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AEK Athens vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 100-67
31-10 19-13 30-23 20-21
Position#9
Record10-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#13
Record9-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game84.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 3· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Lavrio
21 Dec 2024
AAT97
LAV86
14 Apr 2024
AAT100
LAV67
07 Oct 2023
AAT93
LAV98
11 Feb 2023
AAT81
LAV95
10 Apr 2022
AAT90
LAV75
03 Apr 2021
AAT94
LAV97
14 Mar 2020
AAT v LAV
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
AAT83
LAV64
24 Mar 2018
AAT96
LAV86
15 Oct 2016
AAT96
LAV56
07 Dec 2013
AAT80
LAV68
17 Dec 2011
AAT97
LAV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 78
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 78
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
101avg 78
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
87avg 78
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 78
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 78
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 78
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 78
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 78
A06/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
15-19
18-20
24-20
22-23
22-22
23-16
27-24
18-15
20-21
19-25
20-16
14-17
18-23
29-20
26-31
15-35
29-20
19-24
26-21
24-17
23-20
23-22
20-23
12-11
17-20
17-24
21-24
29-29
22-29
25-18
21-25
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
177.4Avg total
87.1Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.586.3172.9+0.242%
Season at home (12)90.286.7176.8+3.550%
Season away (12)82.986.0168.9-3.133%
Last 10 (10)87.190.3177.4-3.230%
Last 5 (5)84.287.2171.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.392.4176.8-8.10%
vs Similar (10)85.686.8172.4-1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.279.9168.1+8.370%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
L
65-66 OT
65
66
-1
no box
A21/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
89-84
89
84
+5
94avg 69
H27/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
71avg 69
A05/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
64-86
64
86
-22
58avg 69
H11/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
76-57
76
57
+19
74avg 69
H02/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 69
A09/03
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 69
H17/03
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
A23/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
88-95
88
95
-7
76avg 69
H31/03
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 69
H06/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
10-18
22-8
12-14
26-23
25-18
23-16
15-27
23-14
19-24
16-21
17-12
20-17
14-21
15-23
15-25
13-14
15-17
21-14
27-12
15-22
27-22
10-26
11-14
23-19
14-18
22-21
23-17
21-20
17-18
9-24
13-22
18-21
24-28
26-21
20-25
22-24
25-18
25-20
17-23
153.8Avg total
75.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.484.7161.1-8.238%
Season at home (13)79.883.9163.7-4.254%
Season away (11)72.585.5158.0-13.118%
Last 10 (10)75.178.7153.8-3.650%
Last 5 (5)76.484.6161.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.988.8164.6-12.929%
vs Similar (10)79.279.4158.6-0.250%
vs Weaker (3)77.376.0153.3+1.367%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
AEK AthensLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
82.8Avg total
39.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.183.6-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.782.6-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)40.144.284.4-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.082.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.085.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.148.988.0-9.80%-
vs Similar (10)41.439.480.8+2.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.941.983.8+0.050%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A21/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/03
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/03
Basket League
Aris
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A23/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H31/03
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/04
Basket League
77.1Avg total
38.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.381.0-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.582.2-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)36.543.279.7-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.077.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.544.484.8-3.929%-
vs Similar (10)38.339.377.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker (3)30.340.771.0-10.30%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.4
55.0%
52.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
71.5%14.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
33.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.714.7
67.7%
71.5%14.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLWLLLWL
Lavrio
WLLWLWLWWL
#9
League position
#13
-6.1
Net rating
-4.1
108.9
Offensive rating
106.2
115.1
Defensive rating
110.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.0%
3-point %
33.2%
60.4%
Assist %
57.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 106.2Defence115.1 · 110.3Shooting52.4% · 53.0%3-point %32.0% · 33.2%Ball care17.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 27.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Lavrio v AEK Athens75-90
07/10/23AEK Athens v Lavrio93-98
11/02/23AEK Athens v Lavrio81-95
05/11/22Lavrio v AEK Athens67-84
10/04/22AEK Athens v Lavrio90-75
20/11/21Lavrio v AEK Athens81-82
26/09/21Lavrio v AEK Athens67-86
03/04/21AEK Athens v Lavrio94-97 OT
10/02/21Lavrio v AEK Athens90-85 OT
27/12/20Lavrio v AEK Athens78-70
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85
23/03/24HPeristeri97-101
20/03/24HPromitheas67-79
16/03/24AMaroussi90-82
12/03/24AMurcia89-100
09/03/24HPromitheas87-91
05/03/24HHapoel Holon108-112 OT
02/03/24APAOK94-85
15/02/24APanathinaikos72-79
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HPAOK89-85
31/03/24HAS Karditsas88-95
23/03/24AAris60-84
17/03/24HApollon Patras82-75
09/03/24AOlympiacos63-84
02/03/24HAS Karditsas76-57
11/02/24HPeristeri64-86
05/02/24AMaroussi75-71
27/01/24HPromitheas89-84
21/01/24APAOK65-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game86.590.282.9
Allowed / game86.386.786.0
Point differential+0.2+3.5-3.1
Avg total172.9176.8168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lavrio
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWWLW54%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%54%18%
Points / game76.479.872.5
Allowed / game84.783.985.5
Point differential-8.2-4.2-13.1
Avg total161.1163.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2322196%85.769.4+16.3
3 Olympiacos2422292%85.369.0+16.3
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W129375%82.063.2+18.8
6 Peristeri2516964%82.675.6+7.1
7 Promitheas2415962%84.179.1+5.0
8 Aris25131252%75.676.4-0.8
9 AEK Athens24101442%86.586.3+0.2
10 PAOK2491538%74.579.8-5.3
11 Lavrio2491538%76.484.7-8.2
12 Siauliai W114736%72.671.0+1.6
13 Kolossos Rhodes2591636%81.685.4-3.8
14 Maroussi2591636%82.286.1-3.9
15 AS Karditsas2481633%75.680.8-5.2
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W1221017%57.077.6-20.6
17 Apollon Patras2542116%67.483.7-16.3
18 Panevezys W121118%58.185.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens31193020100
Lavrio1013232167
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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