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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-75
20-11 15-25 23-14 16-25
Position#10
Record13-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game73.2
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record12-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game76.3
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Dec 2026
ZALG v UKME
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
ZALG116
UKME84
25 Jan 2025
ZALG82
UKME75
09 Jan 2024
ZALG74
UKME75
17 Dec 2022
ZALG74
UKME68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 70
A30/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 70
H02/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
60avg 70
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 70
A09/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
50avg 70
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
no box
H14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
53avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
65avg 70
A23/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
58avg 70
A04/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
81avg 70
H06/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
18-13
19-15
27-17
17-18
18-25
25-13
22-16
19-18
13-16
16-14
21-20
15-28
19-22
18-16
13-19
18-15
22-17
15-22
14-19
26-18
7-18
14-18
17-10
14-19
19-11
10-24
21-11
18-24
11-16
17-24
20-9
18-21
16-18
14-10
15-17
26-16
23-20
20-18
15-19
143.0Avg total
71.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.573.2148.7+2.452%
Season at home (12)74.272.6146.8+1.750%
Season away (13)76.773.7150.4+3.054%
Last 10 (10)71.271.8143.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)69.670.4140.0-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.079.7148.7-10.717%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.672.0147.6+3.650%
vs Weaker (10)80.867.4148.2+13.4100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
53avg 68
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
55avg 68
A06/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
70avg 68
H09/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 68
H12/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 68
H14/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 68
A16/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 68
H21/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 68
A23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 68
A04/01
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 68
H06/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
12-18
4-12
23-7
14-14
17-26
17-18
22-24
19-19
18-15
23-13
18-17
25-18
21-19
21-24
32-24
24-23
20-22
16-24
20-13
22-23
14-27
27-9
18-16
15-20
21-20
20-20
15-14
24-25
19-21
16-10
20-19
21-11
19-18
22-10
17-19
16-22
14-20
19-17
21-17
149.4Avg total
76.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.976.3151.2-1.448%
Season at home (13)77.574.8152.3+2.654%
Season away (12)72.177.9150.0-5.842%
Last 10 (10)76.972.5149.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)76.071.6147.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.879.0146.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.177.6151.7-3.545%
vs Weaker (13)83.976.7160.6+7.269%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H02/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A09/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H21/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
NKL
72.8Avg total
35.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.074.0+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.835.473.2+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)36.438.374.8-1.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.672.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.271.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.541.074.5-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.136.372.4-0.143%-
vs Weaker (10)40.535.576.0+5.060%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H14/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A16/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/01
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H06/01
NKL
77.6Avg total
37.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.277.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.477.9+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.877.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.478.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.339.875.2-4.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.039.477.4-1.436%-
vs Weaker (13)42.536.579.0+6.177%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.0
46.6%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.9
28.9%
33.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws23.415.8
67.5%
70.3%15.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.6
50.3%
51.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.6
33.8%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
70.3%12.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WLLLLLLWWW
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLWLWWLW
#10
League position
#5
-3.8
Net rating
+6.9
94.7
Offensive rating
105.8
98.6
Defensive rating
98.9
45.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
24.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.9%
3-point %
33.8%
58.6%
Assist %
72.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 105.8Defence98.6 · 98.9Shooting45.5% · 50.5%3-point %28.9% · 33.8%Ball care24.3% · 15.3%Off. rebounds37.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 261-79
17/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-68
22/10/22Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 267-80
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HSilute84-73
04/01/24AVilkaviskis63-66
23/12/23ATelsiai66-73
21/12/23HVytis VDU64-65
14/12/23HKretinga71-75 OT
12/12/23AKauno Atletas69-73
09/12/23ASuduva-Mantinga65-85
07/12/23ANeptunas 269-68
02/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-72
30/11/23AJurbarkas79-68
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HTelsiai70-76
04/01/24ASilute79-58
23/12/23AVytis VDU79-75
21/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis71-74
16/12/23AKretinga81-75
14/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga80-82
12/12/23HVilkaviskis99-85
09/12/23HNeptunas 278-64
06/12/23AKauno Atletas70-82
02/12/23HJurbarkas62-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game75.574.276.7
Allowed / game73.272.673.7
Point differential+2.4+1.7+3.0
Avg total148.7146.8150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayLLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game74.977.572.1
Allowed / game76.374.877.9
Point differential-1.4+2.6-5.8
Avg total151.2152.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2623388%87.873.0+14.8
2 Telsiai2622485%83.872.0+11.8
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2621581%82.072.1+10.0
4 Vytis VDU26141254%86.383.6+2.7
5 Jurbarkas26141254%80.079.1+0.9
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 225131252%75.573.2+2.4
7 Vilkaviskis26131350%81.384.3-2.9
8 Ukmerges Stekas25121348%74.976.3-1.4
9 Delikatesas Joniskis26121446%77.384.3-7.0
10 Kauno Atletas26101638%75.978.6-2.7
11 Kretinga2691735%77.382.3-5.1
12 Rytas 22681831%81.989.9-8.0
13 Silute2662023%76.782.9-6.3
14 Neptunas 22642215%75.684.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 22015231674
Ukmerges Stekas1125142575
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