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Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-73
16-17 20-22 19-15 10-19
Position#11
Record7-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game72.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 25· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Zadar
05 Mar 2027
ALKA v ZAD
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
ALKA58
ZAD69
09 Mar 2026
ALKA54
ZAD77
23 Mar 2025
ALKA44
ZAD63
15 Dec 2024
ALKA61
ZAD71
17 Mar 2024
ALKA65
ZAD73
20 Dec 2023
ALKA70
ZAD84
06 Mar 2023
ALKA83
ZAD100
20 Dec 2022
ALKA70
ZAD97
31 Jan 2022
ALKA88
ZAD86
27 Jan 2021
ALKA55
ZAD75
22 Jan 2020
ALKA93
ZAD84
23 Mar 2019
ALKA62
ZAD103
26 Apr 2018
ALKA81
ZAD103
29 Dec 2016
ALKA89
ZAD83
02 May 2015
ALKA61
ZAD81
04 May 2014
ALKA61
ZAD81
17 Apr 2013
ALKA97
ZAD104
22 Oct 2011
ALKA64
ZAD74
04 Apr 2011
ALKA52
ZAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 70
H05/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 70
A13/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 70
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 70
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
72avg 70
A04/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
58-57
58
57
+1
52avg 70
H10/02
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
94-52
94
52
+42
98avg 70
A18/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 70
A02/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
73-62
73
62
+11
78avg 70
H09/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
64avg 70
A13/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
16-25
27-20
19-15
21-20
24-29
16-24
27-21
16-21
21-18
23-29
20-27
15-21
26-20
19-26
26-24
13-25
31-27
21-21
16-22
18-15
13-13
10-20
17-9
19-16
24-9
20-17
31-10
28-22
16-10
8-20
16-22
20-11
20-23
13-8
20-20
13-19
26-23
15-23
14-24
155.9Avg total
77.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.282.0157.2-6.829%
Season at home (12)73.779.4153.1-5.842%
Season away (12)76.884.7161.4-7.917%
Last 10 (10)77.778.2155.9-0.540%
Last 5 (5)72.266.8139.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.584.6155.1-14.17%
vs Similar (10)85.382.8168.1+2.560%
vs Weaker (5)86.682.6169.2+4.040%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Split
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 80
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
84avg 80
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 80
A17/02
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
103-84
103
84
+19
105avg 80
H27/02
Premijer liga
Split
#8
W
77-61
77
61
+16
75avg 80
H01/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
93avg 80
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 80
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 80
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 80
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
82avg 80
H16/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
30-18
16-20
18-15
22-25
13-20
23-9
25-18
13-12
25-15
23-27
19-14
29-29
20-12
25-23
29-20
25-19
19-12
19-9
14-21
17-19
26-15
25-14
19-23
17-10
16-13
14-16
27-20
18-15
20-21
26-19
23-18
17-17
24-12
30-15
21-25
23-13
24-18
25-17
16-17
154.6Avg total
85.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.972.2161.2+16.792%
Season at home (12)91.871.9163.8+19.992%
Season away (12)86.072.6158.6+13.492%
Last 10 (10)85.169.5154.6+15.6100%
Last 5 (5)85.667.4153.0+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.076.0141.0-11.033%
vs Similar (6)79.068.2147.2+10.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.572.1156.6+12.481%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
AlkarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/02
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A18/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H09/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/03
Premijer liga
77.9Avg total
39.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.381.9-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.576.4-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.045.786.7-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.077.9+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.271.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.743.080.7-5.321%-
vs Similar (10)41.941.783.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)39.441.080.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A16/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#2
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A17/02
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/02
Premijer liga
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/03
ABA League
74.9Avg total
41.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.176.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.833.975.6+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.677.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.433.574.9+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.671.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.340.774.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (6)38.829.368.2+9.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.737.479.0+4.357%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.4
54.7%
53.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.6
31.7%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.111.1
64.9%
73.4%11.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.420.1
60.2%
53.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.3
37.1%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.613.1
78.9%
73.4%13.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLWWLLLLW
Zadar
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-1.1
Net rating
+21.6
101.8
Offensive rating
121.0
102.8
Defensive rating
99.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
58.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.7%
3-point %
37.1%
71.0%
Assist %
68.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 121.0Defence102.8 · 99.4Shooting52.0% · 58.1%3-point %31.7% · 37.1%Ball care19.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Alkar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alkar wins
9
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Alkar v Zadar70-84
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
20/12/22Alkar v Zadar70-97
04/12/22Zadar v Alkar90-66
31/01/22Alkar v Zadar88-86 OT
29/10/21Zadar v Alkar92-90
13/03/21Zadar v Alkar102-66
27/01/21Alkar v Zadar55-75
06/10/20Zadar v Alkar91-63
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ASplit68-89
09/03/24HCibona73-62
02/03/24ADinamo Zagreb68-74
18/02/24ABosco94-52
10/02/24HDubrovnik58-57
04/02/24ACedevita Junior81-95
31/01/24HSplit86-91
20/01/24HZabok80-95
13/01/24ASkrljevo88-94
05/01/24HGKK Sibenka81-73
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HCedevita Olimpija88-65
13/03/24HDubrava92-69
09/03/24ASkrljevo87-73
07/03/24HIgokea74-59
03/03/24ADubrava87-71
01/03/24HSplit77-61
27/02/24HSkrljevo103-84
17/02/24ACibona80-68
16/02/24ACedevita Junior83-72
14/02/24HSplit80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL29%
HomeWLLWW42%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%42%17%
Points / game75.273.776.8
Allowed / game82.079.484.7
Point differential-6.8-5.8-7.9
Avg total157.2153.1161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game88.991.886.0
Allowed / game72.271.972.6
Point differential+16.7+19.9+13.4
Avg total161.2163.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2422292%88.972.2+16.7
2 Split2522388%87.071.9+15.2
3 Cibona2418675%79.773.9+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb2516964%84.775.7+9.0
5 Cedevita Junior2516964%85.481.0+4.4
6 Dubrovnik25121348%77.177.9-0.8
7 Zabok25121348%82.984.0-1.0
8 GKK Sibenka24101442%80.181.2-1.0
9 Alkar2471729%75.282.0-6.8
10 Dubrava2461825%77.284.6-7.4
11 Skrljevo2451921%82.692.9-10.3
12 Bosco251244%72.195.9-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1620191065
Zadar1722151973
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