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Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Projected 93-94
Projected total 187.2
Final 101-93
27-10 32-25 21-27 21-31
Position#5
Record6-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game92.4
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Vs
46%
54%
■ ADEL 46%■ MELB 54%
Pythia win probability
Melbourne United
Australia
Position#3
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game90.9
AustraliaNBLRound 9· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Adelaide v Melbourne United
12 Nov 2026
ADEL101
MELB93
07 Oct 2026
ADEL91
MELB96
12 Dec 2025
ADEL114
MELB105
04 Jan 2025
ADEL100
MELB81
06 Jan 2024
ADEL100
MELB96
01 Oct 2023
ADEL74
MELB82
21 Jan 2023
ADEL87
MELB94
30 Jan 2022
ADEL88
MELB83
22 Jan 2022
ADEL78
MELB97
25 Feb 2021
ADEL73
MELB82
15 Jan 2021
ADEL65
MELB89
11 Jan 2020
ADEL100
MELB86
10 Feb 2019
ADEL87
MELB89
28 Jan 2019
ADEL91
MELB114
25 Mar 2018
ADEL90
MELB81
18 Mar 2018
ADEL110
MELB95
14 Oct 2017
ADEL79
MELB99
05 Oct 2017
ADEL97
MELB99
12 Jan 2017
ADEL100
MELB73
14 Oct 2016
ADEL87
MELB98
22 Jan 2016
ADEL90
MELB81
23 Dec 2015
ADEL91
MELB81
12 Dec 2014
ADEL90
MELB77
15 Nov 2014
ADEL79
MELB118
01 Apr 2014
ADEL102
MELB63
27 Mar 2014
ADEL101
MELB85
23 Mar 2014
ADEL99
MELB94
08 Nov 2013
ADEL90
MELB87
10 Feb 2013
ADEL71
MELB84
07 Oct 2012
ADEL84
MELB61
19 Nov 2011
ADEL95
MELB89
18 Mar 2011
ADEL76
MELB79
18 Feb 2011
ADEL83
MELB86
05 Dec 2009
ADEL84
MELB87
21 Oct 2009
ADEL70
MELB81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The NBL clash on 12 November 2026 between Adelaide and Melbourne United is a true toss-up, with both sides trading wins and points in a season that has left neither side comfortably ahead. Adelaide sits 5th with a 6-6 record, averaging 92.2 points and conceding 92.4, while at home they are 2-3, scoring 88.2 and allowing 85.4. Their last five games include a 106-78 win over Illawarra Hawks, a 89-96 loss to Brisbane Bullets and a 108-101 victory on the road against New Zealand Breakers. Melbourne United, 3rd with a 7-5 record, posts 98.4 points for and 90.9 against, and on the road they are 4-2, scoring 97.2 and conceding 89.2; their recent five games feature three home wins and a 113-97 road win over Cairns Taipans. The teams are evenly matched in head-to-head history, each winning five of ten meetings, with Melbourne United's last encounter ending 96-91 on 7 October 2026. Pythia gives Melbourne United a 54% chance of victory versus Adelaide's 46%, projecting a 93-94 scoreline and 187.2 total points. The home line of 4.5 carries a 60% probability of Adelaide covering, while the 187.5 total has a 48% chance of going over, and there is a 5% chance the game will extend into overtime. Adelaide's recent 106-78 win shows they can still surprise, but Melbourne United's higher scoring average suggests they may edge the contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
46.1%fair 2.17
Best odds2.40
Implied44.6%
Edge+1.5pp
Melbourne United winLost
53.9%fair 1.86
Best odds1.72
Implied55.4%
Edge-1.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 88
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 88
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 88
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 88
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 88
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 88
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 88
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
108-101
108
101
+7
106avg 88
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 88
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
106-78
106
78
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
20-17
15-17
16-18
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
28-24
28-20
18-28
34-29
17-30
26-20
23-26
23-20
22-21
27-16
36-23
21-18
182.9Avg total
91.3Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.292.4184.7-0.250%
Season at home (5)88.285.4173.6+2.840%
Season away (7)95.197.4192.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)91.391.6182.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)98.294.2192.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)92.098.9190.9-6.943%
vs Similar (10)93.795.5189.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (6)96.088.5184.5+7.550%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 81
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
95-107
95
107
-12
82avg 81
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 81
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 81
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 81
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
102-103
102
103
-1
96avg 81
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
105-95
105
95
+10
93avg 81
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
113-97
113
97
+16
109avg 81
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
no box
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
120-92
120
92
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
21-29
19-16
28-16
14-18
32-29
35-25
14-35
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
32-31
24-20
21-13
28-31
26-33
25-21
34-19
28-24
28-19
15-20
27-16
24-19
29-17
33-31
21-25
37-19
193.3Avg total
100.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)98.490.9189.3+7.558%
Season at home (6)99.792.7192.3+7.050%
Season away (6)97.289.2186.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)100.093.3193.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)106.892.2199.0+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.094.5184.5-4.50%
vs Similar (7)87.791.3179.0-3.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.287.4180.6+5.857%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 188.5Actual: Over 188.5
Over 188.5
45.6%
@ 1.85-13.3pp
Under 188.5
54.4%
@ 2.32+13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.82
Bet365
1.72
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
1xBet
2.17
Marathon Be
2.17
Over/Under 193.5 · main lineActual: Over 193.5
Over 193.5
34.2%
@ 2.20-15.3pp
Under 193.5
65.8%
@ 1.89+15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Over/Under 198.5Actual: Under 198.5
Over 198.5
24.3%
@ 2.80-14.2pp
Under 198.5
75.7%
@ 1.50+14.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.80
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Marathon Be
1.47
Bet365
1.40

📊 3. Team Totals

Adelaide total 88.5Actual: Adelaide over 88.5
Over 88.5
66.3%
@ 1.55+1.7pp
Under 88.5
33.7%
@ 2.72-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.24
Adelaide total 92.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide over 92.5
Over 92.5
51.4%
@ 1.85+0.6pp
Under 92.5
48.6%
@ 2.42-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.42
Betano
2.42
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
BetVictor
1.83
Adelaide total 96.5Actual: Adelaide over 96.5
Over 96.5
36.5%
@ 2.25-10.9pp
Under 96.5
63.5%
@ 1.80+10.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Under
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.57
Melbourne United total 93.5Actual: Melbourne United under 93.5
Over 93.5
52.0%
@ 1.52-9.2pp
Under 93.5
48.0%
@ 2.52+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.31
Melbourne United total 97.5 · main lineActual: Melbourne United under 97.5
Over 97.5
36.9%
@ 1.89-13.1pp
Under 97.5
63.1%
@ 1.87+13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Melbourne United total 101.5Actual: Melbourne United under 101.5
Over 101.5
23.7%
@ 2.60-12.2pp
Under 101.5
76.3%
@ 1.45+12.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Adelaide -0.5Actual: Adelaide -0.5
ADEL -0.5
46.1%
MELB +0.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
ADEL
No market prices yet.
MELB
No market prices yet.
Spread Adelaide +2.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide +2.5
ADEL +2.5
53.4%
@ 2.12+2.7pp
MELB -2.5
46.6%
@ 1.93-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
ADEL
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.93
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.82
MELB
Pinnacle
1.93
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Spread Adelaide +5.5Actual: Adelaide +5.5
ADEL +5.5
64.1%
@ 1.72+6.5pp
MELB -5.5
35.9%
@ 2.38-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
ADEL
Bet365
1.72
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.57
Marathon Be
1.57
Betano
1.50
MELB
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.22
Marathon Be
2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
AdelaideMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H07/11
NBL
92.8Avg total
43.9Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 98
Last 30 (30)46.549.195.6-2.650%37%
Last 30 at home (13)46.847.894.5-1.046%31%
Last 30 away (17)46.450.196.5-3.853%41%
Last 10 (10)43.948.992.8-5.040%30%
Last 5 (5)46.248.494.6-2.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)47.851.299.0-3.443%50%
vs Similar (10)44.547.992.4-3.450%30%
vs Weaker (6)47.046.293.2+0.867%17%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H07/11
NBL
96.9Avg total
48.5Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 98
Last 30 (30)46.845.692.4+1.250%27%
Last 30 at home (16)47.244.291.4+3.062%25%
Last 30 away (14)46.447.293.6-0.936%29%
Last 10 (10)48.548.496.9+0.150%40%
Last 5 (5)52.047.699.6+4.480%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%50%
vs Similar (7)45.947.092.9-1.143%29%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.944.791.6+2.252%24%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Adelaide win
ADEL win
no forecast
@ 2.20
MELB win
no forecast
@ 1.76
1st half Spread Adelaide +1 · main lineActual: Adelaide +1
ADEL +1
no forecast
@ 1.91
MELB -1
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 98 · main lineActual: Under 98
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Adelaide 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide over 47.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
Melbourne United 1st half total 48.5 · main lineActual: Melbourne United under 48.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half: ADEL + total 96.5
ADEL & over
no forecast
@ 4.25
ADEL & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half: Draw + total 96.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: MELB + total 96.5
MELB & over
no forecast
@ 3.30
MELB & under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half Over/Under 96.5Actual: Under 96.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 99.5Actual: Under 99.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Adelaide 0Actual: Adelaide 0
ADEL 0
no forecast
@ 1.98
MELB 0
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Adelaide +2Actual: Adelaide +2
ADEL +2
no forecast
@ 1.78
MELB -2
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 95Actual: Under 95
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Adelaide +3Actual: Adelaide +3
ADEL +3
no forecast
@ 1.74
MELB -3
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 101.5Actual: Under 101.5
Over
no forecast
@ 3.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.35
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Adelaide (regulation)
ADEL
no forecast
@ 2.25
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
MELB
no forecast
@ 1.78

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ADEL win + total 193.5
🔒 Pro
MELB win + total 193.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ADEL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MELB leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ADEL:MELB): ADEL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 196.572.0%1.57
BetVictor
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.50		-+14.7ppWon
Under 198.575.7%1.47
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.47
Bet365
1.40		-+14.2ppWon
Under 197.573.9%1.52
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.51
Bet365
1.45		-+14.2ppWon
Under 199.577.5%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+13.9ppWon
Under 200.579.2%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+13.6ppWon
Melbourne United under 100.573.3%1.48
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.41		--+12.8ppWon
Melbourne United under 99.570.0%1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.60		--+12.3ppWon
Melbourne United under 101.576.3%1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44		---+12.2ppWon
Melbourne United under 103.581.7%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+12.2ppWon
Adelaide +12.583.9%1.28
1xBet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.26		--+12.2ppWon
Melbourne United under 106.588.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+12.0ppWon
Melbourne United under 105.586.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+11.7ppWon
Adelaide under 98.570.4%1.51
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Bet365
1.43		--+11.2ppLost
Melbourne United under 107.589.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+11.0ppWon
Adelaide under 99.573.5%1.42
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.29		--+11.0ppLost
Adelaide +11.581.7%1.31
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29		--+10.8ppWon
Adelaide +976.0%1.38
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.32		---+10.7ppWon
Adelaide +873.1%1.44
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.37		---+10.6ppWon
Adelaide +10.579.3%1.33
1xBet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.25		--+10.2ppWon
Adelaide +1181.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.2ppWon
Under 19773.4%1.50
Marathon Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.48		---+10.1ppWon
Adelaide +9.576.7%1.36
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.31
Betano
1.27		-+10.1ppWon
Adelaide +1078.8%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+10.0ppWon
Under 19875.3%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.49
Bet365
1.43		---+9.9ppWon
Under 19671.4%1.56
Marathon Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.52		---+9.7ppWon
Adelaide +1283.6%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+9.5ppWon
Adelaide +14.587.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.8ppWon
Adelaide under 100.576.5%1.36
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.32		---+8.6ppLost
Adelaide +8.573.9%1.40
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.48
BetVictor
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.35
Betano
1.32		+8.3ppWon
Melbourne United under 102.579.1%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+8.1ppWon
Melbourne United under 115.597.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.0ppWon
Melbourne United under 104.584.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+7.9ppWon
Melbourne United under 116.598.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.7ppWon
Melbourne United under 108.591.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.6ppWon
Melbourne United under 110.593.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.3ppWon
Adelaide +7.570.8%1.45
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.41
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.36		+7.3ppWon
Melbourne United under 112.595.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.1ppWon
Adelaide over 70.598.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.0ppWon
Melbourne United under 114.597.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.0ppWon
Adelaide +19.594.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+6.9ppWon
Adelaide +24.597.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.8ppWon
Adelaide under 104.586.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+6.8ppWon
Adelaide under 102.581.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+6.5ppWon
Adelaide under 103.584.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.4ppWon
Adelaide under 112.596.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.2ppWon
Adelaide under 110.594.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.2ppWon
Adelaide over 72.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.1ppWon
Adelaide under 108.592.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+6.1ppWon
Adelaide under 106.589.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+6.1ppWon
Adelaide over 81.586.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+6.0ppWon
Adelaide over 71.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.9ppWon
Adelaide over 85.576.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+5.8ppWon
Adelaide over 74.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.5ppWon
Adelaide over 76.594.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.4ppWon
Under 203.583.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.4ppWon
Adelaide under 111.595.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.3ppWon
Under 213.593.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.2ppWon
Under 208.589.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.2ppWon
Adelaide +29.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Melbourne United over 75.596.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.9ppWon
Adelaide under 109.593.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.9ppWon
Melbourne United over 74.597.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.8ppWon
Over 161.593.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.8ppWon
Melbourne United over 76.595.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.4ppWon
Adelaide over 78.591.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.4ppWon
Adelaide under 107.591.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.3ppWon
Adelaide over 80.588.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.1ppWon
Under 211.592.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.8ppWon
Melbourne United +7.576.9%1.25
Betano
1.25		----+3.8ppLost
Adelaide under 105.588.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.8ppWon
Adelaide over 82.584.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+3.8ppWon
Melbourne United +20.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.6ppWon
Over 166.589.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.5ppWon
Overtime: no94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.5ppWon
Over 163.592.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.2ppWon
Adelaide under 101.579.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+3.1ppWon
Under 206.587.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.1ppWon
Over 171.582.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+3.0ppWon
Adelaide over 83.581.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+3.0ppWon
Adelaide over 84.579.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+3.0ppWon
Melbourne United over 78.593.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.0ppWon
Melbourne United over 79.592.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.7ppWon
Under 201.580.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.5ppWon
Over 176.573.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+2.0ppWon
Melbourne United +15.592.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+1.9ppWon
Melbourne United over 80.590.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+1.8ppWon
Adelaide over 86.573.1%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+1.7ppWon
Melbourne United +5.571.0%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+1.5ppLost
Melbourne United over 81.588.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.3ppWon
Over 168.586.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.1ppWon
Melbourne United over 82.586.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+0.2ppWon
Melbourne United over 88.570.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		-----0.1ppWon
Over 173.578.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.4ppWon
Melbourne United over 83.584.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.4ppWon
Melbourne United over 85.579.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----1.0ppWon
Melbourne United +6.574.1%1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.18		----1.5ppLost
Melbourne United over 84.582.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.6ppWon
Melbourne United +10.584.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----1.9ppWon
Melbourne United over 86.576.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----2.2ppWon
Melbourne United over 87.573.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----2.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.9
56.3%
56.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.4
30.3%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
74.0%16.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.026.1
56.7%
56.4%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.0%19.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLWLWWLLLW
Melbourne United
WWWWLLWWLL
#5
League position
#3
-3.3
Net rating
+4.9
99.1
Offensive rating
100.1
102.4
Defensive rating
95.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.3%
3-point %
32.3%
67.5%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 100.1Defence102.4 · 95.2Shooting51.6% · 53.8%3-point %30.3% · 32.3%Ball care11.2% · 13.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Adelaide   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide wins
5
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26Adelaide v Melbourne United91-96
19/09/26Melbourne United v Adelaide95-97
07/02/26Melbourne United v Adelaide76-87
12/12/25Adelaide v Melbourne United114-105 OT
26/10/25Melbourne United v Adelaide81-80
04/01/25Adelaide v Melbourne United100-81
17/11/24Melbourne United v Adelaide113-93
13/10/24Melbourne United v Adelaide106-79
06/01/24Adelaide v Melbourne United100-96
16/12/23Melbourne United v Adelaide107-96
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HIllawarra Hawks106-78
01/11/26HBrisbane Bullets89-96
30/10/26ANew Zealand Breakers108-101
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
27/09/26HCairns Taipans83-69
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrisbane Bullets120-92
02/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers94-74
31/10/26ACairns Taipans113-97
25/10/26HSydney105-95
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
03/10/26HCairns Taipans95-107
01/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers82-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%40%57%
Points / game92.288.295.1
Allowed / game92.485.497.4
Point differential-0.2+2.8-2.3
Avg total184.7173.6192.6
Over 193.533%0%57%
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game98.499.797.2
Allowed / game90.992.789.2
Point differential+7.5+7.0+8.0
Avg total189.3192.3186.3
Over 193.550%50%50%
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney118373%99.089.1+9.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers118373%94.189.5+4.5
3 Melbourne United127558%98.490.9+7.5
4 Cairns Taipans137654%93.097.0-4.0
5 Adelaide126650%92.292.4-0.2
6 Brisbane Bullets126650%94.999.2-4.3
7 Perth115645%94.198.1-4.0
8 Illawarra Hawks145936%97.3104.3-7.0
9 South East Melbourne124833%98.297.8+0.4
10 New Zealand Breakers124833%89.489.9-0.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide27322121101
Melbourne United1025273193
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