Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 83-73

24-17 26-16 13-14 20-26

Position#2

Record14-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game71.4

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#5

Record21-13

FormWWWWL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game71.3

LKLLKL - Quarter-finals

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

67-77

-10

A13/03

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

85-86

-1

H20/03

Euroleague

Pieno Zvaigzdes

85-77

A23/03

LKL

Galatasaray

#13

72-84

-12

H27/03

Euroleague

Partizan

#24

67-77

-10

A04/04

Euroleague

Neptunas

79-88

-9

H07/04

LKL

Real Madrid

87-80

H11/04

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

76-64

+12

A13/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

74-67

H18/04

LKL

Rytas

84-86

-2

H26/04

LKL

20-20

13-20

14-17

20-20

22-23

19-27

20-15

24-21

29-14

20-19

11-21

25-23

12-20

23-18

22-28

15-18

13-24

21-17

15-18

18-18

22-15

20-27

20-21

17-25

18-18

18-20

21-21

30-21

22-19

15-13

25-12

14-20

19-24

21-19

11-15

23-9

23-13

25-21

16-23

20-29

156.2Avg total

77.6Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	82.1	71.4	153.5	+10.7	70%
Season at home (10)	84.3	70.6	154.9	+13.7	70%
Season away (10)	79.9	72.2	152.1	+7.7	70%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	78.6	156.2	-1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	77.0	157.0	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.4	85.2	159.6	-10.8	8%
vs Similar (8)	77.8	76.9	154.6	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	81.5	71.1	152.6	+10.4	80%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LSU Atletas

#11

91-65

+26

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

77-71

H18/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

50-52

-2

H21/03

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

77-85

-8

H23/03

LKL

Siauliai

78-77

H02/04

LKL

Juventus

87-83

H05/04

LKL

Rytas

75-68

H15/04

LKL

Neptunas

81-68

+13

H19/04

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

95-80

+15

H22/04

LKL

Nevezis

66-80

-14

A26/04

LKL

19-14

17-19

32-13

23-19

18-21

23-12

21-15

15-23

14-13

10-14

17-13

9-12

14-29

19-20

21-11

23-25

17-19

19-23

20-14

22-21

24-15

25-24

24-21

14-23

15-16

19-14

19-13

22-25

22-15

24-16

18-23

17-14

22-21

20-24

32-10

21-25

20-20

16-19

18-21

12-20

150.6Avg total

77.7Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	75.8	71.3	147.1	+4.5	62%
Season at home (17)	80.6	67.4	148.0	+13.2	94%
Season away (17)	71.1	75.2	146.2	-4.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	72.9	150.6	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	75.8	156.6	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	75.0	82.3	157.3	-7.3	33%
vs Similar (6)	78.7	76.3	155.0	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker (21)	80.8	68.1	148.9	+12.7	67%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.7	37.9	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	15.2	35.9	+5.6	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.7	15.0	36.7	+6.6	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.7	42.7	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.8	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+3.9	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.2	19.4	36.7	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	43%	-

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-40

-7

A13/03

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

41-50

-9

H20/03

Euroleague

Pieno Zvaigzdes

49-33

+16

A23/03

LKL

Galatasaray

#13

35-38

-3

H27/03

Euroleague

Partizan

#24

34-41

-7

A04/04

Euroleague

Neptunas

42-42

H07/04

LKL

Real Madrid

36-38

-2

H11/04

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

37-32

A13/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

40-43

-3

H18/04

LKL

Rytas

48-34

+14

H26/04

LKL

78.6Avg total

39.5Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.8	79.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	40.1	78.5	-1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	39.1	78.6	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.8	78.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.8	43.5	82.2	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.4	39.1	79.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.5	35.8	76.3	+4.7	70%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

LSU Atletas

#11

36-33

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

41-33

H18/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

24-27

-3

H21/03

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

33-49

-16

H23/03

LKL

Siauliai

36-42

-6

H02/04

LKL

Juventus

49-39

+10

H05/04

LKL

Rytas

34-30

H15/04

LKL

Neptunas

46-31

+15

H19/04

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

42-45

-3

H22/04

LKL

Nevezis

36-39

-3

A26/04

LKL

74.5Avg total

37.7Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	34.9	75.6	+5.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.0	32.5	74.5	+9.5	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.8	38.6	77.3	+0.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	36.8	74.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.8	78.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.7	39.3	76.0	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.2	37.7	77.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.4	33.5	75.0	+7.9	71%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.4	20.9	37.3	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	16.9	37.0	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.3	15.2	36.5	+6.1	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	15.4	37.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	17.8	37.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.3	25.7	45.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	48%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	37.9	77.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	39.1	75.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.7	41.7	77.3	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.4	37.8	75.1	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.0	35.3	76.3	+5.7	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.2	75.3	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.6	33.8	74.4	+6.7	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.9	39.8	76.8	-2.9	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.1	76.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	38.3	43.0	81.3	-4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.5	38.7	77.2	-0.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.4	34.6	74.0	+4.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
23/03/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	77-85
20/10/13	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	83-57
19/11/12	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	43-93
14/04/12	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	55-81
20/10/11	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	91-74

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/14	H	Rytas	84-86
18/04/14	H	Alytaus Dzukija	74-67
13/04/14	A	Lietkabelis	76-64
11/04/14	H	Real Madrid	87-80
07/04/14	H	Neptunas	79-88
04/04/14	A	Partizan	67-77
27/03/14	H	Galatasaray	72-84
23/03/14	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-77
20/03/14	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	85-86
13/03/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	67-77

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/14	A	Nevezis	66-80
22/04/14	H	LSU Atletas	95-80
19/04/14	H	Neptunas	81-68
15/04/14	H	Rytas	75-68
05/04/14	H	Juventus	87-83
02/04/14	H	Siauliai	78-77
23/03/14	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	77-85
21/03/14	H	Tartu Ulikool	50-52
18/03/14	H	Skycop	77-71
10/03/14	A	LSU Atletas	91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	70%
Home	WWLWL	70%
Away	WLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	70%	70%	70%
Points / game	82.1	84.3	79.9
Allowed / game	71.4	70.6	72.2
Point differential	+10.7	+13.7	+7.7
Avg total	153.5	154.9	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	62%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	62%	94%	29%
Points / game	75.8	80.6	71.1
Allowed / game	71.3	67.4	75.2
Point differential	+4.5	+13.2	-4.1
Avg total	147.1	148.0	146.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	59%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	100% (3)	29% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rytas	20	18	2	90%	88.5	71.3	+17.2
2	Skycop	34	25	9	74%	78.7	75.1	+3.6
3	Zalgiris Kaunas	20	14	6	70%	82.1	71.4	+10.7
4	Neptunas	20	14	6	70%	82.5	77.2	+5.2
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	34	21	13	62%	75.8	71.3	+4.5
6	Siauliai	34	20	14	59%	81.0	75.0	+6.0
7	Juventus	34	14	20	41%	77.8	77.4	+0.4
8	Nevezis	34	12	22	35%	69.4	74.4	-5.0
9	Lietkabelis	34	12	22	35%	71.5	78.9	-7.3
10	Alytaus Dzukija	34	11	23	32%	67.6	75.9	-8.2
11	LSU Atletas	34	5	29	15%	72.6	86.1	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zalgiris Kaunas	24	26	13	20	83
Pieno Zvaigzdes	17	16	14	26	73

← all games of the day

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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