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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-71
18-18 16-20 29-19 15-14
Position#5
Record18-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game84.1
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#14
Record13-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern
17 Nov 2026
ZAL v BAY
upcoming
24 Mar 2026
ZAL78
BAY71
30 Jan 2025
ZAL82
BAY97
17 Nov 2023
ZAL74
BAY73
23 Dec 2022
ZAL75
BAY67
21 Oct 2021
ZAL73
BAY75
23 Dec 2020
ZAL74
BAY73
14 Mar 2019
ZAL85
BAY79
03 Jan 2014
ZAL66
BAY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 87
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
119-81
119
81
+38
128avg 87
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
106avg 87
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 87
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
88avg 87
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
96avg 87
H08/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
88-92
88
92
-4
83avg 87
A12/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 87
H15/03
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-85
87
85
+2
81avg 87
H20/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 87
H22/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
24-13
26-21
23-17
31-22
25-22
35-20
28-17
25-21
37-16
22-27
17-21
18-18
19-21
14-21
22-13
13-25
26-25
25-21
23-20
24-17
24-22
25-24
24-27
27-24
13-20
19-21
29-27
35-9
23-24
25-24
15-24
25-29
28-26
15-17
19-13
22-15
23-22
25-20
24-8
179.2Avg total
96.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.984.1173.0+4.856%
Season at home (15)87.878.9166.7+8.973%
Season away (17)89.888.8178.6+1.141%
Last 10 (10)96.183.1179.2+13.080%
Last 5 (5)92.882.6175.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (8)92.084.5176.5+7.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.579.7173.1+13.881%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
99avg 79
A12/02
Euroleague
Jena
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
111avg 79
A15/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 79
H17/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
94avg 79
H21/02
German Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 79
A26/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 79
A06/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 79
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 79
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
92avg 79
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-25
33-23
21-25
28-21
32-12
32-14
14-14
19-25
24-20
25-21
17-10
22-20
14-14
17-20
30-29
12-19
21-34
14-25
23-15
23-17
27-26
22-27
13-10
23-20
27-17
26-27
22-16
17-14
22-12
19-27
22-28
15-14
25-34
27-18
26-31
21-18
16-24
14-23
23-22
176.3Avg total
89.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.483.9164.3-3.541%
Season at home (17)81.380.3161.6+1.059%
Season away (15)79.487.9167.3-8.520%
Last 10 (10)89.486.9176.3+2.540%
Last 5 (5)86.085.0171.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.483.3164.7-1.957%
vs Similar (8)85.082.6167.6+2.450%
vs Weaker (15)89.973.1162.9+16.880%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
Zalgiris KaunasBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A12/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H15/03
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/03
LKL
88.7Avg total
48.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.839.386.2+7.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.638.489.0+12.181%-
Last 30 away (14)42.640.482.9+2.243%-
Last 10 (10)48.040.788.7+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.841.690.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (8)46.042.288.2+3.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.638.285.9+9.471%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A12/02
Euroleague
Jena
#16
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A15/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
German Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A26/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/03
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
43.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.481.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.279.1+2.759%-
Last 30 away (13)45.538.684.1+6.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.284.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.282.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.344.486.7-2.143%-
vs Similar (8)40.639.279.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (15)44.335.179.4+9.380%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.919.4
60.8%
60.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.011.4
45.6%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws15.512.3
79.4%
78.2%12.3
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.716.8
60.6%
60.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.8
38.2%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
78.2%12.1
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLWWWW
Bayern
LLLWWLLWWL
#5
League position
#14
+16.4
Net rating
+7.3
90.1
Offensive rating
79.0
73.7
Defensive rating
71.6
64.1%
Effective FG%
58.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
45.6%
3-point %
38.2%
72.7%
Assist %
74.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 79.0Defence73.7 · 71.6Shooting64.1% · 58.9%3-point %45.6% · 38.2%Ball care14.6% · 16.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas70-98
30/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern82-97
07/11/24Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas77-74
15/03/24Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas64-58
17/11/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern74-73
14/04/23Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas80-83
23/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern75-67
11/01/22Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas74-65
21/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern73-75
01/04/21Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas71-70
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HSiauliai94-65
20/03/26HReal Madrid87-85
15/03/26HRytas98-81
12/03/26APanathinaikos88-92
08/03/26HJonava97-90
05/03/26AValencia87-91
25/02/26HOlympiacos99-94 OT
22/02/26HRytas101-85
21/02/26HNeptunas119-81
18/02/26ANevezis91-67
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HDubai74-87
15/03/26ABamberg93-97
12/03/26HAnadolu Efes80-81
10/03/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-80
06/03/26ACrvena zvezda85-80
26/02/26AReal Madrid70-93
21/02/26HBamberg97-103 OT
17/02/26HFrankfurt85-76
15/02/26AJena106-61
12/02/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv106-111 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %56%73%41%
Points / game88.987.889.8
Allowed / game84.178.988.8
Point differential+4.8+8.9+1.1
Avg total173.0166.7178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWWWLL59%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %41%59%20%
Points / game80.481.379.4
Allowed / game83.980.387.9
Point differential-3.5+1.0-8.5
Avg total164.3161.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce33231070%82.680.0+2.6
2 Olympiacos33221167%90.584.1+6.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv31201165%87.383.3+3.9
4 Real Madrid32201262%87.782.8+4.9
5 Valencia32201262%89.885.6+4.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas32181456%88.984.1+4.8
7 Monaco32181456%90.186.3+3.7
8 Crvena zvezda32181456%86.585.0+1.5
9 Panathinaikos32181456%85.684.1+1.4
10 Barcelona32181456%85.084.1+0.9
11 Dubai32171553%87.987.4+0.5
12 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.486.0-0.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv32161650%89.691.6-2.0
14 Bayern32131941%80.483.9-3.5
15 Virtus Bologna32131941%81.885.4-3.6
16 Partizan32122038%80.887.0-6.2
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes32102231%80.884.5-3.7
19 Baskonia3292328%86.892.6-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3282425%79.186.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1816291578
Bayern1820191471
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