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Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 44-63
14-13 15-18 8-20 7-12
Position#7
Record9-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record21-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game64.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Zadar
05 Mar 2027
ALKA v ZAD
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
ALKA58
ZAD69
09 Mar 2026
ALKA54
ZAD77
23 Mar 2025
ALKA44
ZAD63
15 Dec 2024
ALKA61
ZAD71
17 Mar 2024
ALKA65
ZAD73
20 Dec 2023
ALKA70
ZAD84
06 Mar 2023
ALKA83
ZAD100
20 Dec 2022
ALKA70
ZAD97
31 Jan 2022
ALKA88
ZAD86
27 Jan 2021
ALKA55
ZAD75
22 Jan 2020
ALKA93
ZAD84
23 Mar 2019
ALKA62
ZAD103
26 Apr 2018
ALKA81
ZAD103
29 Dec 2016
ALKA89
ZAD83
02 May 2015
ALKA61
ZAD81
04 May 2014
ALKA61
ZAD81
17 Apr 2013
ALKA97
ZAD104
22 Oct 2011
ALKA64
ZAD74
04 Apr 2011
ALKA52
ZAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
71avg 68
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
63avg 68
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 68
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 68
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-62 OT
72
62
+10
69avg 68
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
52avg 68
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
80avg 68
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
81avg 68
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 68
H12/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
67avg 68
A14/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
22-21
18-14
14-17
11-19
19-17
19-15
18-18
20-8
11-24
21-19
17-11
22-9
17-11
20-20
18-9
21-14
13-16
16-19
8-9
8-25
16-17
19-21
17-14
27-13
12-20
16-20
26-8
30-23
23-14
15-28
18-31
13-31
16-18
23-10
20-11
20-27
17-26
11-24
18-26
143.6Avg total
72.3Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.877.5148.3-6.738%
Season at home (12)74.971.6146.5+3.375%
Season away (12)66.783.4150.1-16.80%
Last 10 (10)72.371.3143.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)73.081.4154.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.281.9152.2-11.724%
vs Similar (8)71.872.1143.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (4)74.867.2142.0+7.575%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
98-71
98
71
+27
98avg 75
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
72avg 75
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 75
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 75
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
72avg 75
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 75
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 75
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 75
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
69avg 75
A16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
99-71
99
71
+28
98avg 75
H21/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-21
30-11
13-22
17-17
16-22
19-29
25-21
15-28
21-21
22-18
15-16
12-16
13-10
18-28
22-19
15-22
10-20
31-19
13-19
22-29
13-8
16-21
16-14
27-20
26-16
17-21
23-16
25-18
25-10
21-19
20-20
9-16
10-15
25-16
15-17
16-18
27-22
24-13
25-16
23-20
155.7Avg total
79.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.364.8143.1+13.588%
Season at home (12)83.864.4148.2+19.4100%
Season away (12)72.865.2137.9+7.675%
Last 10 (10)79.975.8155.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)82.470.0152.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.885.5158.2-12.80%
vs Similar (6)73.370.5143.8+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.866.7145.5+12.184%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
AlkarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H12/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A14/03
Premijer liga
72.2Avg total
35.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.275.1-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.739.676.3-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.938.973.8-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.572.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.942.677.5-7.729%-
vs Similar (8)35.036.171.1-1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)39.232.071.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/03
ABA League
78.2Avg total
42.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.076.5+6.580%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.132.376.4+11.892%-
Last 30 away (17)39.537.176.6+2.571%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.078.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.273.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (6)40.037.077.0+3.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.532.775.2+9.884%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.5
30.9%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
73.3%11.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
73.3%15.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLWLWWWLW
Zadar
WLWWWLLLLW
#7
League position
#1
+1.7
Net rating
+5.5
100.4
Offensive rating
109.2
98.7
Defensive rating
103.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.9%
3-point %
34.4%
68.3%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 109.2Defence98.7 · 103.7Shooting51.4% · 51.2%3-point %30.9% · 34.4%Ball care20.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 34.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Alkar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alkar wins
9
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Alkar v Zadar61-71
28/09/24Zadar v Alkar94-47
17/03/24Alkar v Zadar65-73
20/12/23Alkar v Zadar70-84
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
20/12/22Alkar v Zadar70-97
04/12/22Zadar v Alkar90-66
31/01/22Alkar v Zadar88-86 OT
29/10/21Zadar v Alkar92-90
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25ASplit66-103
12/03/25HCedevita Junior72-70
01/03/25ADinamo Zagreb86-96
22/02/25HKvarner81-61
15/02/25HSplit60-77
14/02/25HCedevita Junior72-62 OT
12/02/25AKastela77-49
08/02/25HGKK Sibenka69-62
02/02/25ACedevita Junior67-69
25/01/25HDubrovnik73-64
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HFMP Beograd99-71
16/03/25ACedevita Olimpija75-80 OT
14/03/25HGKK Sibenka75-65
09/03/25AOsijek91-71
06/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto72-63
02/03/25ACrvena zvezda76-87
28/02/25AKvarner68-79
12/02/25ASplit70-71
10/02/25APartizan75-100
06/02/25HDinamo Zagreb98-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game70.874.966.7
Allowed / game77.571.683.4
Point differential-6.7+3.3-16.8
Avg total148.3146.5150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game78.383.872.8
Allowed / game64.864.465.2
Point differential+13.5+19.4+7.6
Avg total143.1148.2137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%92%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2421388%78.364.8+13.5
2 Split2519676%87.273.3+13.9
3 Cedevita Junior2518772%84.276.2+8.0
4 Cibona2415962%84.078.9+5.1
5 Dinamo Zagreb25131252%84.583.7+0.8
6 Kvarner24121250%79.780.5-0.8
7 Zabok25111444%80.585.3-4.8
8 Dubrava25101540%79.484.7-5.2
9 Alkar2491538%70.877.5-6.7
10 GKK Sibenka2581732%75.282.5-7.2
11 Osijek2571828%75.683.8-8.2
12 Dubrovnik2552020%75.183.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar14158744
Zadar1318201263
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