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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 107-83
24-26 23-17 37-13 23-27
Position#1
Record28-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#8
Record12-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game83.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
17 Mar 2024
ZAL97
PZV77
01 Oct 2023
ZAL78
PZV68
11 Dec 2022
ZAL84
PZV61
06 Feb 2022
ZAL99
PZV70
12 May 2021
ZAL81
PZV74
30 Apr 2021
ZAL107
PZV83
09 Feb 2021
ZAL95
PZV76
18 Jan 2021
ZAL103
PZV77
15 Apr 2020
ZAL v PZV
upcoming
25 Sep 2019
ZAL81
PZV47
16 Mar 2019
ZAL88
PZV70
22 Sep 2018
ZAL103
PZV66
28 Jan 2018
ZAL91
PZV80
25 Sep 2017
ZAL106
PZV64
02 Apr 2017
ZAL94
PZV70
21 Nov 2016
ZAL98
PZV84
02 May 2016
ZAL95
PZV81
26 Apr 2016
ZAL102
PZV66
10 Apr 2016
ZAL93
PZV88
01 Nov 2015
ZAL103
PZV74
08 Feb 2015
ZAL81
PZV79
01 Dec 2014
ZAL82
PZV78
30 Apr 2014
ZAL83
PZV73
20 Oct 2013
ZAL83
PZV57
20 Oct 2011
ZAL91
PZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
94-88
94
88
+6
94avg 82
A06/04
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
93-78
93
78
+15
91avg 82
H08/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H11/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 82
A14/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 82
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 82
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
94avg 82
H20/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
92-68
92
68
+24
94avg 82
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
105-86
105
86
+19
no box
A25/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 82
A28/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
32-16
18-18
18-24
27-14
25-33
22-13
19-18
21-23
19-19
21-25
24-19
17-15
26-18
28-19
24-26
25-14
17-15
21-23
27-10
17-16
21-15
26-20
24-21
26-16
30-25
17-18
24-20
27-10
29-14
22-22
14-22
25-26
29-19
28-18
23-23
21-22
25-21
25-20
19-18
170.7Avg total
92.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.571.2161.8+19.390%
Season at home (15)88.769.1157.8+19.587%
Season away (16)92.373.2165.5+19.194%
Last 10 (10)92.977.8170.7+15.190%
Last 5 (5)94.477.2171.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.087.5149.5-25.50%
vs Similar (8)76.077.6153.6-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.572.2162.6+18.395%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
68avg 74
H14/03
LKL
CBet
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 74
A20/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 74
H27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
69avg 74
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 74
A07/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 74
A10/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 74
H14/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 74
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
no box
A21/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 74
H25/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-27
19-29
23-18
18-25
16-16
26-16
16-14
16-15
24-18
23-24
16-29
28-20
12-15
19-24
16-25
21-24
20-28
26-18
21-17
28-22
18-19
20-20
17-24
22-20
16-12
25-21
21-18
26-27
24-19
19-21
21-31
30-21
16-24
18-29
26-29
19-19
19-19
17-30
17-18
168.3Avg total
81.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.883.2163.0-3.438%
Season at home (16)77.180.7157.8-3.631%
Season away (16)82.685.7168.2-3.144%
Last 10 (10)81.786.6168.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)83.888.6172.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.088.9166.9-10.915%
vs Similar (15)83.380.0163.3+3.353%
vs Weaker (2)84.064.0148.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/04
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H08/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H20/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A25/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
LKL
86.6Avg total
48.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.381.1+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.182.1+4.056%-
Last 30 away (14)42.537.580.0+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)48.538.186.6+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.036.886.8+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.548.581.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.241.278.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.036.182.2+9.980%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H27/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A07/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A10/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/04
LKL
82.2Avg total
41.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.282.2+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.079.4+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.585.0+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.182.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.484.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.644.385.9-2.746%-
vs Similar (15)41.737.278.9+4.560%-
vs Weaker (2)46.036.582.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.6
62.0%
54.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.19.8
44.3%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.212.0
78.9%
75.2%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.3
51.7%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.0
76.9%
75.2%17.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWLWW
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLWLWLLWL
#1
League position
#8
+21.2
Net rating
-6.0
126.0
Offensive rating
108.1
104.7
Defensive rating
114.1
63.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
44.3%
3-point %
33.3%
66.7%
Assist %
73.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence126.0 · 108.1Defence104.7 · 114.1Shooting63.6% · 50.9%3-point %44.3% · 33.3%Ball care15.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21ARytas90-81
25/04/21ASiauliai105-86
22/04/21HAlytaus Dzukija92-68
20/04/21HJuventus97-79
18/04/21ANeptunas88-72
16/04/21HCBet90-62
14/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija95-78
11/04/21HRytas85-86
08/04/21HPanathinaikos93-78
06/04/21ALietkabelis94-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HNeptunas72-86
21/04/21ASiauliai90-103
18/04/21ALietkabelis90-98
14/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET84-71
10/04/21AJuventus83-85
07/04/21ARytas88-87
03/04/21HRytas75-84
27/03/21HAlytaus Dzukija79-86
20/03/21ACBet76-71
14/03/21HJuventus80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWWWWW94%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %90%87%94%
Points / game90.588.792.3
Allowed / game71.269.173.2
Point differential+19.3+19.5+19.1
Avg total161.8157.8165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%73%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLLLWL31%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %38%31%44%
Points / game79.877.182.6
Allowed / game83.280.785.7
Point differential-3.4-3.6-3.1
Avg total163.0157.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3128390%90.571.2+19.3
2 Rytas3023777%87.779.9+7.9
3 Lietkabelis32211166%85.280.3+4.8
4 Juventus33201361%87.485.7+1.7
5 CBet32131941%84.388.2-3.9
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes32122038%79.883.2-3.4
7 Siauliai32122038%84.790.0-5.3
8 Neptunas33122136%78.084.4-6.4
9 Alytaus Dzukija32102231%80.284.2-3.9
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3392427%75.584.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas24233723107
Pieno Zvaigzdes2617132783
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