Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 91-114

20-31 28-17 27-34 16-32

Position#4

Record12-11

FormWLWWL

Points / game96.1

Allowed / game95.1

Adelaide

Melbourne United 🏆

Position#2

Record13-8

FormLLWLW

Points / game91.1

Allowed / game88.4

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Adelaide v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

101-91

101

+10

A15/12

NBL

Cairns

87-82

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

103-101

103

101

A26/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

109-98

109

+11

H30/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-104

104

-8

H04/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

102-96

102

A10/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

90-102

102

-12

H12/01

NBL

Perth

97-84

+13

H17/01

NBL

Sydney

119-99

119

+20

A19/01

NBL

Perth

81-100

100

-19

A25/01

NBL

28-22

24-30

18-18

31-21

21-26

24-16

17-16

25-24

30-22

26-31

19-29

28-19

26-29

28-19

26-23

29-27

27-26

22-15

18-29

29-34

22-32

29-21

21-25

30-18

24-21

25-24

27-22

14-35

23-19

26-28

23-14

25-23

27-22

27-25

33-24

32-28

32-25

13-23

11-29

25-23

194.2Avg total

98.5Scored

95.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	96.1	95.1	191.2	+1.0	52%
Season at home (12)	95.5	93.1	188.6	+2.4	50%
Season away (11)	96.7	97.3	194.0	-0.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	98.5	95.7	194.2	+2.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.8	96.2	194.0	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	89.7	94.3	184.0	-4.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	96.3	95.4	191.8	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker (7)	98.3	91.7	190.0	+6.6	71%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

84-82

H24/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

94-97

-3

A08/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

74-90

-16

H10/12

NBL

Perth

82-65

+17

H17/12

NBL

Sydney

75-70

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

101-103

101

103

-2

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-95

-9

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

99-89 OT

+10

A13/01

NBL

Perth

79-84

-5

A20/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

113-89

113

+24

H23/01

NBL

24-25

23-19

20-14

17-24

28-18

23-30

29-21

14-28

24-17

23-25

8-15

19-33

23-16

15-21

23-6

21-22

26-25

14-22

16-13

19-10

22-30

31-26

29-19

19-28

23-19

22-29

22-20

19-27

18-25

14-21

27-26

22-9

14-27

25-19

23-19

17-19

27-20

31-30

37-17

18-22

175.1Avg total

88.7Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	91.1	88.4	179.6	+2.7	62%
Season at home (11)	88.6	84.2	172.8	+4.5	73%
Season away (10)	93.9	93.1	187.0	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	86.4	175.1	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.6	92.0	187.6	+3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	89.8	88.7	178.4	+1.1	55%
vs Weaker (10)	96.0	90.2	186.2	+5.8	80%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	25.0	49.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	24.3	48.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	25.7	51.0	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	24.4	50.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	23.8	49.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.0	22.3	48.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	25.4	24.8	50.1	+0.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	26.9	49.1	-4.6	14%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.8	45.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	20.5	44.9	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	24.1	21.6	45.8	+2.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.5	23.3	48.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.8	21.3	48.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.2	25.2	49.4	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	23.2	47.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	25.3	44.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	26.1	23.8	49.8	+2.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (7)	26.7	21.0	47.7	+5.7	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	24.1	45.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	24.1	47.2	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	24.2	43.9	-4.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.2	46.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	25.0	49.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.8	24.8	45.5	-3.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.5	22.8	46.3	+0.7	60%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

52-52

A15/12

NBL

Cairns

45-42

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

56-53

A26/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-48

H30/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-41

H04/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-53

-2

A10/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-45

H12/01

NBL

Perth

49-47

H17/01

NBL

Sydney

54-47

A19/01

NBL

Perth

45-48

-3

A25/01

NBL

98.0Avg total

50.4Scored

47.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.2	48.3	98.5	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	51.0	45.6	96.6	+5.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.5	50.9	100.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.4	47.6	98.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	48.0	97.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.0	47.7	92.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	51.5	48.5	100.0	+3.0	65%	-
vs Weaker (7)	49.0	47.9	96.9	+1.1	71%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

47-44

H24/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

51-48

A08/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-42

H10/12

NBL

Perth

38-37

H17/12

NBL

Sydney

40-47

-7

A23/12

NBL

Adelaide

53-56

-3

H26/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-48

-3

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

32-46

-14

A13/01

NBL

Perth

39-46

-7

A20/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-50

H23/01

NBL

91.4Avg total

45.0Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	45.9	90.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.6	44.5	92.1	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	47.8	89.3	-6.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	46.4	91.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	49.2	94.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	44.9	46.4	91.3	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.1	45.0	90.1	+0.1	30%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.0	45.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	21.9	45.3	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	24.1	45.4	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.9	23.6	45.5	-1.7	35%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	21.3	45.1	+2.6	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	20.4	43.9	+3.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	20.2	47.8	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.5	19.9	43.4	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.3	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	23.2	46.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	23.7	46.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	22.7	47.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	25.2	52.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	25.4	50.6	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	23.7	46.3	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.0	23.4	46.4	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.4	22.6	48.0	+2.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	20.8	41.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.8	21.6	42.3	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	46.2	92.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.0	45.5	91.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.8	46.8	92.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.1	48.1	96.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	48.2	96.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.7	46.7	91.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	44.9	46.9	91.8	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (7)	49.3	43.9	93.1	+5.4	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	41.0	85.4	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.7	41.2	84.9	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.2	40.7	85.9	+4.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.2	81.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	41.2	87.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	44.2	41.4	85.7	+2.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.6	40.2	84.8	+4.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
26/12/18	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-103
21/10/18	Melbourne United v Adelaide	75-72
31/03/18	Melbourne United v Adelaide	100-82
25/03/18	Adelaide v Melbourne United	90-81
23/03/18	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-98
18/03/18	Adelaide v Melbourne United	110-95
16/03/18	Melbourne United v Adelaide	107-96
22/12/17	Melbourne United v Adelaide	99-91
04/11/17	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-84
14/10/17	Adelaide v Melbourne United	79-99

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/19	A	Perth	81-100
19/01/19	A	Sydney	119-99
17/01/19	H	Perth	97-84
12/01/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-102
10/01/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-96
04/01/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-104
30/12/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	109-98
26/12/18	A	Melbourne United	103-101
22/12/18	H	Cairns	87-82
15/12/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-91

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	113-89
20/01/19	A	Perth	79-84
13/01/19	A	Cairns	99-89 OT
06/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	86-95
26/12/18	H	Adelaide	101-103
23/12/18	A	Sydney	75-70
17/12/18	H	Perth	82-65
10/12/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	74-90
08/12/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	94-97
24/11/18	H	Sydney	84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	52%
Home	WWLLW	50%
Away	WWWWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	52%	50%	55%
Points / game	96.1	95.5	96.7
Allowed / game	95.1	93.1	97.3
Point differential	+1.0	+2.4	-0.5
Avg total	191.2	188.6	194.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	62%
Home	WLWLW	73%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	62%	73%	50%
Points / game	91.1	88.6	93.9
Allowed / game	88.4	84.2	93.1
Point differential	+2.7	+4.5	+0.8
Avg total	179.6	172.8	187.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	18%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	14%	0%	30%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	24	15	9	62%	89.0	83.9	+5.2
2	Melbourne United	21	13	8	62%	91.1	88.4	+2.7
3	Sydney	23	14	9	61%	85.4	84.0	+1.4
4	Brisbane Bullets	23	12	11	52%	90.0	88.4	+1.5
5	Adelaide	23	12	11	52%	96.1	95.1	+1.0
6	Illawarra Hawks	23	11	12	48%	88.2	93.1	-4.9
7	New Zealand Breakers	22	10	12	45%	93.1	93.1	+0.0
8	Cairns	23	4	19	17%	85.4	92.3	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	20	28	27	16	91
Melbourne United	31	17	34	32	114

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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