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Zadar vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-49
23-10 27-14 13-12 20-13
Position#1
Record9-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game74.3
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game76.6
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 11· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zadar v Alkar
04 Dec 2026
ZAD v ALKA
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
ZAD83
ALKA49
28 Sep 2024
ZAD94
ALKA47
11 Oct 2023
ZAD106
ALKA73
04 Dec 2022
ZAD90
ALKA66
29 Oct 2021
ZAD92
ALKA90
13 Mar 2021
ZAD102
ALKA66
06 Oct 2020
ZAD91
ALKA63
31 Oct 2019
ZAD116
ALKA93
14 Nov 2018
ZAD99
ALKA71
19 Jan 2018
ZAD93
ALKA62
23 Apr 2017
ZAD101
ALKA67
04 Apr 2015
ZAD77
ALKA63
06 Apr 2014
ZAD78
ALKA64
11 May 2013
ZAD92
ALKA76
21 Jan 2012
ZAD97
ALKA51
03 May 2011
ZAD76
ALKA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
84avg 77
A01/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
94-70
94
70
+24
99avg 77
A03/11
Premijer liga
KK Bosna
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
72avg 77
H07/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 77
H09/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 77
H14/11
ABA League
Split
#2
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
82avg 77
A16/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 77
H23/11
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
91avg 77
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
82avg 77
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 77
A12/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-25
19-24
19-27
24-17
18-20
27-16
25-17
21-23
13-23
22-8
21-24
28-11
21-24
19-18
14-19
19-24
27-19
20-17
22-13
22-23
14-15
14-19
20-13
28-20
8-17
20-9
27-18
30-19
12-11
20-30
36-18
19-19
20-20
20-13
26-11
20-16
19-31
27-15
23-28
163.9Avg total
86.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.674.3163.9+15.390%
Season at home (4)90.870.2161.0+20.5100%
Season away (6)88.877.0165.8+11.883%
Last 10 (10)86.577.4163.9+9.160%
Last 5 (5)87.476.6164.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.391.3172.7-10.033%
vs Similar (9)77.972.0149.9+5.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.372.6159.9+14.889%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
57avg 66
A17/10
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#19
L
76-81
76
81
-5
75avg 66
H21/10
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
70avg 66
H26/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
84avg 66
A02/11
Premijer liga
Tal Tech
#14
L
51-85
51
85
-34
40avg 66
A05/11
ENBL
Samobor
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
55avg 66
H09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
66-73
66
73
-7
55avg 66
H15/11
Premijer liga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 66
H19/11
ENBL
Kvarner
#11
L
63-95
63
95
-32
50avg 66
A24/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
77avg 66
H06/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
9-22
18-21
12-16
12-16
22-17
17-23
25-25
16-15
15-23
18-17
21-17
18-18
23-22
18-21
16-14
14-21
13-23
12-15
12-26
18-16
14-27
19-14
25-22
16-22
12-18
16-17
22-16
21-17
27-12
15-18
18-18
21-11
15-21
6-29
21-34
17-19
17-25
24-12
22-17
150.0Avg total
71.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.376.6149.9-3.350%
Season at home (6)74.773.8148.5+0.850%
Season away (4)71.280.8152.0-9.550%
Last 10 (10)71.378.7150.0-7.430%
Last 5 (5)73.277.0150.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.980.4154.3-6.541%
vs Similar (7)74.173.1147.3+1.071%
vs Weaker (1)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
ZadarAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A03/11
Premijer liga
KK Bosna
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/11
ABA League
Split
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/11
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/12
ABA League
81.1Avg total
41.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.778.6+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.578.0+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.537.879.3+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.981.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.276.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.067%-
vs Similar (9)40.736.777.3+4.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.535.578.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/10
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/10
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/11
Premijer liga
Tal Tech
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A05/11
ENBL
Samobor
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/11
Premijer liga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H19/11
ENBL
Kvarner
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A24/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/12
Premijer liga
72.8Avg total
34.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.877.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.035.971.9+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.782.5-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.338.572.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.673.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.240.978.1-3.745%-
vs Similar (7)39.037.076.0+2.057%-
vs Weaker (1)31.035.066.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.3
57.0%
53.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.9
34.7%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.516.4
76.3%
74.3%16.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.5
46.4%
53.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.7
29.4%
34.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.211.4
62.6%
74.3%11.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
LWWWLWWLWL
Alkar
WLWLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+12.5
Net rating
-9.1
115.6
Offensive rating
91.5
103.1
Defensive rating
100.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
45.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
29.4%
68.5%
Assist %
74.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 91.5Defence103.1 · 100.6Shooting54.6% · 45.6%3-point %34.7% · 29.4%Ball care17.7% · 19.9%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Zadar   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Zadar wins
1
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Alkar v Zadar44-63
15/12/24Alkar v Zadar61-71
28/09/24Zadar v Alkar94-47
17/03/24Alkar v Zadar65-73
20/12/23Alkar v Zadar70-84
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
20/12/22Alkar v Zadar70-97
04/12/22Zadar v Alkar90-66
31/01/22Alkar v Zadar88-86 OT
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25AMega Basket89-90
07/12/25ACedevita Junior85-63
05/12/25HVienna Basket98-78
23/11/25HDubrovnik83-64
16/11/25ASplit82-88 OT
14/11/25HMega Basket88-73
09/11/25HDinamo Zagreb82-72
07/11/25HKK Bosna77-78
03/11/25AGKK Sibenka94-70
01/11/25ABuducnost87-98
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HZabok80-73
24/11/25AKvarner63-95
19/11/25HKapfenberg Bulls81-65
15/11/25HCibona66-73
09/11/25HSamobor76-79
05/11/25ATal Tech51-85
02/11/25ACedevita Junior88-85 OT
26/10/25HDubrovnik70-72
21/10/25HBristol Flyers76-81
17/10/25ASplit62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game89.690.888.8
Allowed / game74.370.277.0
Point differential+15.3+20.5+11.8
Avg total163.9161.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.374.771.2
Allowed / game76.673.880.8
Point differential-3.3+0.8-9.5
Avg total149.9148.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split1110191%91.681.1+10.5
2 Zadar109190%89.674.3+15.3
3 Zabok117464%82.379.5+2.7
4 Cibona116555%84.880.7+4.1
5 Samobor116555%87.586.5+1.1
6 Alkar105550%73.376.6-3.3
7 Kvarner115645%75.577.7-2.3
8 Dubrovnik115645%76.378.6-2.4
9 Dinamo Zagreb114736%86.487.5-1.1
10 Cedevita Junior113827%80.283.0-2.8
11 Dubrava113827%78.488.6-10.3
12 GKK Sibenka112918%75.285.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2327132083
Alkar1014121349
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