PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Athens vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-65
24-12 26-7 20-19 26-27
Position#4
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#8
Record6-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · AEK Athens v Bonn
17 Dec 2024
AAT96
BON65
25 Oct 2022
AAT66
BON73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 75
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 75
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 75
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 75
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 75
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 75
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
67avg 75
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
60avg 75
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 75
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 75
A14/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
25-29
12-17
21-22
18-19
19-14
27-21
16-15
16-26
25-19
15-19
21-32
26-21
21-17
17-16
22-21
19-23
24-13
19-20
18-14
14-20
23-15
18-32
21-17
15-17
14-16
20-15
15-16
26-16
18-25
21-27
17-21
26-26
18-18
25-23
15-28
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
162.2Avg total
80.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.679.6159.2+0.060%
Season at home (2)80.070.5150.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)79.385.7165.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)80.581.7162.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.084.0164.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.096.3177.3-15.30%
vs Similar (6)86.385.7172.0+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.479.1162.5+4.262%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 77
A20/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 77
H28/10
BBL
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
86-78
86
78
+8
77avg 77
A30/10
Champions League
Rostock
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
60avg 77
A10/11
BBL
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 77
H13/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
65avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 77
A06/12
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 77
H10/12
Champions League
Bamberg
#15
L
73-92
73
92
-19
58avg 77
A14/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
16-22
24-16
26-16
21-22
13-24
17-24
28-19
26-12
27-24
13-16
20-26
12-13
15-22
25-9
17-20
18-27
23-15
21-16
18-18
20-22
17-28
17-24
19-19
23-11
17-31
16-24
19-29
20-26
24-25
16-22
36-18
18-13
23-24
18-19
19-19
14-24
25-19
14-27
20-22
163.3Avg total
80.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.778.7162.4+5.086%
Season at home (5)85.677.4163.0+8.2100%
Season away (2)79.082.0161.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.482.9163.3-2.560%
Last 5 (5)79.089.2168.2-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.488.9169.3-8.433%
vs Similar (16)82.679.9162.5+2.662%
vs Weaker (4)96.287.8184.0+8.575%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
AEK AthensBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
81.1Avg total
41.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.781.5+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.381.3+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.981.7-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.781.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.048.188.1-8.114%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.077.8+3.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.938.980.8+3.056%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H28/10
BBL
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A30/10
Champions League
Rostock
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/11
BBL
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A17/11
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A06/12
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/12
Champions League
Bamberg
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/12
BBL
82.7Avg total
40.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.983.6-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.284.8+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)39.142.881.9-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.682.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.643.082.6-3.444%-
vs Similar (16)40.940.381.2+0.650%-
vs Weaker (4)48.546.094.5+2.575%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
52.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.2
36.0%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
74.0%14.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.0
54.9%
52.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.9
32.0%
35.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
74.0%13.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLWLWWLWL
Bonn
LWWLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#8
-3.9
Net rating
-3.6
109.2
Offensive rating
106.9
113.2
Defensive rating
110.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
32.0%
67.5%
Assist %
61.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 106.9Defence113.2 · 110.5Shooting53.5% · 51.6%3-point %36.0% · 32.0%Ball care16.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 32.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
3
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Bonn v AEK Athens93-74
23/11/22Bonn v AEK Athens80-72
25/10/22AEK Athens v Bonn66-73
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
10/12/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan84-95
07/12/24APeristeri82-89
30/11/24HPanionios75-71 OT
16/11/24APromitheas76-84
13/11/24HVEF Riga80-70
09/11/24HKolossos Rhodes86-75
03/11/24HOlympiacos77-96
29/10/24AVEF Riga80-69
26/10/24APAOK82-87
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ABamberg73-92
10/12/24HVEF Riga78-75
06/12/24AOldenburg96-91
01/12/24HUlm75-95
17/11/24ABayern73-93
13/11/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-76
10/11/24ARostock69-64
30/10/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan86-78
28/10/24HLudwigsburg79-89
20/10/24AHeidelberg95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game79.680.079.3
Allowed / game79.670.585.7
Point differential+0.0+9.5-6.3
Avg total159.2150.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bonn
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game83.785.679.0
Allowed / game78.777.482.0
Point differential+5.0+8.2-3.0
Avg total162.4163.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja550100%98.673.0+25.6
2 Tenerife550100%82.064.6+17.4
3 Nymburk770100%86.473.0+13.4
4 Tortona550100%83.071.2+11.8
5 Bonn76186%83.778.7+5.0
6 Manresa54180%92.476.6+15.8
7 Rytas54180%88.878.2+10.6
8 Murcia54180%85.075.8+9.2
9 Petkim Spor86275%79.679.8-0.1
10 Karsiyaka53260%81.676.8+4.8
11 Wurzburg53260%85.681.2+4.4
12 Galatasaray53260%83.681.4+2.2
13 Reggiana53260%75.874.8+1.0
14 Hapoel Holon53260%79.078.2+0.8
15 AEK Athens53260%79.679.6+0.0
16 Manisa53260%86.687.8-1.2
17 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
18 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Peristeri52340%74.674.8-0.2
29 Nanterre52340%82.683.0-0.4
30 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan52340%79.680.2-0.6
31 Oostende52340%78.479.0-0.6
32 Saint Quentin52340%72.476.0-3.6
33 Szombathely52340%76.881.0-4.2
34 Igokea52340%82.086.8-4.8
35 Benfica72529%75.486.9-11.4
36 VEF Riga51420%74.277.6-3.4
37 Promitheas51420%78.685.6-7.0
38 Slask Wroclaw51420%71.879.2-7.4
39 FMP Beograd51420%72.280.0-7.8
40 Vechta51420%81.491.4-10.0
41 Chemnitz51420%76.486.6-10.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Szczecin5050%64.281.8-17.6
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Kolossos Rhodes5050%62.881.4-18.6
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2426202696
Bonn127192765
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.