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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 96-70
27-19 20-24 29-14 20-13
Position#1
Record19-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#11
Record5-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai
05 May 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ZAL85
GAR77
07 Dec 2025
ZAL108
GAR71
26 Mar 2023
ZAL96
GAR70
16 Oct 2022
ZAL86
GAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 76
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 76
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 76
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
66-63
66
63
+3
57avg 76
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
85-67
85
67
+18
75avg 76
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 76
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 76
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
14-16
15-23
26-21
24-22
14-31
14-23
17-20
17-19
19-27
18-31
20-16
26-15
21-23
29-11
21-20
15-14
18-13
11-18
22-18
16-22
31-15
18-13
20-17
21-24
21-21
25-23
27-32
17-15
17-25
15-21
23-13
23-17
13-18
22-33
33-12
16-22
19-24
20-19
24-22
161.4Avg total
80.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.073.1160.1+13.883%
Season at home (11)88.774.0162.7+14.782%
Season away (12)85.372.3157.7+13.083%
Last 10 (10)80.880.6161.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)84.281.6165.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.685.2158.8-11.620%
vs Similar (11)74.973.4148.3+1.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.374.5160.8+11.879%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 72
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 72
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 72
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 72
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 72
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 72
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 72
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 72
H21/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
22-17
19-27
15-15
17-23
17-10
19-21
10-19
8-23
23-20
22-17
27-25
13-20
158.6Avg total
76.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.884.9162.7-7.122%
Season at home (12)72.279.3151.5-7.225%
Season away (11)83.990.9174.8-7.018%
Last 10 (10)76.582.1158.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)76.686.2162.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.386.7162.9-10.411%
vs Similar (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Zalgiris KaunasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/03
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
38.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.675.1+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.736.675.2+2.158%-
Last 30 away (18)38.536.675.1+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.078.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.245.680.8-10.40%-
vs Similar (11)38.633.472.0+5.382%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.735.975.6+3.971%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
LKL
78.3Avg total
38.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.942.680.5-4.722%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.339.175.4-2.833%-
Last 30 away (11)39.546.586.0-6.99%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.178.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.343.480.7-6.116%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
54.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.5
37.9%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.0
74.5%
74.2%14.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.0
48.3%
54.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
74.2%14.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLLWWWLLW
Gargzdai
WLLWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#11
+0.0
Net rating
-9.4
114.4
Offensive rating
103.5
114.4
Defensive rating
112.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.9%
3-point %
35.7%
58.5%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 103.5Defence114.4 · 112.9Shooting54.3% · 50.2%3-point %37.9% · 35.7%Ball care18.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-89
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23AFenerbahce79-87
19/03/23ANeptunas91-80
16/03/23HOlympiacos72-74
12/03/23HRytas94-100
09/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
07/03/23AAlba Berlin66-63
04/03/23ANevezis97-69
02/03/23ABarcelona74-93
23/02/23AReal Madrid69-96
19/02/23AJonava81-77
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HBC Wolves85-82
13/03/23HNeptunas54-73
04/03/23ALietkabelis73-82
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %83%82%83%
Points / game87.088.785.3
Allowed / game73.174.072.3
Point differential+13.8+14.7+13.0
Avg total160.1162.7157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%55%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW22%
HomeWLWLW25%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%25%18%
Points / game77.872.283.9
Allowed / game84.979.390.9
Point differential-7.1-7.2-7.0
Avg total162.7151.5174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2319483%87.073.1+13.8
2 Rytas2318578%90.481.9+8.6
3 BC Wolves2315865%85.480.8+4.6
4 Lietkabelis2415962%86.182.8+3.3
5 Jonava2314961%81.579.3+2.2
6 Juventus2314961%85.083.4+1.5
7 Nevezis24111346%84.185.8-1.6
8 Siauliai23101343%83.986.3-2.4
9 Neptunas23101343%78.380.9-2.6
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2251723%78.288.7-10.5
11 Gargzdai2351822%77.884.9-7.1
12 Prienai2432112%80.190.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2720292096
Gargzdai1924141370
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