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Academica vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-88
15-25 16-18 16-25 12-20
Position#16
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.5
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Academica v Maia
27 Mar 2027
ACAD v MAIA
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
ACAD59
MAIA88
14 Oct 2023
ACAD64
MAIA68
26 Nov 2022
ACAD71
MAIA59
07 Mar 2021
ACAD87
MAIA69
16 Nov 2013
ACAD47
MAIA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#12
L
54-58
54
58
-4
no box
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 42
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
33avg 42
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 42
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
44avg 42
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
34avg 42
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
44-116
44
116
-72
24avg 42
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
45avg 42
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
48avg 42
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
58-90
58
90
-32
41avg 42
A29/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
13-19
15-10
15-16
11-27
15-27
17-8
24-23
19-13
6-26
10-17
11-20
15-22
13-23
16-21
16-22
16-20
12-15
13-10
15-21
9-14
14-12
16-10
11-15
14-36
9-32
10-22
11-26
12-25
20-16
14-15
12-19
12-20
25-35
16-17
21-17
18-23
14-19
8-27
18-21
136.1Avg total
56.7Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)57.081.8138.8-24.80%
Season at home (4)57.072.8129.8-15.80%
Season away (5)57.089.0146.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)56.779.4136.1-22.70%
Last 5 (5)56.884.2141.0-27.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)60.377.0137.4-16.715%
vs Similar (3)70.374.0144.3-3.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 67
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 67
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 67
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 67
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 67
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 67
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
60avg 67
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 67
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
110-66
110
66
+44
113avg 67
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 67
H22/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
14-20
17-15
15-17
19-17
19-17
18-20
19-20
19-27
26-17
29-19
30-10
25-20
18-16
14-22
12-17
27-9
153.6Avg total
80.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.873.5153.2+6.250%
Season at home (4)84.570.2154.8+14.275%
Season away (4)75.076.8151.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)80.273.4153.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)80.070.0150.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.981.2154.1-8.450%
vs Similar (15)76.779.2155.9-2.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.467.4148.9+14.086%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -8.3-8.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -8.3-8.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
AcademicaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#12
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
23-68
23
68
-45
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A29/11
Proliga
71.5Avg total
27.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.940.172.0-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.435.865.1-6.47%-
Last 30 away (16)34.143.978.1-9.819%-
Last 10 (10)27.843.771.5-15.90%-
Last 5 (5)29.446.475.8-17.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.440.471.9-9.011%-
vs Similar (3)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/11
Proliga
74.6Avg total
36.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.875.3-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.236.573.7+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.741.176.9-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.774.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.475.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.542.677.1-8.125%-
vs Similar (15)35.939.375.1-3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.033.673.6+6.471%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 56.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.2
45.1%
50.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.94.2
19.2%
30.3%12.6
🏀 Free throws17.411.2
64.4%
67.4%11.2
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.2
51.9%
50.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
30.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.3
73.9%
67.4%15.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLLLLLLLL
Maia
WWLLWWLLWW
#16
League position
#4
-29.3
Net rating
+9.2
74.1
Offensive rating
102.5
103.3
Defensive rating
93.2
38.9%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
26.2%
Turnover %
20.9%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
19.2%
3-point %
31.5%
52.5%
Assist %
55.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence74.1 · 102.5Defence103.3 · 93.2Shooting38.9% · 49.9%3-point %19.2% · 31.5%Ball care26.2% · 20.9%Off. rebounds23.0% · 31.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Academica   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Academica wins
5
Maia wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Maia v Academica88-60
07/12/23Maia v Academica75-69
14/10/23Academica v Maia64-68
28/01/23Maia v Academica76-70
26/11/22Academica v Maia71-59
07/03/21Academica v Maia87-69
06/12/20Maia v Academica63-80
16/11/13Academica v Maia47-67
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AIlliabum58-90
22/11/25HGinasio74-89
15/11/25HSampaense58-75
08/11/25ACD Povoa44-116
31/10/25HSangalhos50-51
25/10/25ALusitania56-66
18/10/25AMaia60-88
11/10/25HIlliabum46-76
04/10/25AGinasio67-85
14/04/24HImortal B54-58
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HIlliabum71-64
15/11/25HSangalhos110-66
08/11/25AGinasio75-84
31/10/25ALusitania65-69
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72
25/04/25HGinasio88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game57.057.057.0
Allowed / game81.872.889.0
Point differential-24.8-15.8-32.0
Avg total138.8129.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game79.884.575.0
Allowed / game73.570.276.8
Point differential+6.2+14.2-1.8
Avg total153.2154.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa990100%89.162.8+26.3
2 CAB Madeira109190%89.673.2+16.4
3 Illiabum108280%79.067.6+11.4
4 Ginasio108280%79.073.5+5.5
5 Portimonense97278%82.975.6+7.3
6 Imortal B97278%84.078.0+6.0
7 Galomar96367%86.081.7+4.3
8 Maia84450%79.873.5+6.2
9 Ginasio Olhanense104640%79.578.2+1.3
10 Sampaense104640%70.879.3-8.5
11 Lusitania93633%71.471.4+0.0
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%70.372.6-2.3
13 Santo Andre102820%73.583.9-10.4
14 Sangalhos91811%67.283.7-16.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica9090%57.081.8-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1516161259
Maia2518252088
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