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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Paris Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record6-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record4-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game92.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris
07 Jan 2027
ZAL v PRS
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
ZAL85
PRS79
13 Mar 2025
ZAL83
PRS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#5
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 89
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 89
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
168.9Avg total
88.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.682.3167.9+3.360%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (6)83.880.0163.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (4)86.588.2174.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.778.5172.2+15.292%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 86
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
83avg 86
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#6
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#10
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
18-18
22-31
23-13
18-24
23-20
21-15
28-16
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
187.0Avg total
96.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.092.6181.6-3.640%
Season at home (5)88.893.6182.4-4.820%
Season away (5)89.291.6180.8-2.460%
Last 10 (10)96.690.4187.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)101.493.4194.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)84.391.3175.7-7.033%
vs Similar (10)95.396.4191.7-1.150%
vs Weaker (14)93.081.6174.6+11.479%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +7.9+7.9
Zalgiris KaunasParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
82.0Avg total
42.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.584.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.583.5+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.182.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.543.886.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.938.684.5+7.280%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#12
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
91.3Avg total
45.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.490.3-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.147.495.5+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.184.4-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.745.691.3+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.890.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.745.788.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (10)44.348.592.8-4.220%-
vs Weaker (14)46.443.189.4+3.350%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
77.1%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLL
Paris
WWLWWWWLWL
#10
League position
#14
+11.2
Net rating
+4.0
106.4
Offensive rating
103.4
95.2
Defensive rating
99.4
59.8%
Effective FG%
57.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
43.4%
3-point %
36.7%
69.0%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 103.4Defence95.2 · 99.4Shooting59.8% · 57.9%3-point %43.4% · 36.7%Ball care16.4% · 14.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Paris wins
DateGameScore
01/10/26Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas82-78
17/04/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris85-79
11/12/25Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas105-108
13/03/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris83-81
13/11/24Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
18/10/26HBoulazac90-75
16/10/26ACrvena zvezda81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game85.688.283.8
Allowed / game82.385.880.0
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.8
Avg total167.9174.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game89.088.889.2
Allowed / game92.693.691.6
Point differential-3.6-4.8-2.4
Avg total181.6182.4180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Fenerbahce107370%80.375.4+4.9
6 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
7 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan105550%79.478.9+0.5
12 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
13 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
14 Paris104640%89.092.6-3.6
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia101910%81.393.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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