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AEK Athens vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 92-78
29-31 16-15 18-15 29-17
Position#11
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#16
Record6-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeChampions League
European cup2022
Meetings · AEK Athens v Galatasaray
15 Mar 2023
AAT92
GAL78
25 Nov 2015
AAT73
GAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 73
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 73
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 73
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 73
A04/03
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
69-63
69
63
+6
67avg 73
A07/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 73
H11/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
15-17
21-13
16-18
18-19
17-17
26-21
20-14
19-26
16-13
16-19
13-16
14-25
21-17
24-23
23-7
20-23
16-19
20-25
25-28
21-28
23-18
23-25
17-13
21-24
18-10
14-19
12-24
29-25
20-11
24-19
25-24
17-14
14-19
23-18
15-12
23-19
28-27
30-22
14-21
156.8Avg total
79.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.274.5150.7+1.767%
Season at home (5)73.869.2143.0+4.680%
Season away (7)77.978.3156.1-0.457%
Last 10 (10)79.677.2156.8+2.470%
Last 5 (5)84.079.2163.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.181.9154.0-9.838%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.574.8149.2-0.362%
vs Weaker (9)81.071.4152.4+9.689%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Manisa
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#28
W
100-73
100
73
+27
102avg 76
H24/01
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
58avg 76
H31/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
66avg 76
A07/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
65avg 76
H09/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
H12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-21
22-26
24-11
18-27
19-17
21-22
17-18
13-23
20-20
28-17
25-18
27-18
19-28
24-27
25-21
23-27
19-18
17-17
21-26
14-20
19-23
18-17
20-20
17-22
17-19
20-15
20-33
21-18
21-26
19-16
21-20
15-19
21-16
20-21
15-21
16-9
4-19
23-13
20-16
24-17
157.7Avg total
77.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.377.5160.8+5.860%
Season at home (6)83.776.3160.0+7.367%
Season away (4)82.879.2162.0+3.550%
Last 10 (10)77.580.2157.7-2.730%
Last 5 (5)74.276.0150.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.583.7164.2-3.233%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.275.9155.1+3.353%
vs Weaker (9)82.180.6162.7+1.644%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
AEK AthensGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A04/03
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/03
Basket League
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.675.0-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.436.773.1-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)38.338.476.7-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.940.076.9-3.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.538.473.9-2.823%-
vs Weaker (9)40.734.375.0+6.378%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#11
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#28
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H24/01
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H31/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.7Avg total
37.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.079.5+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.638.079.6+3.675%-
Last 30 away (14)39.140.279.4-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.877.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.739.882.5+2.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.037.377.3+2.780%-
vs Weaker (9)39.841.481.2-1.733%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.8
52.5%
51.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
35.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.411.6
70.7%
74.3%11.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.1
51.9%
51.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.7
37.0%
35.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
74.3%12.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWLWLWLWW
Galatasaray
WWLLLLLWLL
#11
League position
#16
+1.7
Net rating
+11.2
105.4
Offensive rating
117.9
103.7
Defensive rating
106.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
37.0%
70.5%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 117.9Defence103.7 · 106.8Shooting51.5% · 53.7%3-point %33.5% · 37.0%Ball care19.7% · 13.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
2
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
31/01/23Galatasaray v AEK Athens71-81
25/11/15AEK Athens v Galatasaray73-86
21/10/15Galatasaray v AEK Athens89-65
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HKolossos Rhodes95-89
07/03/23ALimoges69-63
04/03/23AIonikos98-79
18/02/23HPeristeri65-77
16/02/23APanionios93-88 OT
11/02/23HLavrio81-95
07/02/23HLimoges82-72
04/02/23AAris64-74
31/01/23AGalatasaray81-71
28/01/23HPeristeri68-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HDarussafaka71-65
09/03/23HUnicaja72-67
07/03/23AUnicaja76-81
04/03/23ABesiktas78-85
04/02/23HPetkim Spor74-82
31/01/23HAEK Athens71-81
28/01/23AKarsiyaka91-103
24/01/23HLimoges100-73
22/01/23HAnadolu Efes70-80
15/01/23AManisa72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%80%57%
Points / game76.273.877.9
Allowed / game74.569.278.3
Point differential+1.7+4.6-0.4
Avg total150.7143.0156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.383.782.8
Allowed / game77.576.379.2
Point differential+5.8+7.3+3.5
Avg total160.8160.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1110191%84.573.3+11.3
2 Unicaja1210283%86.572.2+14.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem119282%77.573.1+4.5
4 Tenerife108280%82.968.9+14.0
5 Strasbourg118373%84.479.6+4.7
6 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
7 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
8 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
9 AEK Athens128467%76.274.5+1.7
10 Murcia128467%86.284.8+1.5
11 Manresa117464%81.478.1+3.3
12 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
13 Galatasaray106460%83.377.5+5.8
14 Ludwigsburg95456%83.178.7+4.4
15 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
16 Rytas147750%82.680.2+2.4
17 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
18 Dijon147750%78.080.5-2.5
19 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
20 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
21 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
22 Hapoel Holon136746%84.283.2+1.0
23 Darussafaka136746%78.680.5-1.8
24 Bilbao115645%77.976.1+1.8
25 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
26 Peristeri94544%79.284.6-5.3
27 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
28 Limoges135838%74.875.4-0.6
29 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
30 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
31 Bahcesehir Kol.145936%74.779.9-5.2
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 PAOK93633%73.377.7-4.3
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2916182992
Galatasaray3115151778
← all games of the day
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