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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 77-73
15-19 22-15 23-22 17-17
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#2
Record14-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game70.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT74
PAO83
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 72
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 72
A04/03
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
69-63
69
63
+6
67avg 72
A07/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 72
H11/03
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 72
H15/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
59avg 72
H21/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
16-13
16-19
13-16
14-25
21-17
24-23
23-7
20-23
16-19
20-25
25-28
21-28
23-18
23-25
17-13
21-24
18-10
14-19
12-24
29-25
20-11
24-19
25-24
17-14
14-19
23-18
15-12
23-19
28-27
30-22
14-21
29-31
16-15
18-15
29-17
15-21
23-18
17-20
10-16
159.4Avg total
80.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.175.8151.9+0.261%
Season at home (9)78.376.1154.4+2.267%
Season away (9)73.875.6149.3-1.856%
Last 10 (10)80.479.0159.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)83.876.8160.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.381.1152.4-9.833%
vs Similar (14)75.775.0150.7+0.764%
vs Weaker (7)80.371.7152.0+8.686%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
A18/02
Greek Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 74
A23/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 74
H02/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
87avg 74
H04/03
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 74
A08/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 74
H10/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 74
A13/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 74
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H19/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 74
H23/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-13
10-29
15-17
21-20
18-20
21-24
16-14
21-18
19-25
14-21
28-23
23-8
19-23
32-21
17-23
17-21
19-21
21-22
13-20
9-17
20-25
23-13
23-11
18-13
22-25
21-23
12-20
20-26
32-17
18-19
16-20
21-21
17-25
20-13
16-17
25-22
11-21
24-25
14-20
156.4Avg total
76.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.170.1153.2+13.078%
Season at home (10)85.070.7155.7+14.390%
Season away (8)80.869.4150.1+11.462%
Last 10 (10)76.679.8156.4-3.230%
Last 5 (5)76.478.6155.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.685.9161.5-10.38%
vs Similar (7)79.179.0158.1+0.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.473.0159.4+13.490%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A04/03
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/03
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/03
Champions League
80.6Avg total
40.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.475.7-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.375.3-1.233%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.576.0-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.380.6+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.082.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.039.976.9-2.922%-
vs Similar (14)36.238.975.1-2.721%-
vs Weaker (7)39.735.475.1+4.371%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
Greek Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/03
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H10/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H19/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/03
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
39.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.278.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.079.5+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.477.7-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.379.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.243.379.5-7.225%-
vs Similar (7)34.742.377.0-7.614%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.332.778.0+12.690%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.4
55.6%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.5
32.2%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
71.9%12.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.9
55.4%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
71.9%16.0
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWWLWLWL
Panathinaikos
LLWLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#2
+5.1
Net rating
-0.7
109.1
Offensive rating
110.7
104.0
Defensive rating
111.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
34.9%
69.2%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 110.7Defence104.0 · 111.4Shooting52.5% · 54.0%3-point %32.2% · 34.9%Ball care18.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HUnicaja65-75
15/03/23HGalatasaray92-78
11/03/23HKolossos Rhodes95-89
07/03/23ALimoges69-63
04/03/23AIonikos98-79
18/02/23HPeristeri65-77
16/02/23APanionios93-88 OT
11/02/23HLavrio81-95
07/02/23HLimoges82-72
04/02/23AAris64-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/23HBarcelona74-88
19/03/23HOlympiacos74-76
16/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne86-82
13/03/23APAOK73-81
10/03/23HCrvena zvezda75-66
08/03/23AMonaco70-84
04/03/23HAS Karditsas91-75
02/03/23HAnadolu Efes82-87
23/02/23AOlimpia Milano76-78
18/02/23AOlympiacos65-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game76.178.373.8
Allowed / game75.876.175.6
Point differential+0.2+2.2-1.8
Avg total151.9154.4149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%90%62%
Points / game83.185.080.8
Allowed / game70.170.769.4
Point differential+13.0+14.3+11.4
Avg total153.2155.7150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos19190100%92.271.5+20.7
2 Panathinaikos1814478%83.170.1+13.0
3 Peristeri1912763%83.477.5+5.9
4 AEK Athens1811761%76.175.8+0.2
5 PAOK1911858%80.477.1+3.4
6 Promitheas1910953%75.476.7-1.4
7 Aris20101050%77.575.2+2.3
8 Kolossos Rhodes189950%77.176.6+0.6
9 Lavrio1951426%74.782.5-7.8
10 Apollon Patras2051525%69.477.5-8.1
11 AS Karditsas1941521%72.081.1-9.1
12 Ionikos2041620%72.990.7-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1522231777
Panathinaikos1915221773
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