul70-89
27/11/24HNorthern Illinois87-82
24/11/24HEastern Illinois81-53
22/11/24HLindenwood77-64
13/11/24HCleveland State67-75
09/11/24HConcordia111-46
04/11/24ALiberty63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game71.078.566.0
Allowed / game73.368.576.5
Point differential-2.3+10.0-10.5
Avg total144.3147.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %50%71%0%
Points / game78.282.368.7
Allowed / game73.066.189.0
Point differential+5.2+16.1-20.3
Avg total151.2148.4157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State108280%69.760.2+9.5
2 Akron96367%85.275.4+9.8
3 Miami (Ohio)106460%75.471.9+3.5
4 Toledo116555%78.377.4+0.9
5 Central Michigan105550%77.371.6+5.7
6 Eastern Michigan105550%69.774.2-4.5
7 Ohio115645%77.877.6+0.2
8 Buffalo115645%73.680.2-6.5
9 UMass125742%75.474.5+0.9
10 Bowling Green104640%78.674.4+4.2
11 Ball State104640%73.772.7+1.0
12 Western Michigan103730%71.073.3-2.3
13 Northern Illinois113827%68.776.6-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake10100100%74.856.7+18.1
2 Bradley119282%81.167.5+13.5
3 Belmont129375%84.178.9+5.2
4 Northern Iowa117464%78.965.5+13.5
5 Illinois State117464%80.171.8+8.3
6 Illinois (Chi.)117464%81.674.0+7.6
7 Indiana State117464%82.976.5+6.4
8 Murray State106460%78.867.0+11.8
9 Valparaiso105550%78.273.0+5.2
10 Southern Illinois115645%73.773.2+0.5
11 Evansville113827%67.673.8-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan423173
Valparaiso265076
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