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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game96.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
3.3/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 21· Kaunas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Dec 2026
ZALG v UKME
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
ZALG116
UKME84
25 Jan 2025
ZALG82
UKME75
09 Jan 2024
ZALG74
UKME75
17 Dec 2022
ZALG74
UKME68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 81
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 81
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 81
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 81
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 81
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 81
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 81
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 81
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
78-101
78
101
-23
no box
A07/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
30-17
18-29
23-22
24-22
20-20
19-29
22-23
17-29
189.0Avg total
91.5Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.296.8191.0-2.742%
Season at home (6)94.094.8188.8-0.850%
Season away (6)94.398.8193.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)91.597.5189.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)91.296.2187.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.098.0184.0-12.012%
vs Similar (13)87.583.4170.9+4.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.686.0181.6+9.678%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 72
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
62avg 72
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 72
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
no box
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
16-31
20-27
18-21
16-25
14-19
17-17
18-17
25-17
20-32
14-27
19-20
23-18
9-20
21-23
16-21
18-23
12-24
15-29
22-22
25-22
12-14
17-27
17-9
12-23
19-16
25-20
11-20
21-13
23-21
12-26
29-26
32-18
161.9Avg total
73.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.1167.1-9.236%
Season at home (8)77.283.8161.0-6.538%
Season away (6)81.294.0175.2-12.833%
Last 10 (10)73.788.2161.9-14.530%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.289.2167.5-11.021%
vs Similar (6)79.885.8165.7-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/11
NKL
94.3Avg total
44.6Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.389.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.888.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)45.846.091.8-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.794.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.249.292.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.449.892.1-7.412%-
vs Similar (13)44.344.288.5+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.443.189.6+3.367%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/11
NKL
83.1Avg total
34.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.281.9-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.544.180.6-7.622%-
Last 30 away (12)36.946.883.8-9.98%-
Last 10 (10)34.948.283.1-13.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.077.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.245.181.2-8.917%-
vs Similar (6)38.745.784.3-7.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.1%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
67.1%13.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWLLWLLWLL
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#13
-2.9
Net rating
-9.0
98.6
Offensive rating
90.1
101.5
Defensive rating
99.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.8%
3-point %
31.8%
63.1%
Assist %
64.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 90.1Defence101.5 · 99.1Shooting53.3% · 50.1%3-point %33.8% · 31.8%Ball care15.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APlunges Olimpas78-101
05/11/26HRytas 295-90
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APlunges Olimpas96-91
12/11/26HRytas 276-69
07/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai58-73
05/11/26AVilkaviskis74-97
03/11/26HNeptunas 264-87
29/10/26AKedainiai BC76-97
24/10/26HMazeikiai74-70
22/10/26ATelsiai70-104
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game94.294.094.3
Allowed / game96.894.898.8
Point differential-2.7-0.8-4.5
Avg total191.0188.8193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game78.977.281.2
Allowed / game88.183.894.0
Point differential-9.2-6.5-12.8
Avg total167.1161.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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