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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game88.4
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai
05 May 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ZAL85
GAR77
07 Dec 2025
ZAL108
GAR71
26 Mar 2023
ZAL96
GAR70
16 Oct 2022
ZAL86
GAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
29-19
23-12
25-16
23-18
16-23
16-24
33-16
16-22
18-18
25-19
21-17
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
166.7Avg total
88.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (3)90.374.0164.3+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.078.7166.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)93.075.6168.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.085.0172.0+2.050%
vs Similar (5)85.286.4171.6-1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.877.9171.7+16.091%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#3
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
175.3Avg total
89.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.688.4179.0+2.171%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (3)99.094.7193.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)89.585.8175.3+3.780%
Last 5 (5)91.485.2176.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.785.8166.5-5.150%
vs Similar (6)86.787.0173.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (10)90.885.0175.8+5.880%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +5.2+5.2
Zalgiris KaunasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.684.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.639.885.4+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)43.739.282.9+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.588.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.644.084.6-3.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.938.284.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
87.4Avg total
42.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.083.9-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.542.980.4-5.419%-
Last 30 away (14)42.745.187.9-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.687.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.289.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.542.982.4-3.436%-
vs Similar (6)37.247.084.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (10)42.243.785.9-1.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.4%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.3%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.4%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLWWW
Gargzdai
WWLWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+11.2
Net rating
+3.6
106.4
Offensive rating
99.4
95.2
Defensive rating
95.8
59.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
43.4%
3-point %
34.6%
69.0%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 99.4Defence95.2 · 95.8Shooting59.8% · 54.5%3-point %43.4% · 34.6%Ball care16.4% · 13.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
11/10/26ANevezis80-76
09/10/26ABarcelona88-81
04/10/26HLietkabelis97-68
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79
17/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.095.090.3
Allowed / game73.072.274.0
Point differential+20.0+22.8+16.3
Avg total166.0167.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game90.684.299.0
Allowed / game88.483.894.7
Point differential+2.1+0.5+4.3
Avg total179.0168.0193.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas74357%86.683.3+3.3
5 Juventus73443%85.786.3-0.6
6 Siauliai73443%83.686.7-3.1
7 Lietkabelis73443%76.081.4-5.4
8 Jonava62433%75.879.0-3.2
9 Taurage72529%80.088.7-8.7
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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