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Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 100-96
27-23 19-19 31-24 23-30
Position#9
Record5-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game92.8
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Melbourne United
Australia
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game86.5
AustraliaNBLRound 14· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Melbourne United
12 Nov 2026
ADEL v MELB
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
ADEL91
MELB96
12 Dec 2025
ADEL114
MELB105
04 Jan 2025
ADEL100
MELB81
06 Jan 2024
ADEL100
MELB96
01 Oct 2023
ADEL74
MELB82
21 Jan 2023
ADEL87
MELB94
30 Jan 2022
ADEL88
MELB83
22 Jan 2022
ADEL78
MELB97
25 Feb 2021
ADEL73
MELB82
15 Jan 2021
ADEL65
MELB89
11 Jan 2020
ADEL100
MELB86
10 Feb 2019
ADEL87
MELB89
28 Jan 2019
ADEL91
MELB114
25 Mar 2018
ADEL90
MELB81
18 Mar 2018
ADEL110
MELB95
14 Oct 2017
ADEL79
MELB99
05 Oct 2017
ADEL97
MELB99
12 Jan 2017
ADEL100
MELB73
14 Oct 2016
ADEL87
MELB98
22 Jan 2016
ADEL90
MELB81
23 Dec 2015
ADEL91
MELB81
12 Dec 2014
ADEL90
MELB77
15 Nov 2014
ADEL79
MELB118
01 Apr 2014
ADEL102
MELB63
27 Mar 2014
ADEL101
MELB85
23 Mar 2014
ADEL99
MELB94
08 Nov 2013
ADEL90
MELB87
10 Feb 2013
ADEL71
MELB84
07 Oct 2012
ADEL84
MELB61
19 Nov 2011
ADEL95
MELB89
18 Mar 2011
ADEL76
MELB79
18 Feb 2011
ADEL83
MELB86
05 Dec 2009
ADEL84
MELB87
21 Oct 2009
ADEL70
MELB81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
88-99
88
99
-11
80avg 76
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 76
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
96-93
96
93
+3
84avg 76
H17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 76
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 76
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 76
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 76
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 76
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 76
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 76
A31/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-31
24-23
20-26
15-17
16-22
16-24
25-19
18-35
17-18
31-14
30-26
17-37
24-16
19-24
23-19
15-25
8-20
20-28
16-21
26-35
31-26
27-24
17-31
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
182.2Avg total
85.6Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.392.8178.1-7.428%
Season at home (9)87.091.2178.2-4.244%
Season away (9)83.794.3178.0-10.711%
Last 10 (10)85.696.6182.2-11.020%
Last 5 (5)91.6100.4192.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)86.392.6178.9-6.327%
vs Similar (10)90.796.9187.6-6.230%
vs Weaker (5)94.496.0190.4-1.660%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 86
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
105-93
105
93
+12
97avg 86
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
92avg 86
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-68
103
68
+35
99avg 86
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
104avg 86
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
107-96
107
96
+11
105avg 86
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
78-95
78
95
-17
54avg 86
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
101-85
101
85
+16
96avg 86
A04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-22
20-21
20-22
23-24
21-18
24-25
24-16
21-22
17-31
27-19
40-21
17-31
34-36
25-21
27-27
18-21
36-16
23-22
26-9
35-18
31-28
11-18
29-14
28-23
27-19
25-30
27-24
21-26
21-24
21-21
29-21
19-26
21-19
23-21
15-29
18-23
20-17
35-19
28-26
191.7Avg total
99.9Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)94.786.5181.2+8.279%
Season at home (11)96.588.5185.0+7.973%
Season away (8)92.283.6175.9+8.688%
Last 10 (10)99.991.8191.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)100.291.4191.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar (12)95.188.5183.6+6.683%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.984.7179.7+10.287%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.6+5.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.6+5.6
AdelaideMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
90.6Avg total
41.4Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.248.591.7-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.147.592.5-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)41.449.590.9-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)41.449.290.6-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)48.050.498.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.448.389.7-6.97%-
vs Similar (10)45.747.993.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker (5)43.850.494.2-6.640%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H06/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H19/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H03/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/01
NBL
94.5Avg total
47.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.388.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.690.5+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.541.085.5+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)47.746.894.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.692.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.774.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (12)43.243.186.2+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)49.043.092.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.124.0
48.9%
50.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.6
29.6%
33.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.717.1
75.3%
73.8%17.1
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.8
53.2%
50.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.1
40.2%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.4
70.4%
73.8%16.4
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LLWLLLLWLL
Melbourne United
WLWWWWLWWL
#9
League position
#1
-13.2
Net rating
+12.8
105.0
Offensive rating
120.1
118.2
Defensive rating
107.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.6%
3-point %
40.2%
51.0%
Assist %
50.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 120.1Defence118.2 · 107.3Shooting47.5% · 55.9%3-point %29.6% · 40.2%Ball care15.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Adelaide   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Adelaide wins
8
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Melbourne United v Adelaide107-96
01/10/23Adelaide v Melbourne United74-82
05/02/23Melbourne United v Adelaide116-107
21/01/23Adelaide v Melbourne United87-94
17/11/22Melbourne United v Adelaide86-91
20/03/22Melbourne United v Adelaide101-74
30/01/22Adelaide v Melbourne United88-83 OT
22/01/22Adelaide v Melbourne United78-97
06/06/21Melbourne United v Adelaide102-80
24/04/21Melbourne United v Adelaide92-78
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
09/12/23HCairns Taipans101-116
02/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers59-94
30/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers83-96
17/11/23HSouth East Melbourne96-93
11/11/23HTasmania JackJumpers72-82
04/11/23APerth88-99
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ASydney101-85
31/12/23ACairns Taipans78-95
23/12/23HPerth109-103 OT
16/12/23HAdelaide107-96
14/12/23ASouth East Melbourne106-78
10/12/23HBrisbane Bullets103-68
03/12/23HCairns Taipans103-115
19/11/23HSydney105-93
12/11/23ASouth East Melbourne92-83
06/11/23HPerth95-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL28%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game85.387.083.7
Allowed / game92.891.294.3
Point differential-7.4-4.2-10.7
Avg total178.1178.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %79%73%88%
Points / game94.796.592.2
Allowed / game86.588.583.6
Point differential+8.2+7.9+8.6
Avg total181.2185.0175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1915479%94.786.5+8.2
2 Perth1811761%92.391.2+1.1
3 Tasmania JackJumpers2011955%90.185.0+5.2
4 Sydney1910953%94.993.6+1.3
5 New Zealand Breakers178947%89.689.0+0.6
6 Illawarra Hawks178947%88.088.6-0.6
7 South East Melbourne2091145%88.793.0-4.2
8 Cairns Taipans2191243%89.390.8-1.5
9 Brisbane Bullets1981142%86.288.9-2.8
10 Adelaide1851328%85.392.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide27193123100
Melbourne United2319243096
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