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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-75
22-20 17-28 39-13 24-14
Position#11
Record10-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.3
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Khimki M.
Position#18
Record2-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2020
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.
08 Jan 2021
ZAL102
KHM75
23 Nov 2018
ZAL83
KHM84
09 Feb 2018
ZAL74
KHM84
25 Mar 2016
ZAL71
KHM76
12 Jan 2012
ZAL95
KHM94
18 Nov 2010
ZAL73
KHM65
17 Oct 2010
ZAL75
KHM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
62-73
62
73
-11
56avg 81
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-45
92
45
+47
95avg 81
H06/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-69
81
69
+12
81avg 81
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 81
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
99-62
99
62
+37
108avg 81
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 81
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
74avg 81
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 81
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
104-74
104
74
+30
108avg 81
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
19-22
15-16
14-18
23-11
22-11
27-11
20-12
24-12
19-21
17-17
21-19
25-22
19-14
24-11
24-26
24-7
27-24
30-16
18-15
27-13
13-7
13-27
29-30
22-16
18-19
16-16
18-22
12-14
19-23
23-11
20-23
34-20
25-20
25-14
20-20
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
155.7Avg total
85.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.777.3157.0+2.459%
Season at home (9)82.379.0161.3+3.344%
Season away (8)76.875.4152.1+1.475%
Last 10 (10)85.869.9155.7+15.990%
Last 5 (5)86.475.4161.8+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.377.7154.0-1.333%
vs Similar (12)80.678.5159.1+2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.369.3156.6+17.993%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
68avg 77
A26/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
77avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
93avg 77
H08/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
82avg 77
H11/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 77
A16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
82avg 77
A18/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 77
A23/12
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
106avg 77
H26/12
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
L
88-105
88
105
-17
89avg 77
H29/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
102-91
102
91
+11
93avg 77
A03/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
20-30
18-27
18-23
22-15
18-28
24-21
13-16
20-28
27-26
21-18
25-30
22-25
21-27
26-25
18-19
25-32
16-19
12-18
21-18
29-20
22-23
19-29
14-18
13-16
16-29
23-14
30-29
27-23
34-25
24-15
18-20
23-26
27-25
14-27
24-27
31-27
23-24
28-23
20-17
179.2Avg total
87.0Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.189.3169.4-9.212%
Season at home (8)82.692.0174.6-9.412%
Season away (9)77.986.9164.8-9.011%
Last 10 (10)87.092.2179.2-5.220%
Last 5 (5)91.891.4183.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)80.688.0168.7-7.419%
vs Similar (1)85.096.0181.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (8)90.683.0173.6+7.675%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Zalgiris KaunasKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H06/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
78.2Avg total
43.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.479.0+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.978.9+5.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.079.1+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.378.2+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.481.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (12)39.841.281.0-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.934.077.9+9.993%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A26/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H08/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H11/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A23/12
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H26/12
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A03/01
VTB United League
94.8Avg total
46.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.944.987.7-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.345.389.6-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.485.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)46.048.894.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.696.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.945.186.0-4.319%-
vs Similar (1)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (8)48.643.492.0+5.275%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.7
55.8%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.910.0
45.7%
38.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.311.5
86.5%
79.3%11.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.9
39.8%
38.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.614.1
80.1%
79.3%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
Khimki M.
WLWLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#18
+19.8
Net rating
-6.8
117.9
Offensive rating
113.4
98.1
Defensive rating
120.3
60.5%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
45.7%
3-point %
39.8%
69.4%
Assist %
74.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 113.4Defence98.1 · 120.3Shooting60.5% · 56.4%3-point %45.7% · 39.8%Ball care21.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds36.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
8
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
10/10/20Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas70-84
31/01/19Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas74-64
23/11/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.83-84
09/02/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.74-84
20/10/17Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas85-77
25/03/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.71-76
29/01/16Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas111-80
12/01/12Zalgiris Kaunas v Khimki M.95-94
03/12/11Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas83-72
06/01/11Khimki M. v Zalgiris Kaunas78-76
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82
03/01/21ANeptunas104-74
29/12/20AAlba Berlin74-71
23/12/20HBayern74-73
20/12/20ALietkabelis82-77
17/12/20HFenerbahce99-62
15/12/20HBaskonia92-73
11/12/20APanathinaikos81-69
06/12/20HRytas92-45
04/12/20HBarcelona62-73
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21ALokomotiv Kuban102-91
29/12/20HOlympiacos88-105
26/12/20HParma Perm103-83
23/12/20AValencia82-88
18/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne84-90
16/12/20ABarcelona74-87
11/12/20HCSKA Moscow87-96
08/12/20HOlimpia Milano93-102
04/12/20ABayern77-80
26/11/20AAlba Berlin80-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%44%75%
Points / game79.782.376.8
Allowed / game77.379.075.4
Point differential+2.4+3.3+1.4
Avg total157.0161.3152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%12%11%
Points / game80.182.677.9
Allowed / game89.392.086.9
Point differential-9.2-9.4-9.0
Avg total169.4174.6164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1814478%85.278.8+6.4
2 Real Madrid1712571%82.677.6+5.1
3 Zenit Petersburg1611569%76.672.9+3.8
4 Barcelona1812667%80.973.6+7.3
5 Bayern1711665%79.575.9+3.6
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%79.777.3+2.4
7 Olimpia Milano169756%81.780.5+1.2
8 Valencia1810856%81.381.1+0.3
9 Baskonia189950%79.377.1+2.3
10 Olympiacos168850%79.880.1-0.4
11 Anadolu Efes178947%76.677.6-1.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1881044%78.677.7+0.9
13 Fenerbahce1881044%73.478.4-5.0
14 Alba Berlin1871139%77.483.6-6.1
15 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1651131%74.879.1-4.3
17 Panathinaikos1751229%79.683.8-4.2
18 Khimki M.1721512%80.189.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas22173924102
Khimki M.2028131475
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