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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-77
30-18 24-19 22-27 27-13
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.8
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2020-21
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
17 Mar 2024
ZAL97
PZV77
01 Oct 2023
ZAL78
PZV68
11 Dec 2022
ZAL84
PZV61
06 Feb 2022
ZAL99
PZV70
12 May 2021
ZAL81
PZV74
30 Apr 2021
ZAL107
PZV83
09 Feb 2021
ZAL95
PZV76
18 Jan 2021
ZAL103
PZV77
15 Apr 2020
ZAL v PZV
upcoming
25 Sep 2019
ZAL81
PZV47
16 Mar 2019
ZAL88
PZV70
22 Sep 2018
ZAL103
PZV66
28 Jan 2018
ZAL91
PZV80
25 Sep 2017
ZAL106
PZV64
02 Apr 2017
ZAL94
PZV70
21 Nov 2016
ZAL98
PZV84
02 May 2016
ZAL95
PZV81
26 Apr 2016
ZAL102
PZV66
10 Apr 2016
ZAL93
PZV88
01 Nov 2015
ZAL103
PZV74
08 Feb 2015
ZAL81
PZV79
01 Dec 2014
ZAL82
PZV78
30 Apr 2014
ZAL83
PZV73
20 Oct 2013
ZAL83
PZV57
20 Oct 2011
ZAL91
PZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 80
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
99-62
99
62
+37
108avg 80
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 80
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
74avg 80
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
104-74
104
74
+30
108avg 80
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
108avg 80
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 80
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
51avg 80
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-14
24-11
24-26
24-7
27-24
30-16
18-15
27-13
13-7
13-27
29-30
22-16
18-19
16-16
18-22
12-14
19-23
23-11
20-23
34-20
25-20
25-14
20-20
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
14-17
22-19
13-20
16-21
161.0Avg total
86.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.374.7161.0+11.680%
Last 5 (5)88.478.2166.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.579.0154.5-3.525%
vs Similar (13)79.478.4157.8+1.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.771.2160.8+18.5100%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 74
H07/11
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 74
A14/11
LKL
CBet
#5
W
99-96
99
96
+3
100avg 74
A21/11
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
79-57
79
57
+22
no box
A25/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
H03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
89avg 74
H05/12
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
81-58
81
58
+23
82avg 74
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
60-84
60
84
-24
52avg 74
A02/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
no box
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
70avg 74
H14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
17-23
14-26
23-15
25-17
17-24
8-16
24-23
17-26
25-21
25-25
32-24
19-18
24-12
17-19
19-8
25-21
24-22
18-15
22-13
20-20
22-12
20-17
25-15
27-12
23-12
18-20
13-14
18-24
23-14
6-23
13-23
26-25
24-28
17-23
15-22
19-19
23-22
13-10
18-26
157.0Avg total
80.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.075.8161.8+10.280%
Season at home (3)87.381.7169.0+5.767%
Season away (2)84.067.0151.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.676.4157.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)76.676.2152.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.787.0161.7-12.318%
vs Similar (14)81.679.4161.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (5)88.871.0159.8+17.8100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/01
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
42.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.4+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.380.4+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.638.978.5+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.880.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.077.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (13)39.540.880.3-1.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.435.879.2+7.685%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H07/11
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/11
LKL
CBet
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/11
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A25/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/12
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/01
LKL
83.3Avg total
44.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.283.4+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.883.4+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)41.841.583.3+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.783.3+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.682.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.545.684.1-7.236%-
vs Similar (14)42.238.180.3+4.164%-
vs Weaker (5)50.440.090.4+10.4100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.7
54.2%
55.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.010.2
46.4%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws13.711.6
84.7%
74.2%11.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.6
50.1%
55.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.4
40.0%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.816.8
73.7%
74.2%16.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWWWWW
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#5
+15.7
Net rating
+2.8
119.6
Offensive rating
107.7
103.9
Defensive rating
104.9
59.8%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.0%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.39
46.4%
3-point %
40.0%
68.9%
Assist %
67.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 107.7Defence103.9 · 104.9Shooting59.8% · 54.1%3-point %46.4% · 40.0%Ball care19.2% · 21.0%Off. rebounds34.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21AZenit Petersburg65-77
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82
03/01/21ANeptunas104-74
29/12/20AAlba Berlin74-71
23/12/20HBayern74-73
20/12/20ALietkabelis82-77
17/12/20HFenerbahce99-62
15/12/20HBaskonia92-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/21HNeptunas73-77
05/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas82-98
02/01/21ALietkabelis60-84
28/12/20ANevezis-OPTIBET81-58
05/12/20HSiauliai87-64
03/12/20HNevezis89-71
25/11/20ANevezis79-57
21/11/20ACBet99-96
14/11/20ANeptunas74-80
07/11/20HRytas82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
King Mindaugas Cup 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game86.087.384.0
Allowed / game75.881.767.0
Point differential+10.2+5.7+17.0
Avg total161.8169.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%98.082.0+16.0
2 Lietkabelis220100%91.579.0+12.5
3 Pieno Zvaigzdes54180%86.075.8+10.2
4 Juventus43175%89.276.8+12.5
5 Alytaus Dzukija43175%86.077.2+8.8
6 Prienai42250%88.282.2+6.0
7 Neptunas21150%84.082.0+2.0
8 Siauliai63350%82.881.7+1.2
9 Neptunas 221150%76.080.5-4.5
10 Vytis VDU21150%68.575.5-7.0
11 Nevezis41325%69.876.2-6.5
12 Suduva-Mantinga2020%71.081.5-10.5
13 Jonava2020%76.590.0-13.5
14 Rytas2020%82.597.0-14.5
15 Silute2020%68.587.0-18.5
16 Zalgiris Kaunas 22020%73.097.5-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas30242227103
Pieno Zvaigzdes1819271377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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