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Zadar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-61
26-17 21-15 19-17 21-12
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game64.2
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 5· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb
23 Oct 2026
ZAD87
DINA61
29 Mar 2026
ZAD99
DINA79
09 Nov 2025
ZAD82
DINA72
06 Feb 2025
ZAD98
DINA71
13 May 2024
ZAD83
DINA68
09 Feb 2024
ZAD77
DINA73
17 May 2023
ZAD90
DINA65
10 May 2023
ZAD80
DINA62
01 Feb 2023
ZAD79
DINA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
87-70
87
70
+17
92avg 79
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
60avg 79
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 79
H10/06
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
84avg 79
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
106avg 79
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
69avg 79
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#16
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 79
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
24-29
22-21
22-11
14-19
21-19
21-18
11-17
21-15
15-15
19-25
20-27
24-14
13-20
26-15
18-10
25-17
31-19
24-19
27-14
18-24
27-15
18-10
16-16
20-19
16-23
24-18
22-28
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
152.5Avg total
81.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.864.2154.0+25.5100%
Season at home (1)81.059.0140.0+22.0100%
Season away (3)92.766.0158.7+26.7100%
Last 10 (10)81.271.3152.5+9.960%
Last 5 (5)79.072.0151.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)66.173.9140.0-7.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.770.2155.9+15.578%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 79
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 79
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-97
82
97
-15
77avg 79
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
91-110
91
110
-19
93avg 79
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 79
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
104avg 79
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 79
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
86avg 79
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
55-100
55
100
-45
33avg 79
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 79
H17/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
7-24
26-22
22-16
25-20
14-30
27-20
23-26
19-21
19-21
19-27
25-28
25-26
21-25
23-31
22-28
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
39-23
18-29
31-13
13-17
24-27
17-18
17-10
22-23
25-23
21-20
23-17
25-25
17-30
8-16
18-21
12-33
23-16
19-18
24-7
19-21
169.4Avg total
84.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.581.2159.8-2.875%
Season at home (3)86.375.0161.3+11.3100%
Season away (1)55.0100.0155.0-45.00%
Last 10 (10)84.684.8169.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.081.4164.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.898.4180.2-16.620%
vs Similar (13)85.089.3174.3-4.338%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.1162.7+10.471%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
ZadarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/06
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
76.6Avg total
40.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.675.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.734.378.0+9.492%-
Last 30 away (17)37.636.674.2+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.276.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.276.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)33.337.470.7-4.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.335.077.4+7.378%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A25/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
83.8Avg total
40.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.485.5-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.242.983.1-2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.147.887.9-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.583.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.086.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.949.690.5-8.720%-
vs Similar (13)39.544.884.2-5.323%-
vs Weaker (7)40.340.480.7-0.157%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.7
56.8%
54.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
71.7%12.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.7
55.1%
54.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
34.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
71.7%14.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLWLWWWLLW
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWWWWLLLL
#1
League position
#4
+12.0
Net rating
-0.2
98.5
Offensive rating
97.2
86.5
Defensive rating
97.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
34.5%
66.9%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 97.2Defence86.5 · 97.4Shooting53.4% · 53.7%3-point %33.1% · 34.5%Ball care14.6% · 14.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Zadar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zadar wins
0
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb99-79
24/01/26Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar71-107
09/11/25Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb82-72
13/04/25Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar78-100
06/02/25Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb98-71
29/11/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar58-64
16/05/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar67-78
13/05/24Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb83-68
05/04/24Dinamo Zagreb v Zadar81-96
09/02/24Zadar v Dinamo Zagreb77-73
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
11/10/26AMega Basket82-88
05/10/26HStudentski Centar79-65
02/10/26ASkrljevo107-69
27/09/26HSamobor81-59
10/06/26HCibona75-82
07/06/26ACibona67-73
05/06/26ACibona87-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HDubrava85-62
11/10/26AKvarner55-100
03/10/26HDubrovnik94-85
26/09/26HZabok80-78
20/05/26AKastela101-82
16/05/26HKastela97-61
09/05/26ASamobor91-110
03/05/26HDubrovnik82-97
29/04/26HSplit89-96
25/04/26AAlkar72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.881.092.7
Allowed / game64.259.066.0
Point differential+25.5+22.0+26.7
Avg total154.0140.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game78.586.355.0
Allowed / game81.275.0100.0
Point differential-2.8+11.3-45.0
Avg total159.8161.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar440100%89.864.2+25.5
2 Cibona440100%88.278.8+9.5
3 Split43175%83.571.2+12.2
4 Dinamo Zagreb43175%78.581.2-2.8
5 Cedevita Junior43175%81.085.5-4.5
6 Kvarner42250%89.281.5+7.8
7 Skrljevo42250%81.887.0-5.2
8 Dubrovnik41325%81.086.2-5.2
9 Alkar41325%81.086.5-5.5
10 Zabok41325%80.086.0-6.0
11 Samobor4040%71.582.0-10.5
12 Dubrava4040%70.085.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2621192187
Dinamo Zagreb1715171261
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