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Zadar vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 66-87
16-21 13-17 25-24 12-25
Position#9
Record4-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#3
Record9-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2025
Meetings · Zadar v Buducnost
11 Jan 2026
ZAD66
BUD87
12 Oct 2024
ZAD55
BUD91
19 Apr 2024
ZAD73
BUD80
30 Dec 2023
ZAD57
BUD67
19 Nov 2022
ZAD103
BUD104
05 Mar 2022
ZAD65
BUD63
16 Mar 2021
ZAD62
BUD76
26 Nov 2018
ZAD69
BUD89
15 Dec 2017
ZAD78
BUD69
26 Dec 2016
ZAD78
BUD76
28 Dec 2015
ZAD52
BUD65
15 Nov 2014
ZAD61
BUD73
05 Jan 2014
ZAD57
BUD64
24 Feb 2013
ZAD60
BUD72
19 Feb 2011
ZAD74
BUD78
13 Mar 2010
ZAD83
BUD78
14 Feb 2009
ZAD92
BUD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
82avg 78
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 78
A12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
83-49
83
49
+34
82avg 78
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 78
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
88-68
88
68
+20
83avg 78
H22/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
66avg 78
A27/12
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 78
A29/12
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
73avg 78
A02/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
87-55
87
55
+32
82avg 78
H05/01
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
75avg 78
H09/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-20
20-13
26-11
20-16
19-31
27-15
23-28
23-10
27-14
13-12
20-13
22-11
20-21
15-17
17-20
23-15
18-23
16-11
31-19
26-17
7-24
23-14
13-24
21-20
21-22
18-14
15-20
17-17
25-23
21-20
14-17
19-12
22-15
22-7
24-21
24-17
24-17
22-13
14-20
152.8Avg total
81.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.983.4165.3-1.533%
Season at home (5)81.476.6158.0+4.860%
Season away (7)82.388.3170.6-6.014%
Last 10 (10)81.970.9152.8+11.060%
Last 5 (5)80.074.0154.0+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.391.3172.7-10.033%
vs Similar (9)77.675.8153.3+1.844%
vs Weaker (18)87.172.8159.8+14.378%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Ulm
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
102avg 84
H18/11
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#8
W
98-65
98
65
+33
87avg 84
A23/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
61avg 84
A05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#17
W
94-63
94
63
+31
92avg 84
H10/12
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 84
A13/12
ABA League
Trento
#8
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
82avg 84
A16/12
Eurocup
Vienna Basket
#17
W
102-91
102
91
+11
97avg 84
H22/12
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
100-82
100
82
+18
90avg 84
H26/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#4
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 84
H30/12
Eurocup
Panionios
#19
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 84
A07/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
27-23
26-7
22-20
19-16
32-18
21-10
26-21
21-19
14-26
23-25
15-18
24-25
18-13
30-16
22-9
23-15
20-14
22-18
21-19
17-16
19-26
21-12
23-26
34-25
24-17
23-27
21-22
31-19
22-19
22-20
25-24
20-23
24-21
20-18
27-19
23-17
21-26
18-28
23-26
171.5Avg total
92.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.181.1172.2+10.082%
Season at home (6)94.284.3178.5+9.883%
Season away (5)87.477.2164.6+10.280%
Last 10 (10)92.079.5171.5+12.570%
Last 5 (5)93.688.4182.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.283.2159.5-7.025%
vs Similar (4)80.583.2163.8-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.778.6170.3+13.082%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
ZadarBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/12
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/12
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H05/01
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/01
Premijer liga
78.1Avg total
41.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.679.7+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.335.578.8+7.879%-
Last 30 away (16)41.139.480.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.478.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.743.786.3-1.067%-
vs Similar (9)40.239.779.9+0.644%-
vs Weaker (18)42.935.578.4+7.472%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H18/11
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/12
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A13/12
ABA League
Trento
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/12
Eurocup
Vienna Basket
#17
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H22/12
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H26/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/12
Eurocup
Panionios
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/01
Eurocup
85.8Avg total
45.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.585.9+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.341.589.8+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)44.637.882.4+6.856%-
Last 10 (10)45.939.985.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.041.888.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.846.087.8-4.20%-
vs Similar (4)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.037.785.7+10.382%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.9
54.9%
54.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.4
32.2%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
75.3%15.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.6
53.9%
54.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.2
42.6%
35.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.516.4
69.8%
75.3%16.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLLWWWLW
Buducnost
LWWWLWWLWW
#9
League position
#3
+14.6
Net rating
+16.3
107.9
Offensive rating
118.9
93.2
Defensive rating
102.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
58.0%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
42.6%
63.6%
Assist %
55.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 118.9Defence93.2 · 102.6Shooting51.9% · 58.0%3-point %32.2% · 42.6%Ball care16.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Zadar   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zadar wins
9
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Buducnost v Zadar98-87
01/02/25Buducnost v Zadar84-77
12/10/24Zadar v Buducnost55-91
19/04/24Zadar v Buducnost73-80
13/04/24Buducnost v Zadar100-69
30/12/23Zadar v Buducnost57-67
30/09/23Buducnost v Zadar103-73
04/03/23Buducnost v Zadar76-68
19/11/22Zadar v Buducnost103-104
05/03/22Zadar v Buducnost65-63
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HSamobor84-67
05/01/26HZabok87-55
02/01/26AKK Bosna85-93 OT
29/12/25ASpartak Subotica75-76
27/12/25AKvarner69-79
22/12/25HCibona88-68
19/12/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-69
14/12/25HAlkar83-49
12/12/25AMega Basket89-90
07/12/25ACedevita Junior85-63
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26APanionios85-97
30/12/25HTurk Telekom91-81
26/12/25HMega Basket100-82
22/12/25HVienna Basket102-91
16/12/25ATrento90-91 OT
13/12/25APerspektiva Ilirija86-66
10/12/25HLondon Lions94-63
05/12/25AJL Bourg73-88
23/11/25AMega Basket98-65
18/11/25HUlm101-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%60%14%
Points / game81.981.482.3
Allowed / game83.476.688.3
Point differential-1.5+4.8-6.0
Avg total165.3158.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Buducnost
ABA League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game91.194.287.4
Allowed / game81.184.377.2
Point differential+10.0+9.8+10.2
Avg total172.2178.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai11110100%85.570.6+14.9
2 Partizan1110191%93.382.8+10.5
3 Buducnost119282%91.181.1+10.0
4 Cedevita Olimpija1310377%88.879.3+9.5
5 Crvena zvezda118373%90.980.3+10.6
6 Cluj-Napoca139469%94.185.8+8.2
7 Igokea117464%88.087.9+0.1
8 KK Bosna116555%82.083.6-1.6
9 Spartak Subotica137654%81.280.9+0.2
10 FMP Beograd114736%85.588.7-3.2
11 Zadar124833%81.983.4-1.5
12 Mega Basket124833%83.893.2-9.4
13 Borac Mozzart113827%78.584.7-6.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto123925%77.683.4-5.8
15 Vienna Basket123925%80.588.8-8.2
16 Split123925%81.291.9-10.8
17 Perspektiva Ilirija1331023%79.487.5-8.2
18 Studentski Centar1221017%77.784.7-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1613251266
Buducnost2117242587
← all games of the day
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