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AEK Athens vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 97-86
29-28 18-19 29-20 21-19
Position#3
Record5-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#12
Record4-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Lavrio
21 Dec 2024
AAT97
LAV86
14 Apr 2024
AAT100
LAV67
07 Oct 2023
AAT93
LAV98
11 Feb 2023
AAT81
LAV95
10 Apr 2022
AAT90
LAV75
03 Apr 2021
AAT94
LAV97
14 Mar 2020
AAT v LAV
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
AAT83
LAV64
24 Mar 2018
AAT96
LAV86
15 Oct 2016
AAT96
LAV56
07 Dec 2013
AAT80
LAV68
17 Dec 2011
AAT97
LAV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 76
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 76
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 76
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 76
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 76
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
67avg 76
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
60avg 76
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 76
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 76
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 76
H17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-14
27-21
16-15
16-26
25-19
15-19
21-32
26-21
21-17
17-16
22-21
19-23
24-13
19-20
18-14
14-20
23-15
18-32
21-17
15-17
14-16
20-15
15-16
26-16
18-25
21-27
17-21
26-26
18-18
25-23
15-28
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
24-12
26-7
20-19
26-27
161.4Avg total
81.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.180.1160.2+0.050%
Season at home (4)83.576.8160.2+6.875%
Season away (6)77.882.3160.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)81.979.5161.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.096.3177.3-15.30%
vs Similar (6)86.385.7172.0+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.178.3162.4+5.865%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 72
H07/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 72
A14/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 72
H20/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 72
A28/10
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
74avg 72
H04/11
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
96-71
96
71
+25
94avg 72
H09/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 72
A17/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 72
A30/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 72
H07/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
53avg 72
H15/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-21
21-29
11-24
22-16
23-24
21-27
18-26
19-20
24-9
15-32
16-21
26-18
16-22
23-13
17-31
17-17
22-23
17-19
16-13
21-7
20-17
27-22
28-25
15-16
26-17
12-26
31-21
18-24
26-19
15-17
11-27
24-25
21-16
20-19
28-24
20-20
17-25
15-18
16-22
164.9Avg total
81.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.083.9164.9-2.940%
Season at home (6)81.782.5164.2-0.850%
Season away (4)80.086.0166.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)81.083.9164.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)82.281.4163.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.586.3160.8-11.828%
vs Similar (9)79.880.3160.1-0.644%
vs Weaker (3)82.070.7152.7+11.367%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
AEK AthensLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H17/12
Champions League
78.3Avg total
41.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.081.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.980.5+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.182.5-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.878.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.048.188.1-8.114%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.077.8+3.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.437.780.1+4.659%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/10
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/11
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H09/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A17/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H15/12
Basket League
79.5Avg total
42.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.577.2-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.539.578.1-1.041%-
Last 30 away (13)36.739.476.1-2.746%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.579.5+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.278.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.340.378.6-1.944%-
vs Similar (9)36.839.476.2-2.744%-
vs Weaker (3)37.034.771.7+2.333%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.2
54.2%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
73.3%14.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.4
50.5%
53.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
34.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
73.3%14.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLLWLWWLW
Lavrio
LWLWWWLLLL
#3
League position
#12
+1.5
Net rating
-3.3
111.2
Offensive rating
106.5
109.7
Defensive rating
109.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
48.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
29.4%
67.7%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 106.5Defence109.7 · 109.8Shooting53.9% · 48.1%3-point %35.5% · 29.4%Ball care16.5% · 14.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEK Athens wins
4
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24AEK Athens v Lavrio100-67
30/12/23Lavrio v AEK Athens75-90
07/10/23AEK Athens v Lavrio93-98
11/02/23AEK Athens v Lavrio81-95
05/11/22Lavrio v AEK Athens67-84
10/04/22AEK Athens v Lavrio90-75
20/11/21Lavrio v AEK Athens81-82
26/09/21Lavrio v AEK Athens67-86
03/04/21AEK Athens v Lavrio94-97 OT
10/02/21Lavrio v AEK Athens90-85 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HBonn96-65
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
10/12/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan84-95
07/12/24APeristeri82-89
30/11/24HPanionios75-71 OT
16/11/24APromitheas76-84
13/11/24HVEF Riga80-70
09/11/24HKolossos Rhodes86-75
03/11/24HOlympiacos77-96
29/10/24AVEF Riga80-69
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HPanathinaikos68-85
07/12/24HAris93-84
30/11/24AAS Karditsas70-87
17/11/24AMaroussi84-80
09/11/24HPAOK96-71
04/11/24HPanionios84-80 OT
28/10/24APeristeri82-84
20/10/24HKolossos Rhodes74-82
14/10/24APromitheas84-93
07/10/24HOlympiacos75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game80.183.577.8
Allowed / game80.176.882.3
Point differential+0.0+6.8-4.5
Avg total160.2160.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Lavrio
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL40%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game81.081.780.0
Allowed / game83.982.586.0
Point differential-2.9-0.8-6.0
Avg total164.9164.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos10100100%90.574.8+15.7
2 Olympiacos109190%89.171.8+17.3
3 AS Karditsas116555%78.977.3+1.6
4 PAOK116555%80.081.9-1.9
5 Promitheas116555%80.383.2-2.9
6 AEK Athens105550%80.180.1+0.0
7 Panionios115645%76.374.4+1.9
8 Lavrio104640%81.083.9-2.9
9 Peristeri104640%76.981.4-4.5
10 Aris104640%75.482.6-7.2
11 Maroussi102820%74.582.1-7.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes101910%73.783.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2918292197
Lavrio2819201986
← all games of the day
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