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AEK Athens vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-97 (OT)
19-15 22-21 21-28 20-18 12-15
Position#3
Record15-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
Position#2
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · AEK Athens v Lavrio
21 Dec 2024
AAT97
LAV86
14 Apr 2024
AAT100
LAV67
07 Oct 2023
AAT93
LAV98
11 Feb 2023
AAT81
LAV95
10 Apr 2022
AAT90
LAV75
03 Apr 2021
AAT94
LAV97
14 Mar 2020
AAT v LAV
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
AAT83
LAV64
24 Mar 2018
AAT96
LAV86
15 Oct 2016
AAT96
LAV56
07 Dec 2013
AAT80
LAV68
17 Dec 2011
AAT97
LAV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
71avg 73
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
no box
H20/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
59avg 73
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
no box
A25/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 73
A31/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
13-19
21-17
16-22
27-24
25-16
24-20
22-16
16-12
22-19
19-15
17-19
19-17
18-19
20-16
17-22
15-22
24-14
17-20
21-12
21-17
15-26
27-17
22-25
18-31
27-21
13-21
15-18
15-25
15-21
12-25
18-17
18-15
16-12
23-22
16-19
17-18
19-21
10-16
20-23
159.9Avg total
79.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.173.2155.2+8.979%
Season at home (10)86.673.5160.1+13.190%
Season away (9)77.072.8149.8+4.267%
Last 10 (10)79.380.6159.9-1.360%
Last 5 (5)74.484.4158.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.584.0151.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.179.5158.6-0.450%
vs Weaker (15)83.972.1156.0+11.793%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Larisa
#11
W
66-58
66
58
+8
54avg 74
A11/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
85avg 74
A23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 74
H30/01
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
89avg 74
A06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#14
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
H10/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 74
A07/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
no box
H10/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 74
H14/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 74
A20/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
25-11
14-14
18-16
19-15
19-26
17-12
20-19
26-25
19-22
18-18
25-25
25-12
19-25
18-23
22-17
17-18
28-25
22-17
27-29
16-24
19-13
17-21
22-16
30-24
26-25
15-15
18-24
26-17
18-21
8-15
13-12
25-17
19-19
24-27
20-8
23-18
20-17
21-21
15-19
161.8Avg total
83.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.076.2157.2+4.878%
Season at home (9)84.475.7160.1+8.889%
Season away (9)77.676.7154.2+0.967%
Last 10 (10)83.678.2161.8+5.490%
Last 5 (5)85.879.2165.0+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.881.2158.0-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.777.0154.7+0.762%
vs Weaker (9)85.474.8160.2+10.789%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
AEK AthensLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A25/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A31/03
Champions League
76.9Avg total
38.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.878.5+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.380.7+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.276.3-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.576.9-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.477.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.544.578.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.238.979.1+1.258%-
vs Weaker (15)42.436.178.5+6.380%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larisa
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/01
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A07/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/03
Basket League
81.9Avg total
42.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.179.1+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.080.6+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.377.4+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.181.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.042.574.5-10.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.236.476.7+3.869%-
vs Weaker (9)46.939.386.2+7.689%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
51.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.7
36.7%
35.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.214.8
73.3%
74.2%14.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.6
52.1%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.9
40.1%
35.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
74.2%16.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLWWWWWL
Lavrio
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+5.8
Net rating
+8.8
109.3
Offensive rating
112.6
103.5
Defensive rating
103.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
40.1%
57.7%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 112.6Defence103.5 · 103.7Shooting50.9% · 55.4%3-point %36.7% · 40.1%Ball care17.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
3
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
10/02/21Lavrio v AEK Athens90-85 OT
27/12/20Lavrio v AEK Athens78-70
23/11/19Lavrio v AEK Athens60-73
06/04/19Lavrio v AEK Athens94-100 OT
15/12/18AEK Athens v Lavrio83-64
24/03/18AEK Athens v Lavrio96-86
03/12/17Lavrio v AEK Athens80-72
28/01/17Lavrio v AEK Athens84-87
15/10/16AEK Athens v Lavrio96-56
29/03/14Lavrio v AEK Athens66-74
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/21ATurk Telekom66-78
27/03/21AAris73-68
25/03/21ANizhny Novgorod60-88
23/03/21AStrasbourg73-91
20/03/21HIraklis100-97 OT
16/03/21HStrasbourg77-68
13/03/21APAOK87-85 OT
10/03/21HTurk Telekom74-65
06/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis98-76
10/02/21ALavrio85-90 OT
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21AHarilaos Trikoupis79-75
14/03/21HPeristeri88-71
10/03/21HKolossos Rhodes83-77 OT
07/03/21AIonikos89-88
10/02/21HAEK Athens90-85 OT
06/02/21AAris94-89
30/01/21HPAOK84-77
23/01/21APromitheas88-90
20/01/21HPromitheas75-72
11/01/21ALarisa66-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game82.186.677.0
Allowed / game73.273.572.8
Point differential+8.9+13.1+4.2
Avg total155.2160.1149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Lavrio
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game81.084.477.6
Allowed / game76.275.776.7
Point differential+4.8+8.8+0.9
Avg total157.2160.1154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1715288%87.271.7+15.5
2 AEK Athens1915479%82.173.2+8.9
3 Lavrio1814478%81.076.2+4.8
4 Promitheas1611569%81.075.9+5.1
5 PAOK2011955%79.280.2-1.1
6 Peristeri1910953%73.675.4-1.8
7 Iraklis1871139%72.977.4-4.5
8 Kolossos Rhodes1971237%77.776.9+0.8
9 Ionikos2071335%77.581.5-4.0
10 Aris2061430%74.278.0-3.9
11 Larisa2051525%75.081.5-6.5
12 Harilaos Trikoupis2051525%72.882.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEK Athens192221201294
Lavrio152128181597
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