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AEK Athens vs Nanterre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 104-69
19-18 29-13 34-9 22-29
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#12
Record10-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · AEK Athens v Nanterre
23 Apr 2025
AAT104
NAN69
09 Apr 2025
AAT76
NAN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 77
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 77
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 77
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 77
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 77
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 77
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 77
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 77
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 77
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 77
A16/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
158.6Avg total
82.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.975.9156.9+5.071%
Season at home (7)86.673.4160.0+13.1100%
Season away (7)75.378.4153.7-3.143%
Last 10 (10)82.076.6158.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)72.875.4148.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.096.0171.0-21.00%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.777.5162.1+7.275%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#3
L
77-100
77
100
-23
67avg 90
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 90
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
84avg 90
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 90
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
W
96-87
96
87
+9
117avg 90
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
84avg 90
A05/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
69avg 90
A09/04
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
88avg 90
A12/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 90
H16/04
Champions League
La Rochelle
#16
L
63-76
63
76
-13
79avg 90
H19/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
12-21
25-27
21-25
16-20
21-9
27-17
12-25
20-17
14-12
26-14
16-24
21-27
22-20
25-22
27-20
27-30
19-18
22-18
28-21
19-24
24-23
22-19
9-23
25-23
16-19
19-14
9-20
19-25
19-23
21-28
19-12
15-24
27-9
19-19
21-18
23-18
16-14
14-23
10-21
159.9Avg total
78.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.580.9162.5+0.659%
Season at home (9)80.079.9159.9+0.156%
Season away (8)83.282.1165.4+1.162%
Last 10 (10)78.681.3159.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)73.279.8153.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.787.5167.2-7.821%
vs Similar (12)83.977.6161.5+6.383%
vs Weaker (3)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
AEK AthensNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.582.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.438.983.3+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.180.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.273.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.338.581.8+4.867%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/04
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/04
Champions League
La Rochelle
#16
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H19/04
LNB
79.7Avg total
39.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.3-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.341.984.2+0.350%-
Last 30 away (12)41.443.084.4-1.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.379.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.944.985.8-3.921%-
vs Similar (12)43.039.982.9+3.158%-
vs Weaker (3)42.036.778.7+5.367%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.3
55.6%
52.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
74.0%15.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
52.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.113.0
68.1%
74.0%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWWWWLWWW
Nanterre
LWLLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#12
+7.6
Net rating
-4.1
110.7
Offensive rating
105.5
103.0
Defensive rating
109.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
35.8%
64.9%
Assist %
73.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 105.5Defence103.0 · 109.5Shooting54.5% · 52.4%3-point %35.3% · 35.8%Ball care15.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds26.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
1
Nanterre wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Nanterre v AEK Athens82-70
09/04/25AEK Athens v Nanterre76-69
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25ANanterre70-82
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HLa Rochelle63-76
16/04/25HAEK Athens82-70
12/04/25ACholet78-88
09/04/25AAEK Athens69-76
05/04/25AMonaco74-89
28/03/25HLimoges96-87
26/03/25ASzombathely95-89
23/03/25ASaint Quentin76-67
19/03/25HMurcia76-71
11/03/25HNymburk77-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game80.986.675.3
Allowed / game75.973.478.4
Point differential+5.0+13.1-3.1
Avg total156.9160.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nanterre
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game81.580.083.2
Allowed / game80.979.982.1
Point differential+0.6+0.1+1.1
Avg total162.5159.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife14140100%84.871.4+13.4
2 Unicaja1413193%94.476.8+17.6
3 Nymburk1612475%86.477.7+8.8
4 AEK Athens1410471%80.975.9+5.0
5 Galatasaray1712571%85.880.3+5.5
6 Tortona1611569%81.276.0+5.2
7 Murcia128467%82.877.4+5.3
8 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
9 Nanterre1710759%81.580.9+0.6
10 Manresa127558%87.881.8+6.1
11 Rytas127558%86.581.8+4.8
12 Petkim Spor1810856%80.881.7-0.8
13 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
14 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
16 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
17 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
18 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
19 Wurzburg126650%84.183.8+0.3
20 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
21 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
22 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
25 Manisa147750%87.090.0-3.0
26 Reggiana168850%78.281.8-3.6
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
29 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
30 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
31 Promitheas145936%79.184.1-5.0
32 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
33 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
34 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
35 Szombathely1551033%80.187.3-7.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens19293422104
Nanterre181392969
← all games of the day
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